From Policy to Practice: Assessing Carbon Storage in Fujian Province Using Patch-Generating Land Use Simulation and Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoffs Models
Simulating and predicting carbon storage under different development scenarios is crucial for formulating effective carbon management strategies and achieving carbon neutrality goals. However, studies that focus on specific regions and incorporate local policy context require further investigation....
Saved in:
| Main Authors: | , , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
MDPI AG
2025-01-01
|
| Series: | Land |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/14/1/179 |
| Tags: |
Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
|
| _version_ | 1832588155921891328 |
|---|---|
| author | Qin Nie Wang Man Zongmei Li Xuewen Wu |
| author_facet | Qin Nie Wang Man Zongmei Li Xuewen Wu |
| author_sort | Qin Nie |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Simulating and predicting carbon storage under different development scenarios is crucial for formulating effective carbon management strategies and achieving carbon neutrality goals. However, studies that focus on specific regions and incorporate local policy context require further investigation. Taking Fujian Province as a case study, this research developed four policy-driven scenarios—natural development, farmland protection, urban development, and ecological protection—based on local policy frameworks. Using the PLUS (Patch-generating Land Use Simulation) and InVEST (Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoffs) models, the study simulated and predicted the carbon storage dynamics under each scenario. The results show that carbon storage declined from 1995 to 2020, mainly due to the conversion of forests and agricultural land into construction areas. The ecological protection scenario demonstrated the highest potential for carbon storage recovery, projecting an increase to 2.02 billion tons by 2030, driven by afforestation and conservation initiatives. Conversely, the urban development scenario posed the greatest risks, leading to substantial losses. Key conservation areas, including 12 priority districts, were identified in the western and northwestern regions, while coastal urban areas, comprising 31 vulnerable districts, face significant carbon storage losses. These findings emphasize the need for balanced land use policies that prioritize both urban development and ecological protection to achieve sustainable carbon management. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-b3aca98ed0a940fbb2871d6992839b0a |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 2073-445X |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-01-01 |
| publisher | MDPI AG |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Land |
| spelling | doaj-art-b3aca98ed0a940fbb2871d6992839b0a2025-01-24T13:38:13ZengMDPI AGLand2073-445X2025-01-0114117910.3390/land14010179From Policy to Practice: Assessing Carbon Storage in Fujian Province Using Patch-Generating Land Use Simulation and Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoffs ModelsQin Nie0Wang Man1Zongmei Li2Xuewen Wu3College of Computer and Information Engineering, Xiamen University of Technology, Xiamen 361024, ChinaCollege of Computer and Information Engineering, Xiamen University of Technology, Xiamen 361024, ChinaCollege of Computer and Information Engineering, Xiamen University of Technology, Xiamen 361024, ChinaCollege of Computer and Information Engineering, Xiamen University of Technology, Xiamen 361024, ChinaSimulating and predicting carbon storage under different development scenarios is crucial for formulating effective carbon management strategies and achieving carbon neutrality goals. However, studies that focus on specific regions and incorporate local policy context require further investigation. Taking Fujian Province as a case study, this research developed four policy-driven scenarios—natural development, farmland protection, urban development, and ecological protection—based on local policy frameworks. Using the PLUS (Patch-generating Land Use Simulation) and InVEST (Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoffs) models, the study simulated and predicted the carbon storage dynamics under each scenario. The results show that carbon storage declined from 1995 to 2020, mainly due to the conversion of forests and agricultural land into construction areas. The ecological protection scenario demonstrated the highest potential for carbon storage recovery, projecting an increase to 2.02 billion tons by 2030, driven by afforestation and conservation initiatives. Conversely, the urban development scenario posed the greatest risks, leading to substantial losses. Key conservation areas, including 12 priority districts, were identified in the western and northwestern regions, while coastal urban areas, comprising 31 vulnerable districts, face significant carbon storage losses. These findings emphasize the need for balanced land use policies that prioritize both urban development and ecological protection to achieve sustainable carbon management.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/14/1/179carbon storageland use/cover changeFLUS modellocal policy |
| spellingShingle | Qin Nie Wang Man Zongmei Li Xuewen Wu From Policy to Practice: Assessing Carbon Storage in Fujian Province Using Patch-Generating Land Use Simulation and Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoffs Models Land carbon storage land use/cover change FLUS model local policy |
| title | From Policy to Practice: Assessing Carbon Storage in Fujian Province Using Patch-Generating Land Use Simulation and Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoffs Models |
| title_full | From Policy to Practice: Assessing Carbon Storage in Fujian Province Using Patch-Generating Land Use Simulation and Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoffs Models |
| title_fullStr | From Policy to Practice: Assessing Carbon Storage in Fujian Province Using Patch-Generating Land Use Simulation and Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoffs Models |
| title_full_unstemmed | From Policy to Practice: Assessing Carbon Storage in Fujian Province Using Patch-Generating Land Use Simulation and Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoffs Models |
| title_short | From Policy to Practice: Assessing Carbon Storage in Fujian Province Using Patch-Generating Land Use Simulation and Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoffs Models |
| title_sort | from policy to practice assessing carbon storage in fujian province using patch generating land use simulation and integrated valuation of ecosystem services and tradeoffs models |
| topic | carbon storage land use/cover change FLUS model local policy |
| url | https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/14/1/179 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT qinnie frompolicytopracticeassessingcarbonstorageinfujianprovinceusingpatchgeneratinglandusesimulationandintegratedvaluationofecosystemservicesandtradeoffsmodels AT wangman frompolicytopracticeassessingcarbonstorageinfujianprovinceusingpatchgeneratinglandusesimulationandintegratedvaluationofecosystemservicesandtradeoffsmodels AT zongmeili frompolicytopracticeassessingcarbonstorageinfujianprovinceusingpatchgeneratinglandusesimulationandintegratedvaluationofecosystemservicesandtradeoffsmodels AT xuewenwu frompolicytopracticeassessingcarbonstorageinfujianprovinceusingpatchgeneratinglandusesimulationandintegratedvaluationofecosystemservicesandtradeoffsmodels |