The Triangulation WIthin a STudy (TWIST) framework for causal inference within pharmacogenetic research.

In this paper we review the methodological underpinnings of the general pharmacogenetic approach for uncovering genetically-driven treatment effect heterogeneity. This typically utilises only individuals who are treated and relies on fairly strong baseline assumptions to estimate what we term the &#...

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Main Authors: Jack Bowden, Luke C Pilling, Deniz Türkmen, Chia-Ling Kuo, David Melzer
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2021-09-01
Series:PLoS Genetics
Online Access:https://journals.plos.org/plosgenetics/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pgen.1009783&type=printable
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author Jack Bowden
Luke C Pilling
Deniz Türkmen
Chia-Ling Kuo
David Melzer
author_facet Jack Bowden
Luke C Pilling
Deniz Türkmen
Chia-Ling Kuo
David Melzer
author_sort Jack Bowden
collection DOAJ
description In this paper we review the methodological underpinnings of the general pharmacogenetic approach for uncovering genetically-driven treatment effect heterogeneity. This typically utilises only individuals who are treated and relies on fairly strong baseline assumptions to estimate what we term the 'genetically moderated treatment effect' (GMTE). When these assumptions are seriously violated, we show that a robust but less efficient estimate of the GMTE that incorporates information on the population of untreated individuals can instead be used. In cases of partial violation, we clarify when Mendelian randomization and a modified confounder adjustment method can also yield consistent estimates for the GMTE. A decision framework is then described to decide when a particular estimation strategy is most appropriate and how specific estimators can be combined to further improve efficiency. Triangulation of evidence from different data sources, each with their inherent biases and limitations, is becoming a well established principle for strengthening causal analysis. We call our framework 'Triangulation WIthin a STudy' (TWIST)' in order to emphasise that an analysis in this spirit is also possible within a single data set, using causal estimates that are approximately uncorrelated, but reliant on different sets of assumptions. We illustrate these approaches by re-analysing primary-care-linked UK Biobank data relating to CYP2C19 genetic variants, Clopidogrel use and stroke risk, and data relating to APOE genetic variants, statin use and Coronary Artery Disease.
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spelling doaj-art-8edadb6867a74942bd7f7485670e41c32025-08-20T03:25:16ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS Genetics1553-73901553-74042021-09-01179e100978310.1371/journal.pgen.1009783The Triangulation WIthin a STudy (TWIST) framework for causal inference within pharmacogenetic research.Jack BowdenLuke C PillingDeniz TürkmenChia-Ling KuoDavid MelzerIn this paper we review the methodological underpinnings of the general pharmacogenetic approach for uncovering genetically-driven treatment effect heterogeneity. This typically utilises only individuals who are treated and relies on fairly strong baseline assumptions to estimate what we term the 'genetically moderated treatment effect' (GMTE). When these assumptions are seriously violated, we show that a robust but less efficient estimate of the GMTE that incorporates information on the population of untreated individuals can instead be used. In cases of partial violation, we clarify when Mendelian randomization and a modified confounder adjustment method can also yield consistent estimates for the GMTE. A decision framework is then described to decide when a particular estimation strategy is most appropriate and how specific estimators can be combined to further improve efficiency. Triangulation of evidence from different data sources, each with their inherent biases and limitations, is becoming a well established principle for strengthening causal analysis. We call our framework 'Triangulation WIthin a STudy' (TWIST)' in order to emphasise that an analysis in this spirit is also possible within a single data set, using causal estimates that are approximately uncorrelated, but reliant on different sets of assumptions. We illustrate these approaches by re-analysing primary-care-linked UK Biobank data relating to CYP2C19 genetic variants, Clopidogrel use and stroke risk, and data relating to APOE genetic variants, statin use and Coronary Artery Disease.https://journals.plos.org/plosgenetics/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pgen.1009783&type=printable
spellingShingle Jack Bowden
Luke C Pilling
Deniz Türkmen
Chia-Ling Kuo
David Melzer
The Triangulation WIthin a STudy (TWIST) framework for causal inference within pharmacogenetic research.
PLoS Genetics
title The Triangulation WIthin a STudy (TWIST) framework for causal inference within pharmacogenetic research.
title_full The Triangulation WIthin a STudy (TWIST) framework for causal inference within pharmacogenetic research.
title_fullStr The Triangulation WIthin a STudy (TWIST) framework for causal inference within pharmacogenetic research.
title_full_unstemmed The Triangulation WIthin a STudy (TWIST) framework for causal inference within pharmacogenetic research.
title_short The Triangulation WIthin a STudy (TWIST) framework for causal inference within pharmacogenetic research.
title_sort triangulation within a study twist framework for causal inference within pharmacogenetic research
url https://journals.plos.org/plosgenetics/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pgen.1009783&type=printable
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