A quadratic $$\nu $$ ν -support vector regression approach for load forecasting

Abstract This article focuses on electric load forecasting, which is a challenging task in the energy industry. In this paper, a novel kernel-free $$\nu $$ ν -support vector regression model is proposed for electric load forecasting. The proposed model produces a reduced quadratic surface for nonlin...

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Main Authors: Yanhe Jia, Shuaiguang Zhou, Yiwen Wang, Fengming Lin, Zheming Gao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Springer 2025-01-01
Series:Complex & Intelligent Systems
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1007/s40747-024-01730-7
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author Yanhe Jia
Shuaiguang Zhou
Yiwen Wang
Fengming Lin
Zheming Gao
author_facet Yanhe Jia
Shuaiguang Zhou
Yiwen Wang
Fengming Lin
Zheming Gao
author_sort Yanhe Jia
collection DOAJ
description Abstract This article focuses on electric load forecasting, which is a challenging task in the energy industry. In this paper, a novel kernel-free $$\nu $$ ν -support vector regression model is proposed for electric load forecasting. The proposed model produces a reduced quadratic surface for nonlinear regression. A feature weighting strategy is adopted to estimate the relevance of the features in the load history. To reduce the effects of outliers in the load history, a weight is assigned to represent the relative importance of each data point. Some computational experiments are conducted on some public benchmark data sets to show the superior performance of the proposed model over some widely used regression models. The results of some extensive computational experiments on the electric load data from the Global Energy Forecasting Competition 2012 and the ISO New England demonstrate better average accuracy of the proposed model.
format Article
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institution Kabale University
issn 2199-4536
2198-6053
language English
publishDate 2025-01-01
publisher Springer
record_format Article
series Complex & Intelligent Systems
spelling doaj-art-8e554d0d97584646af8d64a7265ea9042025-02-02T12:49:07ZengSpringerComplex & Intelligent Systems2199-45362198-60532025-01-0111111210.1007/s40747-024-01730-7A quadratic $$\nu $$ ν -support vector regression approach for load forecastingYanhe Jia0Shuaiguang Zhou1Yiwen Wang2Fengming Lin3Zheming Gao4College of Management Science and Engineering, Beijing Information Science and Technology UniversityCollege of Information Science and Engineering, Northeastern UniversityCollege of Information Science and Engineering, Northeastern UniversityEnergy Production and Infrastructure Center (EPIC) in The William States Lee College of Engineering, University of North Carolina at CharlotteCollege of Information Science and Engineering, Northeastern UniversityAbstract This article focuses on electric load forecasting, which is a challenging task in the energy industry. In this paper, a novel kernel-free $$\nu $$ ν -support vector regression model is proposed for electric load forecasting. The proposed model produces a reduced quadratic surface for nonlinear regression. A feature weighting strategy is adopted to estimate the relevance of the features in the load history. To reduce the effects of outliers in the load history, a weight is assigned to represent the relative importance of each data point. Some computational experiments are conducted on some public benchmark data sets to show the superior performance of the proposed model over some widely used regression models. The results of some extensive computational experiments on the electric load data from the Global Energy Forecasting Competition 2012 and the ISO New England demonstrate better average accuracy of the proposed model.https://doi.org/10.1007/s40747-024-01730-7Kernel-free support vector regressionElectric load forecastingMachine learningWeighted support vector regressionFeature weighting
spellingShingle Yanhe Jia
Shuaiguang Zhou
Yiwen Wang
Fengming Lin
Zheming Gao
A quadratic $$\nu $$ ν -support vector regression approach for load forecasting
Complex & Intelligent Systems
Kernel-free support vector regression
Electric load forecasting
Machine learning
Weighted support vector regression
Feature weighting
title A quadratic $$\nu $$ ν -support vector regression approach for load forecasting
title_full A quadratic $$\nu $$ ν -support vector regression approach for load forecasting
title_fullStr A quadratic $$\nu $$ ν -support vector regression approach for load forecasting
title_full_unstemmed A quadratic $$\nu $$ ν -support vector regression approach for load forecasting
title_short A quadratic $$\nu $$ ν -support vector regression approach for load forecasting
title_sort quadratic nu ν support vector regression approach for load forecasting
topic Kernel-free support vector regression
Electric load forecasting
Machine learning
Weighted support vector regression
Feature weighting
url https://doi.org/10.1007/s40747-024-01730-7
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