Risk Assessment of Shield Tunnel Construction in Karst Strata Based on Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process and Cloud Model

Karst is an unfavorable geology that is very undesirable in tunnel construction. It is extremely risky due to the complexity and fuzziness of shield excavation in karst strata. To reduce the construction risk of shield tunneling in karst strata, a risk assessment method based on cloud model and fuzz...

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Main Authors: Guowang Meng, Yangchun Ye, Bo Wu, Guijun Luo, Xu Zhang, Zhiqiang Zhou, Wentao Sun
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2021-01-01
Series:Shock and Vibration
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/7237136
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author Guowang Meng
Yangchun Ye
Bo Wu
Guijun Luo
Xu Zhang
Zhiqiang Zhou
Wentao Sun
author_facet Guowang Meng
Yangchun Ye
Bo Wu
Guijun Luo
Xu Zhang
Zhiqiang Zhou
Wentao Sun
author_sort Guowang Meng
collection DOAJ
description Karst is an unfavorable geology that is very undesirable in tunnel construction. It is extremely risky due to the complexity and fuzziness of shield excavation in karst strata. To reduce the construction risk of shield tunneling in karst strata, a risk assessment method based on cloud model and fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (FAHP) is proposed. A risk assessment index system is established, including four first-level indices of karst geological conditions, hydrogeological conditions, tunnel design, and shield construction, as well as seventeen second-level indices. Fuzzy analytic hierarchy process is used to determine the evaluation indices weights. The numerical characteristics of each index and the risk cloud diagram are obtained via the backward cloud generator and forward cloud generator, respectively. The certainty degrees of the assessment indices corresponding to each risk level are calculated, and the final risk level is determined based on the comparison of the risk cloud diagram and the principle of maximum certainty. The proposed model is applied to the risk analysis and calculation of shield tunnel engineering, and the risk assessment results indicate that the comprehensive risk level of shield tunnel construction in karst strata is level II, which is consistent with the actual project. It demonstrates that the proposed method can provide a reference for the risk assessment of shield tunnels construction in karst strata.
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institution Kabale University
issn 1875-9203
language English
publishDate 2021-01-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Shock and Vibration
spelling doaj-art-8e53bfa74d214757881de56a782c45a72025-02-03T06:46:27ZengWileyShock and Vibration1875-92032021-01-01202110.1155/2021/7237136Risk Assessment of Shield Tunnel Construction in Karst Strata Based on Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process and Cloud ModelGuowang Meng0Yangchun Ye1Bo Wu2Guijun Luo3Xu Zhang4Zhiqiang Zhou5Wentao Sun6College of Civil Engineering and ArchitectureCollege of Civil Engineering and ArchitectureCollege of Civil Engineering and ArchitectureChina Construction Fifth Engineering Bureau Civil Engineering Co., Ltd.China Construction Fifth Engineering Bureau Civil Engineering Co., Ltd.China Construction Fifth Engineering Bureau Civil Engineering Co., Ltd.College of Civil Engineering and ArchitectureKarst is an unfavorable geology that is very undesirable in tunnel construction. It is extremely risky due to the complexity and fuzziness of shield excavation in karst strata. To reduce the construction risk of shield tunneling in karst strata, a risk assessment method based on cloud model and fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (FAHP) is proposed. A risk assessment index system is established, including four first-level indices of karst geological conditions, hydrogeological conditions, tunnel design, and shield construction, as well as seventeen second-level indices. Fuzzy analytic hierarchy process is used to determine the evaluation indices weights. The numerical characteristics of each index and the risk cloud diagram are obtained via the backward cloud generator and forward cloud generator, respectively. The certainty degrees of the assessment indices corresponding to each risk level are calculated, and the final risk level is determined based on the comparison of the risk cloud diagram and the principle of maximum certainty. The proposed model is applied to the risk analysis and calculation of shield tunnel engineering, and the risk assessment results indicate that the comprehensive risk level of shield tunnel construction in karst strata is level II, which is consistent with the actual project. It demonstrates that the proposed method can provide a reference for the risk assessment of shield tunnels construction in karst strata.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/7237136
spellingShingle Guowang Meng
Yangchun Ye
Bo Wu
Guijun Luo
Xu Zhang
Zhiqiang Zhou
Wentao Sun
Risk Assessment of Shield Tunnel Construction in Karst Strata Based on Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process and Cloud Model
Shock and Vibration
title Risk Assessment of Shield Tunnel Construction in Karst Strata Based on Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process and Cloud Model
title_full Risk Assessment of Shield Tunnel Construction in Karst Strata Based on Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process and Cloud Model
title_fullStr Risk Assessment of Shield Tunnel Construction in Karst Strata Based on Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process and Cloud Model
title_full_unstemmed Risk Assessment of Shield Tunnel Construction in Karst Strata Based on Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process and Cloud Model
title_short Risk Assessment of Shield Tunnel Construction in Karst Strata Based on Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process and Cloud Model
title_sort risk assessment of shield tunnel construction in karst strata based on fuzzy analytic hierarchy process and cloud model
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/7237136
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