Debt Brake: Putting the Potential Output Estimation Method to the Test

Abstract The coalition agreement of the federal government states that there needs to be a review of the details of the debt brake, especially the rules for determining the production potential. In particular, the methodology for calculating cyclical deficits is being discussed, as this is decisive...

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Main Author: ZG Überblick
Format: Article
Language:deu
Published: Sciendo 2022-11-01
Series:Wirtschaftsdienst
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1007/s10273-022-3321-2
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author ZG Überblick
author_facet ZG Überblick
author_sort ZG Überblick
collection DOAJ
description Abstract The coalition agreement of the federal government states that there needs to be a review of the details of the debt brake, especially the rules for determining the production potential. In particular, the methodology for calculating cyclical deficits is being discussed, as this is decisive for the possible level of new debt. The characteristics that such a methodology should have is disputed. A fundamental point of criticism of the current procedure is its revision sensitivity and procyclicality, which tends to lead to an underestimation of cyclical deficits.
format Article
id doaj-art-9c5e720c53fd4be4a3c97d561bd0202a
institution Kabale University
issn 1613-978X
language deu
publishDate 2022-11-01
publisher Sciendo
record_format Article
series Wirtschaftsdienst
spelling doaj-art-9c5e720c53fd4be4a3c97d561bd0202a2025-02-03T07:31:42ZdeuSciendoWirtschaftsdienst1613-978X2022-11-011021182182110.1007/s10273-022-3321-2Debt Brake: Putting the Potential Output Estimation Method to the TestZG ÜberblickAbstract The coalition agreement of the federal government states that there needs to be a review of the details of the debt brake, especially the rules for determining the production potential. In particular, the methodology for calculating cyclical deficits is being discussed, as this is decisive for the possible level of new debt. The characteristics that such a methodology should have is disputed. A fundamental point of criticism of the current procedure is its revision sensitivity and procyclicality, which tends to lead to an underestimation of cyclical deficits.https://doi.org/10.1007/s10273-022-3321-2
spellingShingle ZG Überblick
Debt Brake: Putting the Potential Output Estimation Method to the Test
Wirtschaftsdienst
title Debt Brake: Putting the Potential Output Estimation Method to the Test
title_full Debt Brake: Putting the Potential Output Estimation Method to the Test
title_fullStr Debt Brake: Putting the Potential Output Estimation Method to the Test
title_full_unstemmed Debt Brake: Putting the Potential Output Estimation Method to the Test
title_short Debt Brake: Putting the Potential Output Estimation Method to the Test
title_sort debt brake putting the potential output estimation method to the test
url https://doi.org/10.1007/s10273-022-3321-2
work_keys_str_mv AT zguberblick debtbrakeputtingthepotentialoutputestimationmethodtothetest