Evaluation and Classification of Accident-Inducing and Risk Propagation in Airport Apron Networks

Airport apron operations involve complex interactions among personnel, equipment, and environmental factors, posing significant safety challenges. To address these risks, this study establishes an innovative dual evaluation system combining static and dynamic methods to assess accident-inducing pote...

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Main Authors: Ruxin Wang, Hong Yan, Rui Kang, Xiaolei Feng
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IEEE 2025-01-01
Series:IEEE Access
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10965671/
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author Ruxin Wang
Hong Yan
Rui Kang
Xiaolei Feng
author_facet Ruxin Wang
Hong Yan
Rui Kang
Xiaolei Feng
author_sort Ruxin Wang
collection DOAJ
description Airport apron operations involve complex interactions among personnel, equipment, and environmental factors, posing significant safety challenges. To address these risks, this study establishes an innovative dual evaluation system combining static and dynamic methods to assess accident-inducing potential and risk propagation capability. Based on accident investigation reports from 2015 to 2022, a risk network with 82 nodes and 244 edges was constructed. Two static indicators—Target Oriented Centrality (TOC) and Accident Neighbor Risk Rate (ANRR)—were used to evaluate accident-inducing potential, while risk propagation capability was dynamically simulated using the Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered-Susceptible (SIRS) model, with Average Peak Infection Proportion (APIP) and Infection Cycle (APIC) as key metrics. Risk nodes were categorized into four clusters using spectral clustering, which was selected after comparing multiple algorithms with the Calinski-Harabasz (CH) index. Nodes were prioritized into three tiers based on accident-inducing potential and risk propagation capabilities. Results show that Tier 1 nodes (personnel and equipment) exhibit the highest accident-inducing potential, while Tier 2 nodes (management) play significant roles in risk propagation. Tier 3 nodes (environment) have limited direct impacts but may pose long-term risks. This system provides actionable insights to prioritize safety interventions, offering a robust framework for enhancing apron safety.
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spelling doaj-art-a7e590147a554046beb9aad8baf7f6b32025-08-20T03:18:26ZengIEEEIEEE Access2169-35362025-01-0113662386624910.1109/ACCESS.2025.356075010965671Evaluation and Classification of Accident-Inducing and Risk Propagation in Airport Apron NetworksRuxin Wang0Hong Yan1https://orcid.org/0009-0000-9276-9973Rui Kang2Xiaolei Feng3School of Airport, Civil Aviation Flight University of China, Guanghan, Sichuan, ChinaSchool of Airport, Civil Aviation Flight University of China, Guanghan, Sichuan, ChinaSchool of Air Traffic Management, Civil Aviation Flight University of China, Guanghan, Sichuan, ChinaSchool of Airport, Civil Aviation Flight University of China, Guanghan, Sichuan, ChinaAirport apron operations involve complex interactions among personnel, equipment, and environmental factors, posing significant safety challenges. To address these risks, this study establishes an innovative dual evaluation system combining static and dynamic methods to assess accident-inducing potential and risk propagation capability. Based on accident investigation reports from 2015 to 2022, a risk network with 82 nodes and 244 edges was constructed. Two static indicators—Target Oriented Centrality (TOC) and Accident Neighbor Risk Rate (ANRR)—were used to evaluate accident-inducing potential, while risk propagation capability was dynamically simulated using the Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered-Susceptible (SIRS) model, with Average Peak Infection Proportion (APIP) and Infection Cycle (APIC) as key metrics. Risk nodes were categorized into four clusters using spectral clustering, which was selected after comparing multiple algorithms with the Calinski-Harabasz (CH) index. Nodes were prioritized into three tiers based on accident-inducing potential and risk propagation capabilities. Results show that Tier 1 nodes (personnel and equipment) exhibit the highest accident-inducing potential, while Tier 2 nodes (management) play significant roles in risk propagation. Tier 3 nodes (environment) have limited direct impacts but may pose long-term risks. This system provides actionable insights to prioritize safety interventions, offering a robust framework for enhancing apron safety.https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10965671/Accident-inducing capabilityapron risk networkrisk propagationSIRS simulationspectral clustering
spellingShingle Ruxin Wang
Hong Yan
Rui Kang
Xiaolei Feng
Evaluation and Classification of Accident-Inducing and Risk Propagation in Airport Apron Networks
IEEE Access
Accident-inducing capability
apron risk network
risk propagation
SIRS simulation
spectral clustering
title Evaluation and Classification of Accident-Inducing and Risk Propagation in Airport Apron Networks
title_full Evaluation and Classification of Accident-Inducing and Risk Propagation in Airport Apron Networks
title_fullStr Evaluation and Classification of Accident-Inducing and Risk Propagation in Airport Apron Networks
title_full_unstemmed Evaluation and Classification of Accident-Inducing and Risk Propagation in Airport Apron Networks
title_short Evaluation and Classification of Accident-Inducing and Risk Propagation in Airport Apron Networks
title_sort evaluation and classification of accident inducing and risk propagation in airport apron networks
topic Accident-inducing capability
apron risk network
risk propagation
SIRS simulation
spectral clustering
url https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10965671/
work_keys_str_mv AT ruxinwang evaluationandclassificationofaccidentinducingandriskpropagationinairportapronnetworks
AT hongyan evaluationandclassificationofaccidentinducingandriskpropagationinairportapronnetworks
AT ruikang evaluationandclassificationofaccidentinducingandriskpropagationinairportapronnetworks
AT xiaoleifeng evaluationandclassificationofaccidentinducingandriskpropagationinairportapronnetworks