Incidence of diabetic retinopathy and predictors among adult patients with diabetes in central and southern Ethiopia: a multicentre retrospective cohort study

Objectives This study aimed to determine the incidence of diabetic retinopathy (DR) and predictors among adult patients with diabetes in central and southern Ethiopia.Design A hospital-based retrospective cohort study was conducted.Setting The study was conducted in selected public hospitals in cent...

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Main Authors: Tagese Yakob, Awoke Abraham, Begidu Yakob, Mesfin Menza Jaldo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMJ Publishing Group 2025-01-01
Series:BMJ Open
Online Access:https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/15/1/e090916.full
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author Tagese Yakob
Awoke Abraham
Begidu Yakob
Mesfin Menza Jaldo
author_facet Tagese Yakob
Awoke Abraham
Begidu Yakob
Mesfin Menza Jaldo
author_sort Tagese Yakob
collection DOAJ
description Objectives This study aimed to determine the incidence of diabetic retinopathy (DR) and predictors among adult patients with diabetes in central and southern Ethiopia.Design A hospital-based retrospective cohort study was conducted.Setting The study was conducted in selected public hospitals in central and southern Ethiopia.Participants A total of 376 adult participants newly diagnosed with diabetes were enrolled from 2015 to 2023, and the follow-up date was from the date of enrolment to the development of events.Outcome measures The data were collected by reviewing their records and entered in EpiData V.4.6.0.2 and exported to STATA V.14 for analysis. Descriptive statistics of the variables were obtained. The Cox proportional hazards assumption was checked. The Cox regression model was used to determine the median time to develop DR and identify predictors of DR. Bivariable and multivariable analyses were done; variables with a value of p<0.05 and a corresponding 95% CI in the final model were used. The model of adequacy was checked.Results Records of a total of 376 adult patients with diabetes were reviewed with a mean baseline age (±SD) of 34.8±10 years. Of the total study participants, half (189, 50.3%) were female. A total of 376 adult patients with diabetes were followed for 45 752 person-months (PMs). Overall, the incidence rate was 11.7 per 1000 PMs of observation. Positive proteinuria (adjusted HR (AHR)=2.19; 95% CI 1.18 to 4.08), hypertension (HTN) (AHR=2.23; 95% CI 1.39 to 3.55) and type 2 diabetes mellitus (AHR=2.89; 95% CI 1.19 to 7.05) were independently significant predictors of DR.Conclusion The overall incidence rate of DR (type 1 and type 2) was high. Adult patients with diabetes with HTN, proteinuria and type of diabetes were independent predictors of DR. The best strategy to protect our eyesight from DR is to control high glucose level and giving due attention to high-risk individuals with diabetes. Thus, health professionals and concerned health authorities should target these factors in their efforts to prevent DR among diabetics.
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spelling doaj-art-9a3c2065579b42709d80d39c551a251b2025-01-23T10:50:10ZengBMJ Publishing GroupBMJ Open2044-60552025-01-0115110.1136/bmjopen-2024-090916Incidence of diabetic retinopathy and predictors among adult patients with diabetes in central and southern Ethiopia: a multicentre retrospective cohort studyTagese Yakob0Awoke Abraham1Begidu Yakob2Mesfin Menza Jaldo31 School of Public Health, College of Health Science and Medicine, Wolaita Sodo University, Sodo, Ethiopia1 School of Public Health, College of Health Science and Medicine, Wolaita Sodo University, Sodo, Ethiopia2 Division of Monitoring and Evalution, Wolaita Zone Health Department, Sodo, Ethiopia3 Department of Biostatic and Epidemiology, School of Public Health, College of Health Science and Medicine, Wachemo University, Hossana, EthiopiaObjectives This study aimed to determine the incidence of diabetic retinopathy (DR) and predictors among adult patients with diabetes in central and southern Ethiopia.Design A hospital-based retrospective cohort study was conducted.Setting The study was conducted in selected public hospitals in central and southern Ethiopia.Participants A total of 376 adult participants newly diagnosed with diabetes were enrolled from 2015 to 2023, and the follow-up date was from the date of enrolment to the development of events.Outcome measures The data were collected by reviewing their records and entered in EpiData V.4.6.0.2 and exported to STATA V.14 for analysis. Descriptive statistics of the variables were obtained. The Cox proportional hazards assumption was checked. The Cox regression model was used to determine the median time to develop DR and identify predictors of DR. Bivariable and multivariable analyses were done; variables with a value of p<0.05 and a corresponding 95% CI in the final model were used. The model of adequacy was checked.Results Records of a total of 376 adult patients with diabetes were reviewed with a mean baseline age (±SD) of 34.8±10 years. Of the total study participants, half (189, 50.3%) were female. A total of 376 adult patients with diabetes were followed for 45 752 person-months (PMs). Overall, the incidence rate was 11.7 per 1000 PMs of observation. Positive proteinuria (adjusted HR (AHR)=2.19; 95% CI 1.18 to 4.08), hypertension (HTN) (AHR=2.23; 95% CI 1.39 to 3.55) and type 2 diabetes mellitus (AHR=2.89; 95% CI 1.19 to 7.05) were independently significant predictors of DR.Conclusion The overall incidence rate of DR (type 1 and type 2) was high. Adult patients with diabetes with HTN, proteinuria and type of diabetes were independent predictors of DR. The best strategy to protect our eyesight from DR is to control high glucose level and giving due attention to high-risk individuals with diabetes. Thus, health professionals and concerned health authorities should target these factors in their efforts to prevent DR among diabetics.https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/15/1/e090916.full
spellingShingle Tagese Yakob
Awoke Abraham
Begidu Yakob
Mesfin Menza Jaldo
Incidence of diabetic retinopathy and predictors among adult patients with diabetes in central and southern Ethiopia: a multicentre retrospective cohort study
BMJ Open
title Incidence of diabetic retinopathy and predictors among adult patients with diabetes in central and southern Ethiopia: a multicentre retrospective cohort study
title_full Incidence of diabetic retinopathy and predictors among adult patients with diabetes in central and southern Ethiopia: a multicentre retrospective cohort study
title_fullStr Incidence of diabetic retinopathy and predictors among adult patients with diabetes in central and southern Ethiopia: a multicentre retrospective cohort study
title_full_unstemmed Incidence of diabetic retinopathy and predictors among adult patients with diabetes in central and southern Ethiopia: a multicentre retrospective cohort study
title_short Incidence of diabetic retinopathy and predictors among adult patients with diabetes in central and southern Ethiopia: a multicentre retrospective cohort study
title_sort incidence of diabetic retinopathy and predictors among adult patients with diabetes in central and southern ethiopia a multicentre retrospective cohort study
url https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/15/1/e090916.full
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