Modeling evolution and persistence of neurological viral diseases in wild populations

Viral infections are one of the leading source of mortality worldwide.The great majority of them circulate and persist in wild reservoirs and periodically spill over into humans or domestic animals.In the wild reservoirs, the progression of disease is frequently quite different from that in spillove...

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Main Authors: Dobromir T. Dimitrov, Aaron A. King
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: AIMS Press 2008-09-01
Series:Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2008.5.729
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author Dobromir T. Dimitrov
Aaron A. King
author_facet Dobromir T. Dimitrov
Aaron A. King
author_sort Dobromir T. Dimitrov
collection DOAJ
description Viral infections are one of the leading source of mortality worldwide.The great majority of them circulate and persist in wild reservoirs and periodically spill over into humans or domestic animals.In the wild reservoirs, the progression of disease is frequently quite different from that in spillover hosts.We propose a mathematical treatment of the dynamics of viral infections in wild mammals using models with alternative outcomes.We develop and analyze compartmental epizootic models assuming permanent or temporary immunity of the individuals surviving infections and apply them to rabies in bats.We identify parameter relations that support the existing patterns in the viral ecology and estimate those parameters that are unattainable through direct measurement.We also investigate how the duration of the acquired immunity affects the disease and population dynamics.
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spelling doaj-art-af2d309ab0354882a1dbcde356675be12025-01-24T01:58:42ZengAIMS PressMathematical Biosciences and Engineering1551-00182008-09-015472974110.3934/mbe.2008.5.729Modeling evolution and persistence of neurological viral diseases in wild populationsDobromir T. Dimitrov0Aaron A. King1Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, 1100 Fairview Ave N., LE-400, P.O. Box 19024, Seattle, WA 98109-1024Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, 1100 Fairview Ave N., LE-400, P.O. Box 19024, Seattle, WA 98109-1024Viral infections are one of the leading source of mortality worldwide.The great majority of them circulate and persist in wild reservoirs and periodically spill over into humans or domestic animals.In the wild reservoirs, the progression of disease is frequently quite different from that in spillover hosts.We propose a mathematical treatment of the dynamics of viral infections in wild mammals using models with alternative outcomes.We develop and analyze compartmental epizootic models assuming permanent or temporary immunity of the individuals surviving infections and apply them to rabies in bats.We identify parameter relations that support the existing patterns in the viral ecology and estimate those parameters that are unattainable through direct measurement.We also investigate how the duration of the acquired immunity affects the disease and population dynamics.https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2008.5.729epizootic models; zoonotic infection; rabies; bats
spellingShingle Dobromir T. Dimitrov
Aaron A. King
Modeling evolution and persistence of neurological viral diseases in wild populations
Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering
epizootic models; zoonotic infection; rabies; bats
title Modeling evolution and persistence of neurological viral diseases in wild populations
title_full Modeling evolution and persistence of neurological viral diseases in wild populations
title_fullStr Modeling evolution and persistence of neurological viral diseases in wild populations
title_full_unstemmed Modeling evolution and persistence of neurological viral diseases in wild populations
title_short Modeling evolution and persistence of neurological viral diseases in wild populations
title_sort modeling evolution and persistence of neurological viral diseases in wild populations
topic epizootic models; zoonotic infection; rabies; bats
url https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2008.5.729
work_keys_str_mv AT dobromirtdimitrov modelingevolutionandpersistenceofneurologicalviraldiseasesinwildpopulations
AT aaronaking modelingevolutionandpersistenceofneurologicalviraldiseasesinwildpopulations