Wind Power Assessment Based on a WRF Wind Simulation with Developed Power Curve Modeling Methods

The accurate assessment of wind power potential requires not only the detailed knowledge of the local wind resource but also an equivalent power curve with good effect for a local wind farm. Although the probability distribution functions (pdfs) of the wind speed are commonly used, their seemingly g...

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Main Authors: Zhenhai Guo, Xia Xiao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2014-01-01
Series:Abstract and Applied Analysis
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/941648
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author Zhenhai Guo
Xia Xiao
author_facet Zhenhai Guo
Xia Xiao
author_sort Zhenhai Guo
collection DOAJ
description The accurate assessment of wind power potential requires not only the detailed knowledge of the local wind resource but also an equivalent power curve with good effect for a local wind farm. Although the probability distribution functions (pdfs) of the wind speed are commonly used, their seemingly good performance for distribution may not always translate into an accurate assessment of power generation. This paper contributes to the development of wind power assessment based on the wind speed simulation of weather research and forecasting (WRF) and two improved power curve modeling methods. These approaches are improvements on the power curve modeling that is originally fitted by the single layer feed-forward neural network (SLFN) in this paper; in addition, a data quality check and outlier detection technique and the directional curve modeling method are adopted to effectively enhance the original model performance. The proposed two methods, named WRF-SLFN-OD and WRF-SLFN-WD, are able to avoid the interference from abnormal output and the directional effect of local wind speed during the power curve modeling process. The data examined are from three stations in northern China; the simulation indicates that the two developed methods have strong abilities to provide a more accurate assessment of the wind power potential compared with the original methods.
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institution Kabale University
issn 1085-3375
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language English
publishDate 2014-01-01
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series Abstract and Applied Analysis
spelling doaj-art-a33f61d4448949a09e3215457d63d70b2025-02-03T06:13:20ZengWileyAbstract and Applied Analysis1085-33751687-04092014-01-01201410.1155/2014/941648941648Wind Power Assessment Based on a WRF Wind Simulation with Developed Power Curve Modeling MethodsZhenhai Guo0Xia Xiao1State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, ChinaThe accurate assessment of wind power potential requires not only the detailed knowledge of the local wind resource but also an equivalent power curve with good effect for a local wind farm. Although the probability distribution functions (pdfs) of the wind speed are commonly used, their seemingly good performance for distribution may not always translate into an accurate assessment of power generation. This paper contributes to the development of wind power assessment based on the wind speed simulation of weather research and forecasting (WRF) and two improved power curve modeling methods. These approaches are improvements on the power curve modeling that is originally fitted by the single layer feed-forward neural network (SLFN) in this paper; in addition, a data quality check and outlier detection technique and the directional curve modeling method are adopted to effectively enhance the original model performance. The proposed two methods, named WRF-SLFN-OD and WRF-SLFN-WD, are able to avoid the interference from abnormal output and the directional effect of local wind speed during the power curve modeling process. The data examined are from three stations in northern China; the simulation indicates that the two developed methods have strong abilities to provide a more accurate assessment of the wind power potential compared with the original methods.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/941648
spellingShingle Zhenhai Guo
Xia Xiao
Wind Power Assessment Based on a WRF Wind Simulation with Developed Power Curve Modeling Methods
Abstract and Applied Analysis
title Wind Power Assessment Based on a WRF Wind Simulation with Developed Power Curve Modeling Methods
title_full Wind Power Assessment Based on a WRF Wind Simulation with Developed Power Curve Modeling Methods
title_fullStr Wind Power Assessment Based on a WRF Wind Simulation with Developed Power Curve Modeling Methods
title_full_unstemmed Wind Power Assessment Based on a WRF Wind Simulation with Developed Power Curve Modeling Methods
title_short Wind Power Assessment Based on a WRF Wind Simulation with Developed Power Curve Modeling Methods
title_sort wind power assessment based on a wrf wind simulation with developed power curve modeling methods
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/941648
work_keys_str_mv AT zhenhaiguo windpowerassessmentbasedonawrfwindsimulationwithdevelopedpowercurvemodelingmethods
AT xiaxiao windpowerassessmentbasedonawrfwindsimulationwithdevelopedpowercurvemodelingmethods