Enhanced CH4 emissions from global wildfires likely due to undetected small fires

Abstract Monitoring methane (CH4) emissions from terrestrial ecosystems is essential for assessing the relative contributions of natural and anthropogenic factors leading to climate change and shaping global climate goals. Fires are a significant source of atmospheric CH4, with the increasing freque...

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Main Authors: Junri Zhao, Philippe Ciais, Frederic Chevallier, Josep G. Canadell, Ivar R. van der Velde, Emilio Chuvieco, Yang Chen, Qiang Zhang, Kebin He, Bo Zheng
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-01-01
Series:Nature Communications
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-56218-w
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author Junri Zhao
Philippe Ciais
Frederic Chevallier
Josep G. Canadell
Ivar R. van der Velde
Emilio Chuvieco
Yang Chen
Qiang Zhang
Kebin He
Bo Zheng
author_facet Junri Zhao
Philippe Ciais
Frederic Chevallier
Josep G. Canadell
Ivar R. van der Velde
Emilio Chuvieco
Yang Chen
Qiang Zhang
Kebin He
Bo Zheng
author_sort Junri Zhao
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Monitoring methane (CH4) emissions from terrestrial ecosystems is essential for assessing the relative contributions of natural and anthropogenic factors leading to climate change and shaping global climate goals. Fires are a significant source of atmospheric CH4, with the increasing frequency of megafires amplifying their impact. Global fire emissions exhibit large spatiotemporal variations, making the magnitude and dynamics difficult to characterize accurately. In this study, we reconstruct global fire CH4 emissions by integrating satellite carbon monoxide (CO)-based atmospheric inversion with well-constrained fire CH4 to CO emission ratio maps. Here we show that global fire CH4 emissions averaged 24.0 (17.7–30.4) Tg yr−1 from 2003 to 2020, approximately 27% higher (equivalent to 5.1 Tg yr−1) than average estimates from four widely used fire emission models. This discrepancy likely stems from undetected small fires and underrepresented emission intensities in coarse-resolution data. Our study highlights the value of atmospheric inversion based on fire tracers like CO to track fire-carbon-climate feedback.
format Article
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institution Kabale University
issn 2041-1723
language English
publishDate 2025-01-01
publisher Nature Portfolio
record_format Article
series Nature Communications
spelling doaj-art-960b564860f44e5bb61db4f984f687212025-01-19T12:29:49ZengNature PortfolioNature Communications2041-17232025-01-011611910.1038/s41467-025-56218-wEnhanced CH4 emissions from global wildfires likely due to undetected small firesJunri Zhao0Philippe Ciais1Frederic Chevallier2Josep G. Canadell3Ivar R. van der Velde4Emilio Chuvieco5Yang Chen6Qiang Zhang7Kebin He8Bo Zheng9Shenzhen Key Laboratory of Ecological Remediation and Carbon Sequestration, Institute of Environment and Ecology, Tsinghua Shenzhen International Graduate School, Tsinghua UniversityShenzhen Key Laboratory of Ecological Remediation and Carbon Sequestration, Institute of Environment and Ecology, Tsinghua Shenzhen International Graduate School, Tsinghua UniversityLaboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement, LSCE/IPSL, CEA‐CNRS‐UVSQ, Université Paris-SaclayCSIRO EnvironmentSRON Netherlands Institute for Space ResearchUniversidad de Alcalá, Environmental Remote Sensing Research Group, Department of Geology, Geography, and the EnvironmentDepartment of Earth System Science, University of California, IrvineMinistry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth System Modeling, Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua UniversityState Environmental Protection Key Laboratory of Sources and Control of Air Pollution ComplexShenzhen Key Laboratory of Ecological Remediation and Carbon Sequestration, Institute of Environment and Ecology, Tsinghua Shenzhen International Graduate School, Tsinghua UniversityAbstract Monitoring methane (CH4) emissions from terrestrial ecosystems is essential for assessing the relative contributions of natural and anthropogenic factors leading to climate change and shaping global climate goals. Fires are a significant source of atmospheric CH4, with the increasing frequency of megafires amplifying their impact. Global fire emissions exhibit large spatiotemporal variations, making the magnitude and dynamics difficult to characterize accurately. In this study, we reconstruct global fire CH4 emissions by integrating satellite carbon monoxide (CO)-based atmospheric inversion with well-constrained fire CH4 to CO emission ratio maps. Here we show that global fire CH4 emissions averaged 24.0 (17.7–30.4) Tg yr−1 from 2003 to 2020, approximately 27% higher (equivalent to 5.1 Tg yr−1) than average estimates from four widely used fire emission models. This discrepancy likely stems from undetected small fires and underrepresented emission intensities in coarse-resolution data. Our study highlights the value of atmospheric inversion based on fire tracers like CO to track fire-carbon-climate feedback.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-56218-w
spellingShingle Junri Zhao
Philippe Ciais
Frederic Chevallier
Josep G. Canadell
Ivar R. van der Velde
Emilio Chuvieco
Yang Chen
Qiang Zhang
Kebin He
Bo Zheng
Enhanced CH4 emissions from global wildfires likely due to undetected small fires
Nature Communications
title Enhanced CH4 emissions from global wildfires likely due to undetected small fires
title_full Enhanced CH4 emissions from global wildfires likely due to undetected small fires
title_fullStr Enhanced CH4 emissions from global wildfires likely due to undetected small fires
title_full_unstemmed Enhanced CH4 emissions from global wildfires likely due to undetected small fires
title_short Enhanced CH4 emissions from global wildfires likely due to undetected small fires
title_sort enhanced ch4 emissions from global wildfires likely due to undetected small fires
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-56218-w
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