Spatiotemporal evolution of hedging effects in Asia-Pacific countries amid Sino-US competition: Insights from massive event data.

Facing the pressure of Sino-US strategic competition, countries in the Asia-Pacific region often adopt hedging strategies to minimize risk and protect their interests. If implemented, these strategies could impact relationships between countries and lead to political instability. Owing to a lack of...

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Main Authors: Qiyue Hu, Lihua Yuan, Bin Liu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2025-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0317308
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author Qiyue Hu
Lihua Yuan
Bin Liu
author_facet Qiyue Hu
Lihua Yuan
Bin Liu
author_sort Qiyue Hu
collection DOAJ
description Facing the pressure of Sino-US strategic competition, countries in the Asia-Pacific region often adopt hedging strategies to minimize risk and protect their interests. If implemented, these strategies could impact relationships between countries and lead to political instability. Owing to a lack of theoretical evaluation frameworks and methods, few studies have examined the implementation effects of hedging strategies adopted by Asia-Pacific countries amid Sino-US competition. This study proposes a novel four-quadrant evaluation theoretical framework, and constructs a Geopolitical Relation Index and a Comparative Relation Index based on the Global Database of Events, Language, and Tone massive event data. Since 2000, the effects of hedging strategies in 19 Asia-Pacific countries against China and the US have been dynamically quantified. The research reveals that Asia-Pacific countries' dynamic performances over 24 years can be categorized into three groups: significantly closer to China, significantly closer to the US, and swinging. Since implementing the Belt and Road Initiative, countries close to China have deepened their ties, while those aligned with the US have strengthened their ties. Asia-Pacific countries have demonstrated similar characteristics from Obama's presidency to Biden's presidency. The results contribute to the dynamic assessment and ongoing monitoring of the execution effects of Asia-Pacific countries' diplomatic strategies towards China and the US, offering valuable insights for timely refinement of their foreign policies.
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spelling doaj-art-a4035e8073c34d4d89c72d72736f6b142025-02-05T05:31:26ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032025-01-01201e031730810.1371/journal.pone.0317308Spatiotemporal evolution of hedging effects in Asia-Pacific countries amid Sino-US competition: Insights from massive event data.Qiyue HuLihua YuanBin LiuFacing the pressure of Sino-US strategic competition, countries in the Asia-Pacific region often adopt hedging strategies to minimize risk and protect their interests. If implemented, these strategies could impact relationships between countries and lead to political instability. Owing to a lack of theoretical evaluation frameworks and methods, few studies have examined the implementation effects of hedging strategies adopted by Asia-Pacific countries amid Sino-US competition. This study proposes a novel four-quadrant evaluation theoretical framework, and constructs a Geopolitical Relation Index and a Comparative Relation Index based on the Global Database of Events, Language, and Tone massive event data. Since 2000, the effects of hedging strategies in 19 Asia-Pacific countries against China and the US have been dynamically quantified. The research reveals that Asia-Pacific countries' dynamic performances over 24 years can be categorized into three groups: significantly closer to China, significantly closer to the US, and swinging. Since implementing the Belt and Road Initiative, countries close to China have deepened their ties, while those aligned with the US have strengthened their ties. Asia-Pacific countries have demonstrated similar characteristics from Obama's presidency to Biden's presidency. The results contribute to the dynamic assessment and ongoing monitoring of the execution effects of Asia-Pacific countries' diplomatic strategies towards China and the US, offering valuable insights for timely refinement of their foreign policies.https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0317308
spellingShingle Qiyue Hu
Lihua Yuan
Bin Liu
Spatiotemporal evolution of hedging effects in Asia-Pacific countries amid Sino-US competition: Insights from massive event data.
PLoS ONE
title Spatiotemporal evolution of hedging effects in Asia-Pacific countries amid Sino-US competition: Insights from massive event data.
title_full Spatiotemporal evolution of hedging effects in Asia-Pacific countries amid Sino-US competition: Insights from massive event data.
title_fullStr Spatiotemporal evolution of hedging effects in Asia-Pacific countries amid Sino-US competition: Insights from massive event data.
title_full_unstemmed Spatiotemporal evolution of hedging effects in Asia-Pacific countries amid Sino-US competition: Insights from massive event data.
title_short Spatiotemporal evolution of hedging effects in Asia-Pacific countries amid Sino-US competition: Insights from massive event data.
title_sort spatiotemporal evolution of hedging effects in asia pacific countries amid sino us competition insights from massive event data
url https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0317308
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AT binliu spatiotemporalevolutionofhedgingeffectsinasiapacificcountriesamidsinouscompetitioninsightsfrommassiveeventdata