Offshore wave and wind energy development in the Southern Hemisphere will remain optimal between 20°E and 180°E by 2100

Abstract Wave and offshore-wind energies offer promising alternatives to fossil fuels, yet their combined potential under climate change remains poorly understood. Here we assess how climate change may affect this potential over the coming century, using outputs from fifteen global climate models in...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Xiaohu Zhao, Guohe Huang, Yongping Li, Chen Lu, Chuyin Tian, Tangnyu Song, Xiong Zhou, Wenchang Tang, Bo Pang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-06-01
Series:Communications Earth & Environment
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02437-4
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Summary:Abstract Wave and offshore-wind energies offer promising alternatives to fossil fuels, yet their combined potential under climate change remains poorly understood. Here we assess how climate change may affect this potential over the coming century, using outputs from fifteen global climate models included in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 and an empirical method to refine model projections. We identify two oceanic bands between 40°S and 60°S with high combined energy potential. Notably, the region between 20°E and 180°E is projected to remain favorable for both energy sources. We also conduct a multi-level analysis to show how improved climate modeling enhances predictions of renewable energy resources. These findings provide valuable insights for policymakers, industry stakeholders, and researchers seeking to enhance the resilience and sustainability of renewable energy systems.
ISSN:2662-4435