Identifying requirements for the invasion of a tick species and tick-borne pathogen through TICKSIM
Ticks and tick-borne diseases have been on the move throughout the UnitedState over the past twenty years. We use an agent-based model, TICKSIM,to identify the key parameters that determine the success of invasionof the tick and if that is successful, the succees of the tick-bornepathogen. We find t...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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AIMS Press
2013-03-01
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| Series: | Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering |
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| Online Access: | https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2013.10.625 |
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| author | Holly Gaff Robyn Nadolny |
| author_facet | Holly Gaff Robyn Nadolny |
| author_sort | Holly Gaff |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Ticks and tick-borne diseases have been on the move throughout the UnitedState over the past twenty years. We use an agent-based model, TICKSIM,to identify the key parameters that determine the success of invasionof the tick and if that is successful, the succees of the tick-bornepathogen. We find that if an area has competent hosts, an initialpopulation of ten ticks is predicted to always establish a newpopulation. The establishment of the tick-borne pathogen depends onthree parameters: the initial prevalence in the ten founding ticks,the probability that a tick infects the longer-lived hosts and theprobability that a tick infects the shorter-lived hosts. These resultsindicate that the transmission rates to hosts in thenewly established area can be used to predict the potential risk ofdisease to humans. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-b48cee21ed94415793b8cd08ec93eeaa |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 1551-0018 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2013-03-01 |
| publisher | AIMS Press |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering |
| spelling | doaj-art-b48cee21ed94415793b8cd08ec93eeaa2025-01-24T02:26:12ZengAIMS PressMathematical Biosciences and Engineering1551-00182013-03-0110362563510.3934/mbe.2013.10.625Identifying requirements for the invasion of a tick species and tick-borne pathogen through TICKSIMHolly Gaff0Robyn Nadolny1Department of Biological Sciences, Old Dominion University, 110 MGB, Norfolk, Virginia 23529Department of Biological Sciences, Old Dominion University, 110 MGB, Norfolk, Virginia 23529Ticks and tick-borne diseases have been on the move throughout the UnitedState over the past twenty years. We use an agent-based model, TICKSIM,to identify the key parameters that determine the success of invasionof the tick and if that is successful, the succees of the tick-bornepathogen. We find that if an area has competent hosts, an initialpopulation of ten ticks is predicted to always establish a newpopulation. The establishment of the tick-borne pathogen depends onthree parameters: the initial prevalence in the ten founding ticks,the probability that a tick infects the longer-lived hosts and theprobability that a tick infects the shorter-lived hosts. These resultsindicate that the transmission rates to hosts in thenewly established area can be used to predict the potential risk ofdisease to humans.https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2013.10.625tick-borne disease.agent-based model |
| spellingShingle | Holly Gaff Robyn Nadolny Identifying requirements for the invasion of a tick species and tick-borne pathogen through TICKSIM Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering tick-borne disease. agent-based model |
| title | Identifying requirements for the invasion of a tick species and tick-borne pathogen through TICKSIM |
| title_full | Identifying requirements for the invasion of a tick species and tick-borne pathogen through TICKSIM |
| title_fullStr | Identifying requirements for the invasion of a tick species and tick-borne pathogen through TICKSIM |
| title_full_unstemmed | Identifying requirements for the invasion of a tick species and tick-borne pathogen through TICKSIM |
| title_short | Identifying requirements for the invasion of a tick species and tick-borne pathogen through TICKSIM |
| title_sort | identifying requirements for the invasion of a tick species and tick borne pathogen through ticksim |
| topic | tick-borne disease. agent-based model |
| url | https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2013.10.625 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT hollygaff identifyingrequirementsfortheinvasionofatickspeciesandtickbornepathogenthroughticksim AT robynnadolny identifyingrequirementsfortheinvasionofatickspeciesandtickbornepathogenthroughticksim |