Bayesian neural network modelling for estimating ecological footprints and blue economy sustainability across G20 nations

Abstract The term “blue economy” has become synonymous with generating income from maritime pursuits while protecting and improving marine environments. Oceans provide both solutions and boosts to a sustainable environment and economy, given the growing need for resources to accomplish the global fo...

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Main Authors: Muhammad Akhtar, Jian Xu, Umair Kashif, Kishwar Ali, Hafiz Muhammad Naveed, Muhammad Haris
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Springer Nature 2025-01-01
Series:Humanities & Social Sciences Communications
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-025-04378-x
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author Muhammad Akhtar
Jian Xu
Umair Kashif
Kishwar Ali
Hafiz Muhammad Naveed
Muhammad Haris
author_facet Muhammad Akhtar
Jian Xu
Umair Kashif
Kishwar Ali
Hafiz Muhammad Naveed
Muhammad Haris
author_sort Muhammad Akhtar
collection DOAJ
description Abstract The term “blue economy” has become synonymous with generating income from maritime pursuits while protecting and improving marine environments. Oceans provide both solutions and boosts to a sustainable environment and economy, given the growing need for resources to accomplish the global food, water, and energy nexus and the rapid reduction in land-based supplies. However, the ecological footprint (EF) is one of the significant factors that may influence the sustained capacity of oceans to deliver economic and environmental value. Therefore, this study aims to investigate the impact of ecological footprints on the sustainability of the blue economy (BE) while controlling for greenhouse gas emissions (GHG), population growth (POT), and economic growth (GDP). The study applied Bayesian neural network (BNN), OLS, fixed effects, and a two-step generalized method of moments on the panel dataset of G20 countries over the period 2000 to 2021. The study shows that the ecological footprint exerts a negative influence on the blue economy, while greenhouse gas emissions, population growth, and economic growth exhibit a positive impact. This study, by realizing the importance of blue economy development in various nations, suggests that all nations must incorporate ocean strategies within their national climate pledges in order to effectively meet the sustainable development goals (SDGs), especially those outlined in SDG 14 (Life Below Water).
format Article
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institution Kabale University
issn 2662-9992
language English
publishDate 2025-01-01
publisher Springer Nature
record_format Article
series Humanities & Social Sciences Communications
spelling doaj-art-8c8ec736e075461ebb095679d9fb27482025-01-26T12:20:34ZengSpringer NatureHumanities & Social Sciences Communications2662-99922025-01-0112111410.1057/s41599-025-04378-xBayesian neural network modelling for estimating ecological footprints and blue economy sustainability across G20 nationsMuhammad Akhtar0Jian Xu1Umair Kashif2Kishwar Ali3Hafiz Muhammad Naveed4Muhammad Haris5School of Management, Jiangsu UniversitySchool of Economics and Management, Qingdao Agricultural UniversitySchool of Economics and Management, Fuzhou UniversityAdvanced Research Centre, European University of LefkeCollege of Management, Shenzhen UniversityInstitue of Banking & Finance, Bahauddin Zakariya UniversityAbstract The term “blue economy” has become synonymous with generating income from maritime pursuits while protecting and improving marine environments. Oceans provide both solutions and boosts to a sustainable environment and economy, given the growing need for resources to accomplish the global food, water, and energy nexus and the rapid reduction in land-based supplies. However, the ecological footprint (EF) is one of the significant factors that may influence the sustained capacity of oceans to deliver economic and environmental value. Therefore, this study aims to investigate the impact of ecological footprints on the sustainability of the blue economy (BE) while controlling for greenhouse gas emissions (GHG), population growth (POT), and economic growth (GDP). The study applied Bayesian neural network (BNN), OLS, fixed effects, and a two-step generalized method of moments on the panel dataset of G20 countries over the period 2000 to 2021. The study shows that the ecological footprint exerts a negative influence on the blue economy, while greenhouse gas emissions, population growth, and economic growth exhibit a positive impact. This study, by realizing the importance of blue economy development in various nations, suggests that all nations must incorporate ocean strategies within their national climate pledges in order to effectively meet the sustainable development goals (SDGs), especially those outlined in SDG 14 (Life Below Water).https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-025-04378-x
spellingShingle Muhammad Akhtar
Jian Xu
Umair Kashif
Kishwar Ali
Hafiz Muhammad Naveed
Muhammad Haris
Bayesian neural network modelling for estimating ecological footprints and blue economy sustainability across G20 nations
Humanities & Social Sciences Communications
title Bayesian neural network modelling for estimating ecological footprints and blue economy sustainability across G20 nations
title_full Bayesian neural network modelling for estimating ecological footprints and blue economy sustainability across G20 nations
title_fullStr Bayesian neural network modelling for estimating ecological footprints and blue economy sustainability across G20 nations
title_full_unstemmed Bayesian neural network modelling for estimating ecological footprints and blue economy sustainability across G20 nations
title_short Bayesian neural network modelling for estimating ecological footprints and blue economy sustainability across G20 nations
title_sort bayesian neural network modelling for estimating ecological footprints and blue economy sustainability across g20 nations
url https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-025-04378-x
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