Iraqi Stock Market Prediction Using Artificial Neural Network and Long Short-Term Memory

Stock prediction is one of the most important issues on which the investor relies in building his investment decisions and the financial literature has relied heavily on predicting future events because of its exceptional importance in financial work, after which profit or loss is determined, and s...

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Main Authors: Sama Hayder Abdulhussein AlHakeem, Nashaat Jasim Al-Anber, Hayfaa Abdulzahra Atee, Mahmod Muhamad Amrir
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: middle technical university 2023-03-01
Series:Journal of Techniques
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Online Access:https://journal.mtu.edu.iq/index.php/MTU/article/view/846
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author Sama Hayder Abdulhussein AlHakeem
Nashaat Jasim Al-Anber
Hayfaa Abdulzahra Atee
Mahmod Muhamad Amrir
author_facet Sama Hayder Abdulhussein AlHakeem
Nashaat Jasim Al-Anber
Hayfaa Abdulzahra Atee
Mahmod Muhamad Amrir
author_sort Sama Hayder Abdulhussein AlHakeem
collection DOAJ
description Stock prediction is one of the most important issues on which the investor relies in building his investment decisions and the financial literature has relied heavily on predicting future events because of its exceptional importance in financial work, after which profit or loss is determined, and since money dealers are eager to profit, the researchers have devoted techniques to forecast as providing the tools to achieve this. The choice of the proper model of time series data affects the precision of the predictions, and stock market data is typically random and turbulent for various industries. To obtain forecast models of stock market data that can accurately portray reality and obtain future forecasts, these models must take all data considerations from linear and none linear trends, different influences, and other data factors, hence the research problem of obtaining a method that gives predictions of Iraq's stock market indicators that are accurate and reliable in stock analysis. In this paper, two models were proposed to predict the Iraqi stock markets index through the use of artificial neural networks (ANN) and a long short-term memory (LSTM) algorithm where Iraqi stock market data were used from 2017 to 2021 and good results were achieved in the prediction where the long short-term memory (LSTM) algorithm reached a mean square error (MSE) rate of as little as 0.0016 while the artificial neural network (ANN) algorithm reached error rate 0.0055.
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institution Kabale University
issn 1818-653X
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language English
publishDate 2023-03-01
publisher middle technical university
record_format Article
series Journal of Techniques
spelling doaj-art-8df5f0c6a4dd416e81742652c52372952025-01-19T11:01:59Zengmiddle technical universityJournal of Techniques1818-653X2708-83832023-03-015110.51173/jt.v5i1.846Iraqi Stock Market Prediction Using Artificial Neural Network and Long Short-Term MemorySama Hayder Abdulhussein AlHakeem0Nashaat Jasim Al-Anber1Hayfaa Abdulzahra Atee2Mahmod Muhamad Amrir3Technical College of Management - Baghdad, Middle Technical University, Baghdad, Iraq.Technical College of Management - Baghdad, Middle Technical University, Baghdad, Iraq.Technical Institute for Administration / Ressafa, Middle Technical University, Baghdad, IraqUniversity of Jeddah, AlKamil, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia Stock prediction is one of the most important issues on which the investor relies in building his investment decisions and the financial literature has relied heavily on predicting future events because of its exceptional importance in financial work, after which profit or loss is determined, and since money dealers are eager to profit, the researchers have devoted techniques to forecast as providing the tools to achieve this. The choice of the proper model of time series data affects the precision of the predictions, and stock market data is typically random and turbulent for various industries. To obtain forecast models of stock market data that can accurately portray reality and obtain future forecasts, these models must take all data considerations from linear and none linear trends, different influences, and other data factors, hence the research problem of obtaining a method that gives predictions of Iraq's stock market indicators that are accurate and reliable in stock analysis. In this paper, two models were proposed to predict the Iraqi stock markets index through the use of artificial neural networks (ANN) and a long short-term memory (LSTM) algorithm where Iraqi stock market data were used from 2017 to 2021 and good results were achieved in the prediction where the long short-term memory (LSTM) algorithm reached a mean square error (MSE) rate of as little as 0.0016 while the artificial neural network (ANN) algorithm reached error rate 0.0055. https://journal.mtu.edu.iq/index.php/MTU/article/view/846Iraqi Stock MarketLSTMStock Market PredictionANNDeep LearningMean Square Error
spellingShingle Sama Hayder Abdulhussein AlHakeem
Nashaat Jasim Al-Anber
Hayfaa Abdulzahra Atee
Mahmod Muhamad Amrir
Iraqi Stock Market Prediction Using Artificial Neural Network and Long Short-Term Memory
Journal of Techniques
Iraqi Stock Market
LSTM
Stock Market Prediction
ANN
Deep Learning
Mean Square Error
title Iraqi Stock Market Prediction Using Artificial Neural Network and Long Short-Term Memory
title_full Iraqi Stock Market Prediction Using Artificial Neural Network and Long Short-Term Memory
title_fullStr Iraqi Stock Market Prediction Using Artificial Neural Network and Long Short-Term Memory
title_full_unstemmed Iraqi Stock Market Prediction Using Artificial Neural Network and Long Short-Term Memory
title_short Iraqi Stock Market Prediction Using Artificial Neural Network and Long Short-Term Memory
title_sort iraqi stock market prediction using artificial neural network and long short term memory
topic Iraqi Stock Market
LSTM
Stock Market Prediction
ANN
Deep Learning
Mean Square Error
url https://journal.mtu.edu.iq/index.php/MTU/article/view/846
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AT hayfaaabdulzahraatee iraqistockmarketpredictionusingartificialneuralnetworkandlongshorttermmemory
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