BILATERAL J-CURVE BETWEEN TURKEY AND THE EUROZONE

A large body of the literature use aggregate data to investigate the validity of the J-curve hypothesis. Recent studies, however, address to the importance of disaggregated data in order to prevent from aggregation bias. In the case of Turkey where foreign trade volume is largely dominated by the Eu...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Furkan Emirmahmutoglu, Mert Topcu, Salih Özdemir
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Mehmet Akif Ersoy University 2022-07-01
Series:Mehmet Akif Ersoy Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi
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Online Access:https://dergipark.org.tr/en/download/article-file/2348561
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Summary:A large body of the literature use aggregate data to investigate the validity of the J-curve hypothesis. Recent studies, however, address to the importance of disaggregated data in order to prevent from aggregation bias. In the case of Turkey where foreign trade volume is largely dominated by the Eurozone countries, one set of studies examines the J-curve phenomenon using total trade data while a second set of studies investigates the validity of the bilateral J-curve within a time-series framework. This study intends to investigate the validity of the bilateral J-curve between Turkey and the Eurozone over the period 2002:Q1-2019:Q4 within a dynamic panel data framework robust to heterogeneity and cross-section dependence. Results obtained from the Dynamic Common Correlated Effects estimator reveal that the J-Curve hypothesis does not hold given the short-run results.
ISSN:2149-1658