Four-year follow-up of CHARM2, an effective family planning intervention, on number and sex of births: Findings from an RCT in rural India

Background: Effective family planning interventions may have inadvertent effects on births of girls given son preference in India. We conducted 36 and 48-month follow-ups to our CHARM2 family planning study to determine long-term intervention effects on births and sex of children. Methods: Our non-b...

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Main Authors: Anita Raj, Nicole Johns, Florin Vaida, Mohan Ghule, Namratha Rao, Jay G. Silverman
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-06-01
Series:Dialogues in Health
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2772653325000152
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author Anita Raj
Nicole Johns
Florin Vaida
Mohan Ghule
Namratha Rao
Jay G. Silverman
author_facet Anita Raj
Nicole Johns
Florin Vaida
Mohan Ghule
Namratha Rao
Jay G. Silverman
author_sort Anita Raj
collection DOAJ
description Background: Effective family planning interventions may have inadvertent effects on births of girls given son preference in India. We conducted 36 and 48-month follow-ups to our CHARM2 family planning study to determine long-term intervention effects on births and sex of children. Methods: Our non-blinded two-armed cluster RCT randomized young married couples (N = 1201 couples) from 20 geographic clusters (60–61 couples per cluster) into either the CHARM2 intervention or control (referral to local care) condition. CHARM2 offers 5-session gender-synchronized family planning and gender equity counseling delivered by trained local medical providers. Data were collected at baseline in September 2018–June 2019 and then follow-ups at 9, 18, 36 and 48 months, up to September 2023. We retained 88 %–91 % of women across follow-ups with no difference in retention by treatment group. We used adjusted mixed-effects logistic regression models examining sex composition of births at each follow-up and over the total 48-month follow-up to assess differences in all births of boys and girls by treatment group. We adjusted for treatment condition, cluster, and relevant demographics in adjusted models. Results: We saw no treatment effects on total births or boy births, but lower likelihood of a girl birth was seen at 9-month follow-up and for the total 48-month follow-up period. We found at 9-month follow-up a girl birth was less likely for intervention compared with control participants (7.1 % vs. 10.3 %, respectively, p = 0.06), and the male to female sex ratio of births born between baseline and 9-month follow-up was also significantly higher for intervention vs. comparison participants (1.50 [95 % CI 1.00–2.26] vs. 0.83 [95 % CI 0.56–1.21], p = 0.04). We conducted a sensitivity analysis to determine treatment effects on boy births and girl births over the 48-month follow-up and again found no effects on boy births, but a significantly lower likelihood of a girl birth for the intervention group (22 % vs 29 %, p = 0.03). Conclusion: The CHARM2 family planning intervention, previously demonstrating significant effects on contraceptive use and women's reproductive agency in rural India, resulted in lower likelihood of girl births over time, suggesting that family planning programs can contribute to sex ratio imbalances if broader social changes eliminating son preference and improving value of a girl child do not occur. Funding: National Institutes of Health, Grant R01HD084453 Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation. INV002967. The funders had no role in the design and conduct of the study, collection, management, analysis, and interpretation of the data; or preparation, review, or approval of the manuscript; or decision to submit the manuscript for publication. [ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03514914.]
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spelling doaj-art-970b3ca2fe6445a0975a2d8a8a4fbcf72025-08-20T02:19:10ZengElsevierDialogues in Health2772-65332025-06-01610021810.1016/j.dialog.2025.100218Four-year follow-up of CHARM2, an effective family planning intervention, on number and sex of births: Findings from an RCT in rural IndiaAnita Raj0Nicole Johns1Florin Vaida2Mohan Ghule3Namratha Rao4Jay G. Silverman5Newcomb Institute, Tulane University, New Orleans, LA, USA; Tulane School of Public Health and Tropical Medicine, New Orleans, LA, USA; Corresponding author.Center on Gender Equity and Health, School of Medicine, University of California San Diego, San Diego, CA, USADivision of Biostatistics and Bioinformatics, Herbert Wertheim School of Public Health, University of California San Diego, San Diego, CANewcomb Institute, Tulane University, New Orleans, LA, USA; Center on Gender Equity and Health, School of Medicine, University of California San Diego, San Diego, CA, USANewcomb Institute, Tulane University, New Orleans, LA, USATulane School of Public Health and Tropical Medicine, New Orleans, LA, USABackground: Effective family planning interventions may have inadvertent effects on births of girls given son preference in India. We conducted 36 and 48-month follow-ups to our CHARM2 family planning study to determine long-term intervention effects on births and sex of children. Methods: Our non-blinded two-armed cluster RCT randomized young married couples (N = 1201 couples) from 20 geographic clusters (60–61 couples per cluster) into either the CHARM2 intervention or control (referral to local care) condition. CHARM2 offers 5-session gender-synchronized family planning and gender equity counseling delivered by trained local medical providers. Data were collected at baseline in September 2018–June 2019 and then follow-ups at 9, 18, 36 and 48 months, up to September 2023. We retained 88 %–91 % of women across follow-ups with no difference in retention by treatment group. We used adjusted mixed-effects logistic regression models examining sex composition of births at each follow-up and over the total 48-month follow-up to assess differences in all births of boys and girls by treatment group. We adjusted for treatment condition, cluster, and relevant demographics in adjusted models. Results: We saw no treatment effects on total births or boy births, but lower likelihood of a girl birth was seen at 9-month follow-up and for the total 48-month follow-up period. We found at 9-month follow-up a girl birth was less likely for intervention compared with control participants (7.1 % vs. 10.3 %, respectively, p = 0.06), and the male to female sex ratio of births born between baseline and 9-month follow-up was also significantly higher for intervention vs. comparison participants (1.50 [95 % CI 1.00–2.26] vs. 0.83 [95 % CI 0.56–1.21], p = 0.04). We conducted a sensitivity analysis to determine treatment effects on boy births and girl births over the 48-month follow-up and again found no effects on boy births, but a significantly lower likelihood of a girl birth for the intervention group (22 % vs 29 %, p = 0.03). Conclusion: The CHARM2 family planning intervention, previously demonstrating significant effects on contraceptive use and women's reproductive agency in rural India, resulted in lower likelihood of girl births over time, suggesting that family planning programs can contribute to sex ratio imbalances if broader social changes eliminating son preference and improving value of a girl child do not occur. Funding: National Institutes of Health, Grant R01HD084453 Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation. INV002967. The funders had no role in the design and conduct of the study, collection, management, analysis, and interpretation of the data; or preparation, review, or approval of the manuscript; or decision to submit the manuscript for publication. [ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03514914.]http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2772653325000152Family planningRandomized controlled trialContraceptive useSex ratioSon preferenceGender equity
spellingShingle Anita Raj
Nicole Johns
Florin Vaida
Mohan Ghule
Namratha Rao
Jay G. Silverman
Four-year follow-up of CHARM2, an effective family planning intervention, on number and sex of births: Findings from an RCT in rural India
Dialogues in Health
Family planning
Randomized controlled trial
Contraceptive use
Sex ratio
Son preference
Gender equity
title Four-year follow-up of CHARM2, an effective family planning intervention, on number and sex of births: Findings from an RCT in rural India
title_full Four-year follow-up of CHARM2, an effective family planning intervention, on number and sex of births: Findings from an RCT in rural India
title_fullStr Four-year follow-up of CHARM2, an effective family planning intervention, on number and sex of births: Findings from an RCT in rural India
title_full_unstemmed Four-year follow-up of CHARM2, an effective family planning intervention, on number and sex of births: Findings from an RCT in rural India
title_short Four-year follow-up of CHARM2, an effective family planning intervention, on number and sex of births: Findings from an RCT in rural India
title_sort four year follow up of charm2 an effective family planning intervention on number and sex of births findings from an rct in rural india
topic Family planning
Randomized controlled trial
Contraceptive use
Sex ratio
Son preference
Gender equity
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2772653325000152
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