Modeling the number of university graduates for the development of the economy of the Kemerovo region

In the conditions of innovative economy development, the formation issues of the personnel and research potential of the region at the expense of local universities’ graduates are of particular importance. The article puts forward and confirms the hypothesis that a number of socio-economic developme...

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Main Authors: T. V. Bobko, T. I. Efremkova, T. V. Petrova
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Publishing House of the State University of Management 2024-02-01
Series:Вестник университета
Subjects:
Online Access:https://vestnik.guu.ru/jour/article/view/4932
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author T. V. Bobko
T. I. Efremkova
T. V. Petrova
author_facet T. V. Bobko
T. I. Efremkova
T. V. Petrova
author_sort T. V. Bobko
collection DOAJ
description In the conditions of innovative economy development, the formation issues of the personnel and research potential of the region at the expense of local universities’ graduates are of particular importance. The article puts forward and confirms the hypothesis that a number of socio-economic development indicators of Kemerovo region significantly affect the number of graduates of regional universities, which can be predicted considering changes in these indicators. With the help of the created model, it is possible to study the impact of each of the arguments of the model on the number of university graduates, predict their dynamics, identify targets for the management decisions development in the field of regulating the number of young specialists with higher education (necessary for the regional economy), as well as formulate strategic planning tasks and assess university development the potential. The results of the study can be used by structural divisions of the Government of Kuzbass, the leadership of universities and organizations of the Kemerovo region.
format Article
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institution Kabale University
issn 1816-4277
2686-8415
language English
publishDate 2024-02-01
publisher Publishing House of the State University of Management
record_format Article
series Вестник университета
spelling doaj-art-a78875c5033643e0a1de55c43ff9d8d32025-02-04T08:28:19ZengPublishing House of the State University of ManagementВестник университета1816-42772686-84152024-02-01012728410.26425/1816-4277-2023-12-72-842973Modeling the number of university graduates for the development of the economy of the Kemerovo regionT. V. Bobko0T. I. Efremkova1T. V. Petrova2Siberian State Industrial UniversitySiberian State Industrial UniversitySiberian State Industrial UniversityIn the conditions of innovative economy development, the formation issues of the personnel and research potential of the region at the expense of local universities’ graduates are of particular importance. The article puts forward and confirms the hypothesis that a number of socio-economic development indicators of Kemerovo region significantly affect the number of graduates of regional universities, which can be predicted considering changes in these indicators. With the help of the created model, it is possible to study the impact of each of the arguments of the model on the number of university graduates, predict their dynamics, identify targets for the management decisions development in the field of regulating the number of young specialists with higher education (necessary for the regional economy), as well as formulate strategic planning tasks and assess university development the potential. The results of the study can be used by structural divisions of the Government of Kuzbass, the leadership of universities and organizations of the Kemerovo region.https://vestnik.guu.ru/jour/article/view/4932econometric modelcorrelation analysisregional factorshigher educationpopulation forecaststatistical patterns
spellingShingle T. V. Bobko
T. I. Efremkova
T. V. Petrova
Modeling the number of university graduates for the development of the economy of the Kemerovo region
Вестник университета
econometric model
correlation analysis
regional factors
higher education
population forecast
statistical patterns
title Modeling the number of university graduates for the development of the economy of the Kemerovo region
title_full Modeling the number of university graduates for the development of the economy of the Kemerovo region
title_fullStr Modeling the number of university graduates for the development of the economy of the Kemerovo region
title_full_unstemmed Modeling the number of university graduates for the development of the economy of the Kemerovo region
title_short Modeling the number of university graduates for the development of the economy of the Kemerovo region
title_sort modeling the number of university graduates for the development of the economy of the kemerovo region
topic econometric model
correlation analysis
regional factors
higher education
population forecast
statistical patterns
url https://vestnik.guu.ru/jour/article/view/4932
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AT tiefremkova modelingthenumberofuniversitygraduatesforthedevelopmentoftheeconomyofthekemerovoregion
AT tvpetrova modelingthenumberofuniversitygraduatesforthedevelopmentoftheeconomyofthekemerovoregion