Assessment of multidecadal precipitation seasonality in the panama canal watershed

Study Region: The 3000 km2 of the Panama Canal Watershed. Study Focus: This study provides insight into the spatiotemporal behavior of precipitation across the PCW11 Panama Canal Watershed utilizing 6-day rainfall records from 29 meteorological stations from 1950 to 2019. The focus interval of 2000–...

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Main Authors: István Gábor Hatvani, Nayara Azevedo de Castro Souza, Russell S. Harmon, Jorge A. Espinosa, Zoltán Kern
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-04-01
Series:Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581825000370
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author István Gábor Hatvani
Nayara Azevedo de Castro Souza
Russell S. Harmon
Jorge A. Espinosa
Zoltán Kern
author_facet István Gábor Hatvani
Nayara Azevedo de Castro Souza
Russell S. Harmon
Jorge A. Espinosa
Zoltán Kern
author_sort István Gábor Hatvani
collection DOAJ
description Study Region: The 3000 km2 of the Panama Canal Watershed. Study Focus: This study provides insight into the spatiotemporal behavior of precipitation across the PCW11 Panama Canal Watershed utilizing 6-day rainfall records from 29 meteorological stations from 1950 to 2019. The focus interval of 2000–2017 offered the most complete spatiotemporal coverage of the long-term seasonal variability explored by hierarchical cluster analysis. Since the ENSO22 El Niño Southern Oscillation is a key driver of hydroclimate variability in central Panama, differences in the rainfall patterns during the six most prominent El Niño and La Niña events, having respective ENSO indices of > 1.80 and < ˗1.63, were compared to quasi-neutral conditions for the assigned hydroclimatological domains. New Hydrological Insights for the Region: Three spatial domains of similar patterns of seasonal and geographical distribution of rainfall were delineated in PCW by clustering the precipitation-seasonality time series. Stations in the northeastern and northwestern domains of the PCW experience higher average daily precipitation, influenced by the interplay of the annual movement of the ITCZ33 Intertropical Convergence Zone across Panama and weather systems over the Caribbean Sea. The southwestern group of stations reflect the drier conditions prevailing along Panama’s Pacific coast. The most significant ENSO effect is observed in the northeastern part of the PCW, which displays distinct rainfall patterns during the early and late stages of the annual wet season. Since an increase in consecutive La Niña events is expected, it may potentially lead to more precipitation, along with prolonged wet and shorter dry seasons.
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spelling doaj-art-a0f7831e38984d79ae46ff1e08fe6dab2025-02-03T04:16:44ZengElsevierJournal of Hydrology: Regional Studies2214-58182025-04-0158102213Assessment of multidecadal precipitation seasonality in the panama canal watershedIstván Gábor Hatvani0Nayara Azevedo de Castro Souza1Russell S. Harmon2Jorge A. Espinosa3Zoltán Kern4Center of Environmental Science, Eötvös Loránd University, Pázmány Péter stny 1, Budapest H-1117, Hungary; Institute for Geological and Geochemical Research, HUN-REN Research Centre for Astronomy and Earth Sciences, Budaörsi út 45, Budapest H-1112, Hungary; CSFK, MTA Centre of Excellence, Konkoly Thege Miklós út 15-17, Budapest H-1121, HungaryCenter of Environmental Science, Eötvös Loránd University, Pázmány Péter stny 1, Budapest H-1117, Hungary; Department of Geology, Eötvös Loránd University, Pázmány Péter stny 1, Budapest H-1117, HungaryDepartment of Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27615 USA; Corresponding author.Autoridad del Canal de Panamá, Panama City, PanamaInstitute for Geological and Geochemical Research, HUN-REN Research Centre for Astronomy and Earth Sciences, Budaörsi út 45, Budapest H-1112, Hungary; CSFK, MTA Centre of Excellence, Konkoly Thege Miklós út 15-17, Budapest H-1121, HungaryStudy Region: The 3000 km2 of the Panama Canal Watershed. Study Focus: This study provides insight into the spatiotemporal behavior of precipitation across the PCW11 Panama Canal Watershed utilizing 6-day rainfall records from 29 meteorological stations from 1950 to 2019. The focus interval of 2000–2017 offered the most complete spatiotemporal coverage of the long-term seasonal variability explored by hierarchical cluster analysis. Since the ENSO22 El Niño Southern Oscillation is a key driver of hydroclimate variability in central Panama, differences in the rainfall patterns during the six most prominent El Niño and La Niña events, having respective ENSO indices of > 1.80 and < ˗1.63, were compared to quasi-neutral conditions for the assigned hydroclimatological domains. New Hydrological Insights for the Region: Three spatial domains of similar patterns of seasonal and geographical distribution of rainfall were delineated in PCW by clustering the precipitation-seasonality time series. Stations in the northeastern and northwestern domains of the PCW experience higher average daily precipitation, influenced by the interplay of the annual movement of the ITCZ33 Intertropical Convergence Zone across Panama and weather systems over the Caribbean Sea. The southwestern group of stations reflect the drier conditions prevailing along Panama’s Pacific coast. The most significant ENSO effect is observed in the northeastern part of the PCW, which displays distinct rainfall patterns during the early and late stages of the annual wet season. Since an increase in consecutive La Niña events is expected, it may potentially lead to more precipitation, along with prolonged wet and shorter dry seasons.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581825000370Humid tropicsPrecipitation seasonalityCluster analysisPanama CanalENSO
spellingShingle István Gábor Hatvani
Nayara Azevedo de Castro Souza
Russell S. Harmon
Jorge A. Espinosa
Zoltán Kern
Assessment of multidecadal precipitation seasonality in the panama canal watershed
Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies
Humid tropics
Precipitation seasonality
Cluster analysis
Panama Canal
ENSO
title Assessment of multidecadal precipitation seasonality in the panama canal watershed
title_full Assessment of multidecadal precipitation seasonality in the panama canal watershed
title_fullStr Assessment of multidecadal precipitation seasonality in the panama canal watershed
title_full_unstemmed Assessment of multidecadal precipitation seasonality in the panama canal watershed
title_short Assessment of multidecadal precipitation seasonality in the panama canal watershed
title_sort assessment of multidecadal precipitation seasonality in the panama canal watershed
topic Humid tropics
Precipitation seasonality
Cluster analysis
Panama Canal
ENSO
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581825000370
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