Polar mesospheric ozone loss initiates downward coupling of solar signal in the Northern Hemisphere

Abstract Solar driven energetic particle precipitation (EPP) is an important factor in polar atmospheric ozone balance and has been linked to ground-level regional climate variability. However, the linking mechanism has remained ambiguous. The observed and simulated ground-level changes start well b...

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Main Authors: Annika Seppälä, Niilo Kalakoski, Pekka T. Verronen, Daniel R. Marsh, Alexey Yu. Karpechko, Monika E. Szelag
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-01-01
Series:Nature Communications
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-55966-z
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author Annika Seppälä
Niilo Kalakoski
Pekka T. Verronen
Daniel R. Marsh
Alexey Yu. Karpechko
Monika E. Szelag
author_facet Annika Seppälä
Niilo Kalakoski
Pekka T. Verronen
Daniel R. Marsh
Alexey Yu. Karpechko
Monika E. Szelag
author_sort Annika Seppälä
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Solar driven energetic particle precipitation (EPP) is an important factor in polar atmospheric ozone balance and has been linked to ground-level regional climate variability. However, the linking mechanism has remained ambiguous. The observed and simulated ground-level changes start well before the processes from the main candidate, the so-called EPP-indirect effect, would start. Here we show that initial reduction of polar mesospheric ozone and the resulting change in atmospheric heating rapidly couples to dynamics, transferring the signal downwards, shifting the tropospheric jet polewards. This pathway is not constrained to the polar vortex. Rather, a subtropical route initiated by a changing wind shear plays a key role. Our results show that the signal propagates downwards in timescales consistent with observed tropospheric level climatic changes linked to EPP. This pathway, from mesospheric ozone to regional climate, is independent of the EPP-indirect effect, and solves the long-standing mechanism problem for EPP effects on climate.
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institution Kabale University
issn 2041-1723
language English
publishDate 2025-01-01
publisher Nature Portfolio
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series Nature Communications
spelling doaj-art-9e7f8d9dc68a42a582561b04d901744a2025-01-19T12:30:12ZengNature PortfolioNature Communications2041-17232025-01-011611710.1038/s41467-025-55966-zPolar mesospheric ozone loss initiates downward coupling of solar signal in the Northern HemisphereAnnika Seppälä0Niilo Kalakoski1Pekka T. Verronen2Daniel R. Marsh3Alexey Yu. Karpechko4Monika E. Szelag5Department of Physics, University of OtagoSpace and Earth Observation Centre, Finnish Meteorological InstituteSpace and Earth Observation Centre, Finnish Meteorological InstituteClimate and Global Dynamics, National Center for Atmospheric ResearchFinnish Meteorological InstituteSpace and Earth Observation Centre, Finnish Meteorological InstituteAbstract Solar driven energetic particle precipitation (EPP) is an important factor in polar atmospheric ozone balance and has been linked to ground-level regional climate variability. However, the linking mechanism has remained ambiguous. The observed and simulated ground-level changes start well before the processes from the main candidate, the so-called EPP-indirect effect, would start. Here we show that initial reduction of polar mesospheric ozone and the resulting change in atmospheric heating rapidly couples to dynamics, transferring the signal downwards, shifting the tropospheric jet polewards. This pathway is not constrained to the polar vortex. Rather, a subtropical route initiated by a changing wind shear plays a key role. Our results show that the signal propagates downwards in timescales consistent with observed tropospheric level climatic changes linked to EPP. This pathway, from mesospheric ozone to regional climate, is independent of the EPP-indirect effect, and solves the long-standing mechanism problem for EPP effects on climate.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-55966-z
spellingShingle Annika Seppälä
Niilo Kalakoski
Pekka T. Verronen
Daniel R. Marsh
Alexey Yu. Karpechko
Monika E. Szelag
Polar mesospheric ozone loss initiates downward coupling of solar signal in the Northern Hemisphere
Nature Communications
title Polar mesospheric ozone loss initiates downward coupling of solar signal in the Northern Hemisphere
title_full Polar mesospheric ozone loss initiates downward coupling of solar signal in the Northern Hemisphere
title_fullStr Polar mesospheric ozone loss initiates downward coupling of solar signal in the Northern Hemisphere
title_full_unstemmed Polar mesospheric ozone loss initiates downward coupling of solar signal in the Northern Hemisphere
title_short Polar mesospheric ozone loss initiates downward coupling of solar signal in the Northern Hemisphere
title_sort polar mesospheric ozone loss initiates downward coupling of solar signal in the northern hemisphere
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-55966-z
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