On Zero-Inflated Hierarchical Poisson Models with Application to Maternal Mortality Data
Count outcomes are commonly encountered in health sector data. The occurrence of count outcomes that exhibit many zeros has necessitated the extension of the ubiquitous Poisson regression model to accommodate the zero inflation and overdispersion as a result of the extra dispersion. We explored diff...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Wiley
2020-01-01
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| Series: | International Journal of Mathematics and Mathematical Sciences |
| Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/1407320 |
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| author | Kassim Tawiah Samuel Iddi Anani Lotsi |
| author_facet | Kassim Tawiah Samuel Iddi Anani Lotsi |
| author_sort | Kassim Tawiah |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Count outcomes are commonly encountered in health sector data. The occurrence of count outcomes that exhibit many zeros has necessitated the extension of the ubiquitous Poisson regression model to accommodate the zero inflation and overdispersion as a result of the extra dispersion. We explored different extensions of the Poisson model including mixed models within the generalized linear mixed model framework to account for the repeated measurement of outcomes. These models are applied to maternal mortality data from fifty-six health facilities in four regions of Ghana. The objective is to identify factors associated with maternal mortality. The best-fitting model, the zero-inflated Poisson generalized linear mixed model, revealed that maternal mortality in hospital facilities is influenced by the number of referrals (into and out) of the hospital facility, number of antenatal visits exceeding four, number of midwives, and number of medical doctors at the facility. To be able to achieve targeted results in reducing maternal mortality and achieve the Sustainable Development Goal 3, the government, together with the ministry of health, should provide adequate maternal health services, especially at the district and community level. Additionally, there is a need for increased investment in Community Health Planning Services and related healthcare infrastructure and systems within the context of the Ouagadougou Declaration, that is, improve the training of skilled birth workers (midwives and doctors) and employ them at clinics to deal with labour complications without referring them to major hospitals. Furthermore, a well-structured awareness campaign is needed with importance given to avoiding adolescent pregnancy and improving antenatal care attendance to, at least, four, the gold standard, before delivery. Also, we recommend quality assessment form an essential part of all services that are directed towards improving maternal health and that more emphasis is needed to be given on research with multiple allied partners. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-a4b2c29d7ddc43bf8e8829ff856ee568 |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 0161-1712 1687-0425 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2020-01-01 |
| publisher | Wiley |
| record_format | Article |
| series | International Journal of Mathematics and Mathematical Sciences |
| spelling | doaj-art-a4b2c29d7ddc43bf8e8829ff856ee5682025-02-03T01:01:23ZengWileyInternational Journal of Mathematics and Mathematical Sciences0161-17121687-04252020-01-01202010.1155/2020/14073201407320On Zero-Inflated Hierarchical Poisson Models with Application to Maternal Mortality DataKassim Tawiah0Samuel Iddi1Anani Lotsi2Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Energy and Natural Resources, Sunyani, GhanaDepartments of Statistics and Actuarial Sciences, University of Ghana, Accra, GhanaDepartments of Statistics and Actuarial Sciences, University of Ghana, Accra, GhanaCount outcomes are commonly encountered in health sector data. The occurrence of count outcomes that exhibit many zeros has necessitated the extension of the ubiquitous Poisson regression model to accommodate the zero inflation and overdispersion as a result of the extra dispersion. We explored different extensions of the Poisson model including mixed models within the generalized linear mixed model framework to account for the repeated measurement of outcomes. These models are applied to maternal mortality data from fifty-six health facilities in four regions of Ghana. The objective is to identify factors associated with maternal mortality. The best-fitting model, the zero-inflated Poisson generalized linear mixed model, revealed that maternal mortality in hospital facilities is influenced by the number of referrals (into and out) of the hospital facility, number of antenatal visits exceeding four, number of midwives, and number of medical doctors at the facility. To be able to achieve targeted results in reducing maternal mortality and achieve the Sustainable Development Goal 3, the government, together with the ministry of health, should provide adequate maternal health services, especially at the district and community level. Additionally, there is a need for increased investment in Community Health Planning Services and related healthcare infrastructure and systems within the context of the Ouagadougou Declaration, that is, improve the training of skilled birth workers (midwives and doctors) and employ them at clinics to deal with labour complications without referring them to major hospitals. Furthermore, a well-structured awareness campaign is needed with importance given to avoiding adolescent pregnancy and improving antenatal care attendance to, at least, four, the gold standard, before delivery. Also, we recommend quality assessment form an essential part of all services that are directed towards improving maternal health and that more emphasis is needed to be given on research with multiple allied partners.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/1407320 |
| spellingShingle | Kassim Tawiah Samuel Iddi Anani Lotsi On Zero-Inflated Hierarchical Poisson Models with Application to Maternal Mortality Data International Journal of Mathematics and Mathematical Sciences |
| title | On Zero-Inflated Hierarchical Poisson Models with Application to Maternal Mortality Data |
| title_full | On Zero-Inflated Hierarchical Poisson Models with Application to Maternal Mortality Data |
| title_fullStr | On Zero-Inflated Hierarchical Poisson Models with Application to Maternal Mortality Data |
| title_full_unstemmed | On Zero-Inflated Hierarchical Poisson Models with Application to Maternal Mortality Data |
| title_short | On Zero-Inflated Hierarchical Poisson Models with Application to Maternal Mortality Data |
| title_sort | on zero inflated hierarchical poisson models with application to maternal mortality data |
| url | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/1407320 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT kassimtawiah onzeroinflatedhierarchicalpoissonmodelswithapplicationtomaternalmortalitydata AT samueliddi onzeroinflatedhierarchicalpoissonmodelswithapplicationtomaternalmortalitydata AT ananilotsi onzeroinflatedhierarchicalpoissonmodelswithapplicationtomaternalmortalitydata |