Regional Heterogeneity of Carbon Emissions and Peaking Path of Carbon Emissions in the Bohai Rim Region

Taking the Bohai Rim region as the research object and based on the relevant data of energy consumption, GDP, and energy structure from 2000 to 2019, the total carbon emissions of the provinces and cities from 2020 to 2050 were predicted. The carbon peak situation of each province and municipality i...

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Main Authors: Chuanhui Wang, Mengzhen Zhao, Weifeng Gong, Zhenyue Fan, Wenwen Li
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2021-01-01
Series:Journal of Mathematics
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/3793522
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author Chuanhui Wang
Mengzhen Zhao
Weifeng Gong
Zhenyue Fan
Wenwen Li
author_facet Chuanhui Wang
Mengzhen Zhao
Weifeng Gong
Zhenyue Fan
Wenwen Li
author_sort Chuanhui Wang
collection DOAJ
description Taking the Bohai Rim region as the research object and based on the relevant data of energy consumption, GDP, and energy structure from 2000 to 2019, the total carbon emissions of the provinces and cities from 2020 to 2050 were predicted. The carbon peak situation of each province and municipality in the Bohai Rim region was also analyzed. A comparative analysis of the peaks among the provinces and cities has been carried out. The results show the following: (1) it is predicted that Beijing will reach its carbon peak before 2025. Tianjin is predicted to reach its carbon peak before 2030. Renewable energy development and utilization technologies in the two municipalities are crucial to achieving carbon peaks when energy intensity is already low. (2) Shandong and Shanxi have a heavy energy structure, are coal-minded, and have high energy intensity, while the replacement rate of renewable energy is relatively low. Shandong and Shanxi are predicted to reach carbon peaks around 2030. Liaoning also has the problem of heavy industrial structure, and it is predicted to reach the carbon peak before 2027. (3) Hebei itself relies on Beijing, and its renewable energy utilization technology is relatively advanced. It is predicted to reach the carbon peak before 2026. The energy intensity of Inner Mongolia has decreased rapidly, and it is predicted to reach the carbon peak before 2029. Therefore, according to the forecast results and the analysis of the similarities and differences among the provinces and cities, some specific suggestions for the optimization of the energy structure and the development of renewable energy in each province and city have been proposed in order to promote the comprehensive realization of the regional carbon peak goal in the Bohai Rim region.
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spelling doaj-art-991ea53527f54836985b07e30da7e9b02025-02-03T07:24:25ZengWileyJournal of Mathematics2314-46292314-47852021-01-01202110.1155/2021/37935223793522Regional Heterogeneity of Carbon Emissions and Peaking Path of Carbon Emissions in the Bohai Rim RegionChuanhui Wang0Mengzhen Zhao1Weifeng Gong2Zhenyue Fan3Wenwen Li4School of Economics, Qufu Normal University, Rizhao 276826, ChinaSchool of Economics, Qufu Normal University, Rizhao 276826, ChinaSchool of Economics, Qufu Normal University, Rizhao 276826, ChinaSchool of Economics, Qufu Normal University, Rizhao 276826, ChinaSchool of Economics, Qufu Normal University, Rizhao 276826, ChinaTaking the Bohai Rim region as the research object and based on the relevant data of energy consumption, GDP, and energy structure from 2000 to 2019, the total carbon emissions of the provinces and cities from 2020 to 2050 were predicted. The carbon peak situation of each province and municipality in the Bohai Rim region was also analyzed. A comparative analysis of the peaks among the provinces and cities has been carried out. The results show the following: (1) it is predicted that Beijing will reach its carbon peak before 2025. Tianjin is predicted to reach its carbon peak before 2030. Renewable energy development and utilization technologies in the two municipalities are crucial to achieving carbon peaks when energy intensity is already low. (2) Shandong and Shanxi have a heavy energy structure, are coal-minded, and have high energy intensity, while the replacement rate of renewable energy is relatively low. Shandong and Shanxi are predicted to reach carbon peaks around 2030. Liaoning also has the problem of heavy industrial structure, and it is predicted to reach the carbon peak before 2027. (3) Hebei itself relies on Beijing, and its renewable energy utilization technology is relatively advanced. It is predicted to reach the carbon peak before 2026. The energy intensity of Inner Mongolia has decreased rapidly, and it is predicted to reach the carbon peak before 2029. Therefore, according to the forecast results and the analysis of the similarities and differences among the provinces and cities, some specific suggestions for the optimization of the energy structure and the development of renewable energy in each province and city have been proposed in order to promote the comprehensive realization of the regional carbon peak goal in the Bohai Rim region.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/3793522
spellingShingle Chuanhui Wang
Mengzhen Zhao
Weifeng Gong
Zhenyue Fan
Wenwen Li
Regional Heterogeneity of Carbon Emissions and Peaking Path of Carbon Emissions in the Bohai Rim Region
Journal of Mathematics
title Regional Heterogeneity of Carbon Emissions and Peaking Path of Carbon Emissions in the Bohai Rim Region
title_full Regional Heterogeneity of Carbon Emissions and Peaking Path of Carbon Emissions in the Bohai Rim Region
title_fullStr Regional Heterogeneity of Carbon Emissions and Peaking Path of Carbon Emissions in the Bohai Rim Region
title_full_unstemmed Regional Heterogeneity of Carbon Emissions and Peaking Path of Carbon Emissions in the Bohai Rim Region
title_short Regional Heterogeneity of Carbon Emissions and Peaking Path of Carbon Emissions in the Bohai Rim Region
title_sort regional heterogeneity of carbon emissions and peaking path of carbon emissions in the bohai rim region
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/3793522
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