Towards Transparent Diabetes Prediction: Combining AutoML and Explainable AI for Improved Clinical Insights

Diabetes is a global health challenge that requires early detection for effective management. This study integrates Automated Machine Learning (AutoML) with Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) to improve diabetes risk prediction and enhance model interpretability for healthcare professionals....

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Raza Hasan, Vishal Dattana, Salman Mahmood, Saqib Hussain
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2024-12-01
Series:Information
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2078-2489/16/1/7
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1832588365825835008
author Raza Hasan
Vishal Dattana
Salman Mahmood
Saqib Hussain
author_facet Raza Hasan
Vishal Dattana
Salman Mahmood
Saqib Hussain
author_sort Raza Hasan
collection DOAJ
description Diabetes is a global health challenge that requires early detection for effective management. This study integrates Automated Machine Learning (AutoML) with Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) to improve diabetes risk prediction and enhance model interpretability for healthcare professionals. Using the Pima Indian Diabetes dataset, we developed an ensemble model with 85.01% accuracy leveraging AutoGluon’s AutoML framework. To address the “black-box” nature of machine learning, we applied XAI techniques, including SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP), Local Interpretable Model-Agnostic Explanations (LIME), Integrated Gradients (IG), Attention Mechanism (AM), and Counterfactual Analysis (CA), providing both global and patient-specific insights into critical risk factors such as glucose and BMI. These methods enable transparent and actionable predictions, supporting clinical decision-making. An interactive Streamlit application was developed to allow clinicians to explore feature importance and test hypothetical scenarios. Cross-validation confirmed the model’s robust performance across diverse datasets. This study demonstrates the integration of AutoML with XAI as a pathway to achieving accurate, interpretable models that foster transparency and trust while supporting actionable clinical decisions.
format Article
id doaj-art-ac784a6b350b42b9a02fb599747a9fcd
institution Kabale University
issn 2078-2489
language English
publishDate 2024-12-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series Information
spelling doaj-art-ac784a6b350b42b9a02fb599747a9fcd2025-01-24T13:35:07ZengMDPI AGInformation2078-24892024-12-01161710.3390/info16010007Towards Transparent Diabetes Prediction: Combining AutoML and Explainable AI for Improved Clinical InsightsRaza Hasan0Vishal Dattana1Salman Mahmood2Saqib Hussain3Department of Computer Science, Solent University, Southampton SO14 0YN, UKDigital Transformation, Oman College of Management & Technology, P.O. Box 680, Barka 320, OmanDepartment of Computer Science, Nazeer Hussain University, ST-2, near Karimabad, Karachi 75950, PakistanComputer and Information Sciences, Northumbria University, Newcastle upon Tyne NE1 8QH, UKDiabetes is a global health challenge that requires early detection for effective management. This study integrates Automated Machine Learning (AutoML) with Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) to improve diabetes risk prediction and enhance model interpretability for healthcare professionals. Using the Pima Indian Diabetes dataset, we developed an ensemble model with 85.01% accuracy leveraging AutoGluon’s AutoML framework. To address the “black-box” nature of machine learning, we applied XAI techniques, including SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP), Local Interpretable Model-Agnostic Explanations (LIME), Integrated Gradients (IG), Attention Mechanism (AM), and Counterfactual Analysis (CA), providing both global and patient-specific insights into critical risk factors such as glucose and BMI. These methods enable transparent and actionable predictions, supporting clinical decision-making. An interactive Streamlit application was developed to allow clinicians to explore feature importance and test hypothetical scenarios. Cross-validation confirmed the model’s robust performance across diverse datasets. This study demonstrates the integration of AutoML with XAI as a pathway to achieving accurate, interpretable models that foster transparency and trust while supporting actionable clinical decisions.https://www.mdpi.com/2078-2489/16/1/7AutoMLexplainable AI (XAI)diabetes predictionSHAPLIMEcounterfactual analysis
spellingShingle Raza Hasan
Vishal Dattana
Salman Mahmood
Saqib Hussain
Towards Transparent Diabetes Prediction: Combining AutoML and Explainable AI for Improved Clinical Insights
Information
AutoML
explainable AI (XAI)
diabetes prediction
SHAP
LIME
counterfactual analysis
title Towards Transparent Diabetes Prediction: Combining AutoML and Explainable AI for Improved Clinical Insights
title_full Towards Transparent Diabetes Prediction: Combining AutoML and Explainable AI for Improved Clinical Insights
title_fullStr Towards Transparent Diabetes Prediction: Combining AutoML and Explainable AI for Improved Clinical Insights
title_full_unstemmed Towards Transparent Diabetes Prediction: Combining AutoML and Explainable AI for Improved Clinical Insights
title_short Towards Transparent Diabetes Prediction: Combining AutoML and Explainable AI for Improved Clinical Insights
title_sort towards transparent diabetes prediction combining automl and explainable ai for improved clinical insights
topic AutoML
explainable AI (XAI)
diabetes prediction
SHAP
LIME
counterfactual analysis
url https://www.mdpi.com/2078-2489/16/1/7
work_keys_str_mv AT razahasan towardstransparentdiabetespredictioncombiningautomlandexplainableaiforimprovedclinicalinsights
AT vishaldattana towardstransparentdiabetespredictioncombiningautomlandexplainableaiforimprovedclinicalinsights
AT salmanmahmood towardstransparentdiabetespredictioncombiningautomlandexplainableaiforimprovedclinicalinsights
AT saqibhussain towardstransparentdiabetespredictioncombiningautomlandexplainableaiforimprovedclinicalinsights