EUROPEAN UNION AFTER THE CRISIS: DECLIN OR RENAISSANCE?

The second challenging period (after the «eurosclerosis» of the 70-th) in the history of European integration has been going on for eight years. Measures taken by the EU institutions prevented the disintegration of the euro area, but the crisis is not over. We distinguish its four main consequences...

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Main Author: O. V. Butorina
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MGIMO University Press 2013-08-01
Series:Vestnik MGIMO-Universiteta
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Online Access:https://www.vestnik.mgimo.ru/jour/article/view/1267
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author O. V. Butorina
author_facet O. V. Butorina
author_sort O. V. Butorina
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description The second challenging period (after the «eurosclerosis» of the 70-th) in the history of European integration has been going on for eight years. Measures taken by the EU institutions prevented the disintegration of the euro area, but the crisis is not over. We distinguish its four main consequences for the integration: 1) growing federalization of the euro zone, 2) a switch from multi-speed to a two- or three-tier integration model, 3) economization of decision-making process in the euro area, and 4) clearer demarcation of borders within the EU and with its neighbours. The rotation in the ECB Governing Council that may start in 2015, is likely to consolidate the leadership of the "hard core" countries in the decisionmaking process. Further communitarization of the economic part of the EMU makes it more difficult for newcomers to join the euro area and practically closes this window of opportunity for the Great Britain. The crisis revealed the objective limits of EU enlargement, the accession of Turkey became hardly realistic, as well as the start of accession negotiations with Ukraine. The return to a sustainable development of the EU countries requires deep modernization of the European economy and society. However, the ways of this modernization has not been determined yet. It is clear that further accumulation of wealth and growing consumption cannot be a solution. The headline targets and indicators of the "Europe 2020" strategy will be implemented only partially. Modernization process will be hampered by the lack of funding for basic science, which occurred due to the end of the "cold war", as well as social factors whose role in the economic progress had been previously underestimated. Upgrading the EU integration strategy will be possible after the elections to the European Parliament and the appointment of the new Commission in 2014.
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spelling doaj-art-917d42695fb94d41aa3fb48550e2df0c2025-01-30T12:16:07ZengMGIMO University PressVestnik MGIMO-Universiteta2071-81602541-90992013-08-0104(31)718110.24833/2071-8160-2013-4-31-71-811016EUROPEAN UNION AFTER THE CRISIS: DECLIN OR RENAISSANCE?O. V. Butorina0Moscow State Institute of International Relations (University), 76, Prospect Vernadskogo, Moscow, 119454, Russia.The second challenging period (after the «eurosclerosis» of the 70-th) in the history of European integration has been going on for eight years. Measures taken by the EU institutions prevented the disintegration of the euro area, but the crisis is not over. We distinguish its four main consequences for the integration: 1) growing federalization of the euro zone, 2) a switch from multi-speed to a two- or three-tier integration model, 3) economization of decision-making process in the euro area, and 4) clearer demarcation of borders within the EU and with its neighbours. The rotation in the ECB Governing Council that may start in 2015, is likely to consolidate the leadership of the "hard core" countries in the decisionmaking process. Further communitarization of the economic part of the EMU makes it more difficult for newcomers to join the euro area and practically closes this window of opportunity for the Great Britain. The crisis revealed the objective limits of EU enlargement, the accession of Turkey became hardly realistic, as well as the start of accession negotiations with Ukraine. The return to a sustainable development of the EU countries requires deep modernization of the European economy and society. However, the ways of this modernization has not been determined yet. It is clear that further accumulation of wealth and growing consumption cannot be a solution. The headline targets and indicators of the "Europe 2020" strategy will be implemented only partially. Modernization process will be hampered by the lack of funding for basic science, which occurred due to the end of the "cold war", as well as social factors whose role in the economic progress had been previously underestimated. Upgrading the EU integration strategy will be possible after the elections to the European Parliament and the appointment of the new Commission in 2014.https://www.vestnik.mgimo.ru/jour/article/view/1267european unionthe crisis in the euro areaeu economic governanceeconomic and monetary unionmodernizationeuropean integration"europe 2020" strategyeuropean central bank
spellingShingle O. V. Butorina
EUROPEAN UNION AFTER THE CRISIS: DECLIN OR RENAISSANCE?
Vestnik MGIMO-Universiteta
european union
the crisis in the euro area
eu economic governance
economic and monetary union
modernization
european integration
"europe 2020" strategy
european central bank
title EUROPEAN UNION AFTER THE CRISIS: DECLIN OR RENAISSANCE?
title_full EUROPEAN UNION AFTER THE CRISIS: DECLIN OR RENAISSANCE?
title_fullStr EUROPEAN UNION AFTER THE CRISIS: DECLIN OR RENAISSANCE?
title_full_unstemmed EUROPEAN UNION AFTER THE CRISIS: DECLIN OR RENAISSANCE?
title_short EUROPEAN UNION AFTER THE CRISIS: DECLIN OR RENAISSANCE?
title_sort european union after the crisis declin or renaissance
topic european union
the crisis in the euro area
eu economic governance
economic and monetary union
modernization
european integration
"europe 2020" strategy
european central bank
url https://www.vestnik.mgimo.ru/jour/article/view/1267
work_keys_str_mv AT ovbutorina europeanunionafterthecrisisdeclinorrenaissance