Survival and Stationary Distribution in a Stochastic SIS Model

The dynamics of a stochastic SIS epidemic model is investigated. First, we show that the system admits a unique positive global solution starting from the positive initial value. Then, the long-term asymptotic behavior of the model is studied: when R0≤1, we show how the solution spirals around the d...

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Main Authors: Yanli Zhou, Weiguo Zhang, Sanling Yuan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2013-01-01
Series:Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/592821
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author Yanli Zhou
Weiguo Zhang
Sanling Yuan
author_facet Yanli Zhou
Weiguo Zhang
Sanling Yuan
author_sort Yanli Zhou
collection DOAJ
description The dynamics of a stochastic SIS epidemic model is investigated. First, we show that the system admits a unique positive global solution starting from the positive initial value. Then, the long-term asymptotic behavior of the model is studied: when R0≤1, we show how the solution spirals around the disease-free equilibrium of deterministic system under some conditions; when R0>1, we show that the stochastic model has a stationary distribution under certain parametric restrictions. In particular, we show that random effects may lead the disease to extinction in scenarios where the deterministic model predicts persistence. Finally, numerical simulations are carried out to illustrate the theoretical results.
format Article
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institution Kabale University
issn 1026-0226
1607-887X
language English
publishDate 2013-01-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
spelling doaj-art-a6db2e3272824eaea6a94c4bad4971e32025-02-03T01:00:50ZengWileyDiscrete Dynamics in Nature and Society1026-02261607-887X2013-01-01201310.1155/2013/592821592821Survival and Stationary Distribution in a Stochastic SIS ModelYanli Zhou0Weiguo Zhang1Sanling Yuan2College of Science, University of Shanghai for Science and Technology, Shanghai 200093, ChinaCollege of Science, University of Shanghai for Science and Technology, Shanghai 200093, ChinaCollege of Science, University of Shanghai for Science and Technology, Shanghai 200093, ChinaThe dynamics of a stochastic SIS epidemic model is investigated. First, we show that the system admits a unique positive global solution starting from the positive initial value. Then, the long-term asymptotic behavior of the model is studied: when R0≤1, we show how the solution spirals around the disease-free equilibrium of deterministic system under some conditions; when R0>1, we show that the stochastic model has a stationary distribution under certain parametric restrictions. In particular, we show that random effects may lead the disease to extinction in scenarios where the deterministic model predicts persistence. Finally, numerical simulations are carried out to illustrate the theoretical results.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/592821
spellingShingle Yanli Zhou
Weiguo Zhang
Sanling Yuan
Survival and Stationary Distribution in a Stochastic SIS Model
Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
title Survival and Stationary Distribution in a Stochastic SIS Model
title_full Survival and Stationary Distribution in a Stochastic SIS Model
title_fullStr Survival and Stationary Distribution in a Stochastic SIS Model
title_full_unstemmed Survival and Stationary Distribution in a Stochastic SIS Model
title_short Survival and Stationary Distribution in a Stochastic SIS Model
title_sort survival and stationary distribution in a stochastic sis model
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/592821
work_keys_str_mv AT yanlizhou survivalandstationarydistributioninastochasticsismodel
AT weiguozhang survivalandstationarydistributioninastochasticsismodel
AT sanlingyuan survivalandstationarydistributioninastochasticsismodel