Association between the levels of urinary cell cycle biomarkers and non-recovery of renal function among critically ill geriatric patients with acute kidney injury

The lack of early renal function recovery among geriatric patients with acute kidney injury (AKI) in the intensive care unit (ICU) is a commonly observed and acknowledged poor prognostic factor, especially for older adults. However, no reliable prognostic biomarker is available for identifying indiv...

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Main Authors: Li Cheng, Hui-Miao Jia, Xi Zheng, Yi-Jia Jiang, Xin Xin, Wen-Xiong Li
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2024-12-01
Series:Renal Failure
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Online Access:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/0886022X.2024.2304099
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author Li Cheng
Hui-Miao Jia
Xi Zheng
Yi-Jia Jiang
Xin Xin
Wen-Xiong Li
author_facet Li Cheng
Hui-Miao Jia
Xi Zheng
Yi-Jia Jiang
Xin Xin
Wen-Xiong Li
author_sort Li Cheng
collection DOAJ
description The lack of early renal function recovery among geriatric patients with acute kidney injury (AKI) in the intensive care unit (ICU) is a commonly observed and acknowledged poor prognostic factor, especially for older adults. However, no reliable prognostic biomarker is available for identifying individuals at risk of renal non-recovery or mortality in older adults. In this prospective observational cohort study, we enrolled critically ill older adults (aged ≥ 60 years) with AKI from the ICU and followed their disease progression. The primary endpoint was renal non-recovery within seven days of follow-up, while the secondary endpoint was the determinants of 30-day mortality after AKI. We assessed the predictive accuracy using receiver operating characteristic curves and performed between-group comparisons using the log-rank test. Among 209 older adults, 117 (56.0%) experienced renal recovery. Multiple regression analysis revealed that urine levels of tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinase-2 (TIMP-2) multiplied by insulin-like growth factor-binding protein 7 (IGFBP7) ([TIMP-2]*[IGFBP7]), AKI stages 2–3, and the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE II) score were independently associated with renal non-recovery. The regression model incorporating [TIMP-2]*[IGFBP7] demonstrated a fair predictive value (AUC 0.774, p < 0.001), with the optimal threshold set at 0.81 (ng/mL)2/1000. When [TIMP-2]*[IGFBP7] was combined with AKI severity and the APACHE score, the AUC increased to 0.851. In conclusion, urine [TIMP-2]*[IGFBP7] is a reliable biomarker associated with renal non-recovery in critically ill older adults, and its predictive efficacy can be further enhanced when combined with AKI severity and the APACHE score.
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spelling doaj-art-aaa0756c363b419f90708e32ab5f02a92025-01-23T04:17:48ZengTaylor & Francis GroupRenal Failure0886-022X1525-60492024-12-0146110.1080/0886022X.2024.2304099Association between the levels of urinary cell cycle biomarkers and non-recovery of renal function among critically ill geriatric patients with acute kidney injuryLi Cheng0Hui-Miao Jia1Xi Zheng2Yi-Jia Jiang3Xin Xin4Wen-Xiong Li5Department of Surgical Intensive Critical Unit, Beijing Chao-yang Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, ChinaDepartment of Surgical Intensive Critical Unit, Beijing Chao-yang Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, ChinaDepartment of Surgical Intensive Critical Unit, Beijing Chao-yang Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, ChinaDepartment of Surgical Intensive Critical Unit, Beijing Chao-yang Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, ChinaDepartment of Surgical Intensive Critical Unit, Beijing Chao-yang Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, ChinaDepartment of Surgical Intensive Critical Unit, Beijing Chao-yang Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, ChinaThe lack of early renal function recovery among geriatric patients with acute kidney injury (AKI) in the intensive care unit (ICU) is a commonly observed and acknowledged poor prognostic factor, especially for older adults. However, no reliable prognostic biomarker is available for identifying individuals at risk of renal non-recovery or mortality in older adults. In this prospective observational cohort study, we enrolled critically ill older adults (aged ≥ 60 years) with AKI from the ICU and followed their disease progression. The primary endpoint was renal non-recovery within seven days of follow-up, while the secondary endpoint was the determinants of 30-day mortality after AKI. We assessed the predictive accuracy using receiver operating characteristic curves and performed between-group comparisons using the log-rank test. Among 209 older adults, 117 (56.0%) experienced renal recovery. Multiple regression analysis revealed that urine levels of tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinase-2 (TIMP-2) multiplied by insulin-like growth factor-binding protein 7 (IGFBP7) ([TIMP-2]*[IGFBP7]), AKI stages 2–3, and the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE II) score were independently associated with renal non-recovery. The regression model incorporating [TIMP-2]*[IGFBP7] demonstrated a fair predictive value (AUC 0.774, p < 0.001), with the optimal threshold set at 0.81 (ng/mL)2/1000. When [TIMP-2]*[IGFBP7] was combined with AKI severity and the APACHE score, the AUC increased to 0.851. In conclusion, urine [TIMP-2]*[IGFBP7] is a reliable biomarker associated with renal non-recovery in critically ill older adults, and its predictive efficacy can be further enhanced when combined with AKI severity and the APACHE score.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/0886022X.2024.2304099Acute kidney injurygeriatricsIGFBP7intensive care unit mortalityrenal recoveryTIMP-2
spellingShingle Li Cheng
Hui-Miao Jia
Xi Zheng
Yi-Jia Jiang
Xin Xin
Wen-Xiong Li
Association between the levels of urinary cell cycle biomarkers and non-recovery of renal function among critically ill geriatric patients with acute kidney injury
Renal Failure
Acute kidney injury
geriatrics
IGFBP7
intensive care unit mortality
renal recovery
TIMP-2
title Association between the levels of urinary cell cycle biomarkers and non-recovery of renal function among critically ill geriatric patients with acute kidney injury
title_full Association between the levels of urinary cell cycle biomarkers and non-recovery of renal function among critically ill geriatric patients with acute kidney injury
title_fullStr Association between the levels of urinary cell cycle biomarkers and non-recovery of renal function among critically ill geriatric patients with acute kidney injury
title_full_unstemmed Association between the levels of urinary cell cycle biomarkers and non-recovery of renal function among critically ill geriatric patients with acute kidney injury
title_short Association between the levels of urinary cell cycle biomarkers and non-recovery of renal function among critically ill geriatric patients with acute kidney injury
title_sort association between the levels of urinary cell cycle biomarkers and non recovery of renal function among critically ill geriatric patients with acute kidney injury
topic Acute kidney injury
geriatrics
IGFBP7
intensive care unit mortality
renal recovery
TIMP-2
url https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/0886022X.2024.2304099
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