Incidence and Predictors of Advanced Liver Fibrosis by a Validated Serum Biomarker in Liver Transplant Recipients

Background and Aims. Serum fibrosis biomarkers have shown good accuracy in the liver transplant (LT) population. We employed a simple serum biomarker to elucidate incidence and predictors of advanced fibrosis after LT over a long follow-up period. Methods. We included 440 consecutive patients who un...

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Main Authors: Mamatha Bhat, Kathleen C. Rollet-Kurhajec, Aparna Bhat, Amanda Farag, Marc Deschenes, Philip Wong, Peter Ghali, Giada Sebastiani
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2017-01-01
Series:Canadian Journal of Gastroenterology and Hepatology
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2017/4381864
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author Mamatha Bhat
Kathleen C. Rollet-Kurhajec
Aparna Bhat
Amanda Farag
Marc Deschenes
Philip Wong
Peter Ghali
Giada Sebastiani
author_facet Mamatha Bhat
Kathleen C. Rollet-Kurhajec
Aparna Bhat
Amanda Farag
Marc Deschenes
Philip Wong
Peter Ghali
Giada Sebastiani
author_sort Mamatha Bhat
collection DOAJ
description Background and Aims. Serum fibrosis biomarkers have shown good accuracy in the liver transplant (LT) population. We employed a simple serum biomarker to elucidate incidence and predictors of advanced fibrosis after LT over a long follow-up period. Methods. We included 440 consecutive patients who underwent LT between 1991 and 2013. Advanced liver fibrosis was defined as FIB-4 > 3.25 beyond 12 months after LT. Results. Over 2030.5 person-years (PY) of follow-up, 189 (43%) developed FIB-4 > 3.25, accounting for an incidence of 9.3/100 PY (95% confidence interval [CI], 8.1–10.7). Advanced fibrosis was predicted by chronic HCV infection (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) = 3.96, 95% CI 2.92–5.36, p < 0.001), hypoalbuminemia (aHR = 2.31, 95% CI 1.72–3.09; p < 0.001), and hyponatremia (aHR = 1.48, 95% CI 1.09–2.01; p = 0.01). LT recipients with more than 1 predictor had a higher incidence of advanced fibrosis, the highest being when all 3 predictors coexisted (log-rank: p < 0.001). Conclusions. Chronic HCV infection, hypoalbuminemia, and hyponatremia predict progression to advanced liver fibrosis following LT. Patients with these risk factors should be serially monitored using noninvasive fibrosis biomarkers and prioritized for interventions.
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spelling doaj-art-89aaba9540994712a93b7a69ca640dc22025-02-03T07:25:10ZengWileyCanadian Journal of Gastroenterology and Hepatology2291-27892291-27972017-01-01201710.1155/2017/43818644381864Incidence and Predictors of Advanced Liver Fibrosis by a Validated Serum Biomarker in Liver Transplant RecipientsMamatha Bhat0Kathleen C. Rollet-Kurhajec1Aparna Bhat2Amanda Farag3Marc Deschenes4Philip Wong5Peter Ghali6Giada Sebastiani7Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, McGill University Health Centre, Montreal, QC, CanadaChronic Viral Illness Service, Department of Medicine, McGill University Health Centre, Montreal, QC, CanadaDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, McGill University Health Centre, Montreal, QC, CanadaDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, McGill University Health Centre, Montreal, QC, CanadaDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, McGill University Health Centre, Montreal, QC, CanadaDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, McGill University Health Centre, Montreal, QC, CanadaDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, McGill University Health Centre, Montreal, QC, CanadaDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, McGill University Health Centre, Montreal, QC, CanadaBackground and Aims. Serum fibrosis biomarkers have shown good accuracy in the liver transplant (LT) population. We employed a simple serum biomarker to elucidate incidence and predictors of advanced fibrosis after LT over a long follow-up period. Methods. We included 440 consecutive patients who underwent LT between 1991 and 2013. Advanced liver fibrosis was defined as FIB-4 > 3.25 beyond 12 months after LT. Results. Over 2030.5 person-years (PY) of follow-up, 189 (43%) developed FIB-4 > 3.25, accounting for an incidence of 9.3/100 PY (95% confidence interval [CI], 8.1–10.7). Advanced fibrosis was predicted by chronic HCV infection (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) = 3.96, 95% CI 2.92–5.36, p < 0.001), hypoalbuminemia (aHR = 2.31, 95% CI 1.72–3.09; p < 0.001), and hyponatremia (aHR = 1.48, 95% CI 1.09–2.01; p = 0.01). LT recipients with more than 1 predictor had a higher incidence of advanced fibrosis, the highest being when all 3 predictors coexisted (log-rank: p < 0.001). Conclusions. Chronic HCV infection, hypoalbuminemia, and hyponatremia predict progression to advanced liver fibrosis following LT. Patients with these risk factors should be serially monitored using noninvasive fibrosis biomarkers and prioritized for interventions.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2017/4381864
spellingShingle Mamatha Bhat
Kathleen C. Rollet-Kurhajec
Aparna Bhat
Amanda Farag
Marc Deschenes
Philip Wong
Peter Ghali
Giada Sebastiani
Incidence and Predictors of Advanced Liver Fibrosis by a Validated Serum Biomarker in Liver Transplant Recipients
Canadian Journal of Gastroenterology and Hepatology
title Incidence and Predictors of Advanced Liver Fibrosis by a Validated Serum Biomarker in Liver Transplant Recipients
title_full Incidence and Predictors of Advanced Liver Fibrosis by a Validated Serum Biomarker in Liver Transplant Recipients
title_fullStr Incidence and Predictors of Advanced Liver Fibrosis by a Validated Serum Biomarker in Liver Transplant Recipients
title_full_unstemmed Incidence and Predictors of Advanced Liver Fibrosis by a Validated Serum Biomarker in Liver Transplant Recipients
title_short Incidence and Predictors of Advanced Liver Fibrosis by a Validated Serum Biomarker in Liver Transplant Recipients
title_sort incidence and predictors of advanced liver fibrosis by a validated serum biomarker in liver transplant recipients
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2017/4381864
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