Investigating the impact of diversion projects on river health using the spherical fuzzy cloud TOPSIS model and the SHapley Additive exPlanation technique

Accurate scientific assessments of the impact of water diversion projects on the ecological health of rivers are crucial. We proposed a new integrated framework for river health assessment. First, a three-level indicator system was developed considering both ecological and non-ecological factors, an...

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Main Authors: Ting Cheng, Maosen Ju, Wenhui Zhang, Chenhui Wu, Qi Liu, Qingqing Ban
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-01-01
Series:Ecological Indicators
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X2500041X
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author Ting Cheng
Maosen Ju
Wenhui Zhang
Chenhui Wu
Qi Liu
Qingqing Ban
author_facet Ting Cheng
Maosen Ju
Wenhui Zhang
Chenhui Wu
Qi Liu
Qingqing Ban
author_sort Ting Cheng
collection DOAJ
description Accurate scientific assessments of the impact of water diversion projects on the ecological health of rivers are crucial. We proposed a new integrated framework for river health assessment. First, a three-level indicator system was developed considering both ecological and non-ecological factors, and the indicator weights were calculated using the game combination weighting method. Second, the spherical fuzzy cloud technique for the order of preference by similarity to ideal solution (SFC-TOPSIS) assessment framework was developed and used to analyze the impact of water diversion projects on river health. Finally, the key factors affecting river health were identified using the SHapley Additive exPlanation (SHAP) sensitivity analysis. The results showed that after the completion of the diversion project, the overall health of the river improved from unhealthy to healthy, with a 75% increase in the health compliance rate of the evaluation indicators and a 70% improvement in the health status of the sampling sites. However, the social service functions of the rivers have not yet reached a healthy state. Furthermore, a sensitivity analysis of the indicators of river health showed that the implementation of the water diversion project affected the flood control function and aquatic plant biodiversity indicators of the river. The framework and results proposed in this study are expected to provide support and reference for assessing the impact of other river water diversion projects on river health and sustainable management.
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institution Kabale University
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publishDate 2025-01-01
publisher Elsevier
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series Ecological Indicators
spelling doaj-art-a819e476498b42279b5cb76d74a428352025-01-31T05:10:54ZengElsevierEcological Indicators1470-160X2025-01-01170113112Investigating the impact of diversion projects on river health using the spherical fuzzy cloud TOPSIS model and the SHapley Additive exPlanation techniqueTing Cheng0Maosen Ju1Wenhui Zhang2Chenhui Wu3Qi Liu4Qingqing Ban5Business School, Hohai University, Nanjing 211100 Jiangsu, ChinaBusiness School, Hohai University, Nanjing 211100 Jiangsu, China; Corresponding author.College of Water Conservancy & Hydropower Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing 211100 Jiangsu, ChinaCollege of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098 Jiangsu, ChinaSchool of Land Science and Technology, China University of Geosciences, Beijing 100083, ChinaBusiness School, Hohai University, Nanjing 211100 Jiangsu, ChinaAccurate scientific assessments of the impact of water diversion projects on the ecological health of rivers are crucial. We proposed a new integrated framework for river health assessment. First, a three-level indicator system was developed considering both ecological and non-ecological factors, and the indicator weights were calculated using the game combination weighting method. Second, the spherical fuzzy cloud technique for the order of preference by similarity to ideal solution (SFC-TOPSIS) assessment framework was developed and used to analyze the impact of water diversion projects on river health. Finally, the key factors affecting river health were identified using the SHapley Additive exPlanation (SHAP) sensitivity analysis. The results showed that after the completion of the diversion project, the overall health of the river improved from unhealthy to healthy, with a 75% increase in the health compliance rate of the evaluation indicators and a 70% improvement in the health status of the sampling sites. However, the social service functions of the rivers have not yet reached a healthy state. Furthermore, a sensitivity analysis of the indicators of river health showed that the implementation of the water diversion project affected the flood control function and aquatic plant biodiversity indicators of the river. The framework and results proposed in this study are expected to provide support and reference for assessing the impact of other river water diversion projects on river health and sustainable management.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X2500041XRiver health assessmentWater diversionSpherical fuzzy cloud modelShapley additive explanationsSensitivity Analysis
spellingShingle Ting Cheng
Maosen Ju
Wenhui Zhang
Chenhui Wu
Qi Liu
Qingqing Ban
Investigating the impact of diversion projects on river health using the spherical fuzzy cloud TOPSIS model and the SHapley Additive exPlanation technique
Ecological Indicators
River health assessment
Water diversion
Spherical fuzzy cloud model
Shapley additive explanations
Sensitivity Analysis
title Investigating the impact of diversion projects on river health using the spherical fuzzy cloud TOPSIS model and the SHapley Additive exPlanation technique
title_full Investigating the impact of diversion projects on river health using the spherical fuzzy cloud TOPSIS model and the SHapley Additive exPlanation technique
title_fullStr Investigating the impact of diversion projects on river health using the spherical fuzzy cloud TOPSIS model and the SHapley Additive exPlanation technique
title_full_unstemmed Investigating the impact of diversion projects on river health using the spherical fuzzy cloud TOPSIS model and the SHapley Additive exPlanation technique
title_short Investigating the impact of diversion projects on river health using the spherical fuzzy cloud TOPSIS model and the SHapley Additive exPlanation technique
title_sort investigating the impact of diversion projects on river health using the spherical fuzzy cloud topsis model and the shapley additive explanation technique
topic River health assessment
Water diversion
Spherical fuzzy cloud model
Shapley additive explanations
Sensitivity Analysis
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X2500041X
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