Bus Ridership Prediction and Scenario Analysis through ML and Multi-Agent Simulations

This paper introduces an innovative approach to predicting bus ridership andanalysing transportation scenarios through a fusion of machine learning (ML) techniques and multi-agent simulations. Utilising a comprehensive dataset from an urban bus system, we employ ML models to accurately forecast pass...

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Main Authors: Pasqual Martí, Alejandro Ibáñez, Vicente Julian, Paulo Novais, Jaume Jordán
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Ediciones Universidad de Salamanca 2024-12-01
Series:Advances in Distributed Computing and Artificial Intelligence Journal
Subjects:
Online Access:https://revistas.usal.es/cinco/index.php/2255-2863/article/view/31866
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author Pasqual Martí
Alejandro Ibáñez
Vicente Julian
Paulo Novais
Jaume Jordán
author_facet Pasqual Martí
Alejandro Ibáñez
Vicente Julian
Paulo Novais
Jaume Jordán
author_sort Pasqual Martí
collection DOAJ
description This paper introduces an innovative approach to predicting bus ridership andanalysing transportation scenarios through a fusion of machine learning (ML) techniques and multi-agent simulations. Utilising a comprehensive dataset from an urban bus system, we employ ML models to accurately forecast passenger flows, factoring in diverse variables such as weather conditions. The novelty of our method lies in the application of these predictions to generate detailed simulation scenarios, which are meticulously executed to evaluate the efficacy of public transportation services. Our research uniquely demonstrates the synergy between ML predictions and agent-based simulations, offering a robust tool for optimising urban mobility. The results reveal critical insights into resource allocation, service efficiency, and potential improvements in public transport systems. This study significantly advances the field by providing a practical framework for transportation providers to optimise services and address long-term challenges in urban mobility
format Article
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institution Kabale University
issn 2255-2863
language English
publishDate 2024-12-01
publisher Ediciones Universidad de Salamanca
record_format Article
series Advances in Distributed Computing and Artificial Intelligence Journal
spelling doaj-art-a4f0040983af4332870d34db1d5165bf2025-01-23T11:25:18ZengEdiciones Universidad de SalamancaAdvances in Distributed Computing and Artificial Intelligence Journal2255-28632024-12-0113e31866e3186610.14201/adcaij.3186637347Bus Ridership Prediction and Scenario Analysis through ML and Multi-Agent SimulationsPasqual Martí0Alejandro Ibáñez1Vicente Julian2Paulo Novais3Jaume Jordán4Valencian Research Institute for Artificial Intelligence (VRAIN), Universitat Politècnica de València, Valencia, SpainValencian Research Institute for Artificial Intelligence (VRAIN), Universitat Politècnica de València, Valencia, SpainValencian Graduate School and Research Network of Artificial Intelligence, Universitat Politècnica de València, Valencia, SpainALGORITMI Centre, Universidade do Minho, Braga, PortugalValencian Research Institute for Artificial Intelligence (VRAIN), Universitat Politècnica de València, Valencia, SpainThis paper introduces an innovative approach to predicting bus ridership andanalysing transportation scenarios through a fusion of machine learning (ML) techniques and multi-agent simulations. Utilising a comprehensive dataset from an urban bus system, we employ ML models to accurately forecast passenger flows, factoring in diverse variables such as weather conditions. The novelty of our method lies in the application of these predictions to generate detailed simulation scenarios, which are meticulously executed to evaluate the efficacy of public transportation services. Our research uniquely demonstrates the synergy between ML predictions and agent-based simulations, offering a robust tool for optimising urban mobility. The results reveal critical insights into resource allocation, service efficiency, and potential improvements in public transport systems. This study significantly advances the field by providing a practical framework for transportation providers to optimise services and address long-term challenges in urban mobilityhttps://revistas.usal.es/cinco/index.php/2255-2863/article/view/31866passenger predictionurban mobilityagent simulation
spellingShingle Pasqual Martí
Alejandro Ibáñez
Vicente Julian
Paulo Novais
Jaume Jordán
Bus Ridership Prediction and Scenario Analysis through ML and Multi-Agent Simulations
Advances in Distributed Computing and Artificial Intelligence Journal
passenger prediction
urban mobility
agent simulation
title Bus Ridership Prediction and Scenario Analysis through ML and Multi-Agent Simulations
title_full Bus Ridership Prediction and Scenario Analysis through ML and Multi-Agent Simulations
title_fullStr Bus Ridership Prediction and Scenario Analysis through ML and Multi-Agent Simulations
title_full_unstemmed Bus Ridership Prediction and Scenario Analysis through ML and Multi-Agent Simulations
title_short Bus Ridership Prediction and Scenario Analysis through ML and Multi-Agent Simulations
title_sort bus ridership prediction and scenario analysis through ml and multi agent simulations
topic passenger prediction
urban mobility
agent simulation
url https://revistas.usal.es/cinco/index.php/2255-2863/article/view/31866
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AT alejandroibanez busridershippredictionandscenarioanalysisthroughmlandmultiagentsimulations
AT vicentejulian busridershippredictionandscenarioanalysisthroughmlandmultiagentsimulations
AT paulonovais busridershippredictionandscenarioanalysisthroughmlandmultiagentsimulations
AT jaumejordan busridershippredictionandscenarioanalysisthroughmlandmultiagentsimulations