Population control methods in stochastic extinction and outbreak scenarios.

Adaptive limiter control (ALC) and adaptive threshold harvesting (ATH) are two related control methods that have been shown to stabilize fluctuating populations. Large variations in population abundance can threaten the constancy and the persistence stability of ecological populations, which may imp...

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Main Authors: Juan Segura, Frank M Hilker, Daniel Franco
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2017-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0170837&type=printable
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author Juan Segura
Frank M Hilker
Daniel Franco
author_facet Juan Segura
Frank M Hilker
Daniel Franco
author_sort Juan Segura
collection DOAJ
description Adaptive limiter control (ALC) and adaptive threshold harvesting (ATH) are two related control methods that have been shown to stabilize fluctuating populations. Large variations in population abundance can threaten the constancy and the persistence stability of ecological populations, which may impede the success and efficiency of managing natural resources. Here, we consider population models that include biological mechanisms characteristic for causing extinctions on the one hand and pest outbreaks on the other hand. These models include Allee effects and the impact of natural enemies (as is typical of forest defoliating insects). We study the impacts of noise and different levels of biological parameters in three extinction and two outbreak scenarios. Our results show that ALC and ATH have an effect on extinction and outbreak risks only for sufficiently large control intensities. Moreover, there is a clear disparity between the two control methods: in the extinction scenarios, ALC can be effective and ATH can be counterproductive, whereas in the outbreak scenarios the situation is reversed, with ATH being effective and ALC being potentially counterproductive.
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spelling doaj-art-8b858fe3f2ab44fea4a37b5a96d6cd6d2025-08-20T03:04:58ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032017-01-01122e017083710.1371/journal.pone.0170837Population control methods in stochastic extinction and outbreak scenarios.Juan SeguraFrank M HilkerDaniel FrancoAdaptive limiter control (ALC) and adaptive threshold harvesting (ATH) are two related control methods that have been shown to stabilize fluctuating populations. Large variations in population abundance can threaten the constancy and the persistence stability of ecological populations, which may impede the success and efficiency of managing natural resources. Here, we consider population models that include biological mechanisms characteristic for causing extinctions on the one hand and pest outbreaks on the other hand. These models include Allee effects and the impact of natural enemies (as is typical of forest defoliating insects). We study the impacts of noise and different levels of biological parameters in three extinction and two outbreak scenarios. Our results show that ALC and ATH have an effect on extinction and outbreak risks only for sufficiently large control intensities. Moreover, there is a clear disparity between the two control methods: in the extinction scenarios, ALC can be effective and ATH can be counterproductive, whereas in the outbreak scenarios the situation is reversed, with ATH being effective and ALC being potentially counterproductive.https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0170837&type=printable
spellingShingle Juan Segura
Frank M Hilker
Daniel Franco
Population control methods in stochastic extinction and outbreak scenarios.
PLoS ONE
title Population control methods in stochastic extinction and outbreak scenarios.
title_full Population control methods in stochastic extinction and outbreak scenarios.
title_fullStr Population control methods in stochastic extinction and outbreak scenarios.
title_full_unstemmed Population control methods in stochastic extinction and outbreak scenarios.
title_short Population control methods in stochastic extinction and outbreak scenarios.
title_sort population control methods in stochastic extinction and outbreak scenarios
url https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0170837&type=printable
work_keys_str_mv AT juansegura populationcontrolmethodsinstochasticextinctionandoutbreakscenarios
AT frankmhilker populationcontrolmethodsinstochasticextinctionandoutbreakscenarios
AT danielfranco populationcontrolmethodsinstochasticextinctionandoutbreakscenarios