Spatial Dynamics and Risk Mapping of Forest Fires in Madhesh Province, Nepal: A Multi-Criteria Decision Approach
Forest fires in Nepal are a pressing environmental concern, impacting ecosystems and community livelihoods. This research aims to understand forest fires, their trends, distribution, and relation with selected variables found in the sub-tropical forests of Madhesh Province of Nepal, and then identif...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Mahidol University
2025-01-01
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| Series: | Environment and Natural Resources Journal |
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| Online Access: | https://ph02.tci-thaijo.org/index.php/ennrj/article/view/253898/171759 |
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| author | Gunjan Adhikari Khagendra Prasad Joshi Dristee Chad Ashish Ghimire Sandeep Mahara |
| author_facet | Gunjan Adhikari Khagendra Prasad Joshi Dristee Chad Ashish Ghimire Sandeep Mahara |
| author_sort | Gunjan Adhikari |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Forest fires in Nepal are a pressing environmental concern, impacting ecosystems and community livelihoods. This research aims to understand forest fires, their trends, distribution, and relation with selected variables found in the sub-tropical forests of Madhesh Province of Nepal, and then identify potential fire risks and vulnerable areas. The selected fire incidents were analyzed using fire points produced by the moderate resolution imaging spectroradiometer (MODIS) sensor. Following the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) approach, this research investigates topographic, climatic, biophysical, and anthropogenic variables to create a fire risk map. Throughout the 22-year research period (2001-2023), 6,368 fire incidents and 6,158.22 km2 of total burnt area were reported in the study area. Overall, the Mann-Kendall test showed an increasing trend for regional fire incidents. It has been found that about 24% of the province is either at high or very high risk for fire. The validity of the prediction map was confirmed with an AUC value of 0.798. The findings of the study will be valuable to local, state, and federal governments, policymakers, forest fire managers, researchers, and land planners in building a landscape-level forest fire management plan for high-risk areas. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-998413d90ed341d8a509ddab0be0c4a7 |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 1686-5456 2408-2384 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-01-01 |
| publisher | Mahidol University |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Environment and Natural Resources Journal |
| spelling | doaj-art-998413d90ed341d8a509ddab0be0c4a72025-01-27T09:04:51ZengMahidol UniversityEnvironment and Natural Resources Journal1686-54562408-23842025-01-01231809410.32526/ennrj/23/20240124Spatial Dynamics and Risk Mapping of Forest Fires in Madhesh Province, Nepal: A Multi-Criteria Decision ApproachGunjan Adhikari0Khagendra Prasad Joshi1Dristee Chad2Ashish Ghimire3Sandeep Mahara4Institute of Forestry, Pokhara Campus, Tribhuvan University, Pokhara, NepalCentral Department of Hydrology and Meteorology, Tribhuvan University, NepalInstitute of Forestry, Pokhara Campus, Tribhuvan University, Pokhara, NepalInstitute of Forestry, Pokhara Campus, Tribhuvan University, Pokhara, NepalInstitute of Forestry, Pokhara Campus, Tribhuvan University, Pokhara, NepalForest fires in Nepal are a pressing environmental concern, impacting ecosystems and community livelihoods. This research aims to understand forest fires, their trends, distribution, and relation with selected variables found in the sub-tropical forests of Madhesh Province of Nepal, and then identify potential fire risks and vulnerable areas. The selected fire incidents were analyzed using fire points produced by the moderate resolution imaging spectroradiometer (MODIS) sensor. Following the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) approach, this research investigates topographic, climatic, biophysical, and anthropogenic variables to create a fire risk map. Throughout the 22-year research period (2001-2023), 6,368 fire incidents and 6,158.22 km2 of total burnt area were reported in the study area. Overall, the Mann-Kendall test showed an increasing trend for regional fire incidents. It has been found that about 24% of the province is either at high or very high risk for fire. The validity of the prediction map was confirmed with an AUC value of 0.798. The findings of the study will be valuable to local, state, and federal governments, policymakers, forest fire managers, researchers, and land planners in building a landscape-level forest fire management plan for high-risk areas.https://ph02.tci-thaijo.org/index.php/ennrj/article/view/253898/171759ahpforest firegismodis |
| spellingShingle | Gunjan Adhikari Khagendra Prasad Joshi Dristee Chad Ashish Ghimire Sandeep Mahara Spatial Dynamics and Risk Mapping of Forest Fires in Madhesh Province, Nepal: A Multi-Criteria Decision Approach Environment and Natural Resources Journal ahp forest fire gis modis |
| title | Spatial Dynamics and Risk Mapping of Forest Fires in Madhesh Province, Nepal: A Multi-Criteria Decision Approach |
| title_full | Spatial Dynamics and Risk Mapping of Forest Fires in Madhesh Province, Nepal: A Multi-Criteria Decision Approach |
| title_fullStr | Spatial Dynamics and Risk Mapping of Forest Fires in Madhesh Province, Nepal: A Multi-Criteria Decision Approach |
| title_full_unstemmed | Spatial Dynamics and Risk Mapping of Forest Fires in Madhesh Province, Nepal: A Multi-Criteria Decision Approach |
| title_short | Spatial Dynamics and Risk Mapping of Forest Fires in Madhesh Province, Nepal: A Multi-Criteria Decision Approach |
| title_sort | spatial dynamics and risk mapping of forest fires in madhesh province nepal a multi criteria decision approach |
| topic | ahp forest fire gis modis |
| url | https://ph02.tci-thaijo.org/index.php/ennrj/article/view/253898/171759 |
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