Recipient Age Predicts 20-Year Survival in Pediatric Liver Transplant

Introduction. Pediatric liver transplant recipients have demonstrated excellent long-term survival. The purpose of this analysis is to investigate factors associated with 20-year survival to identify areas for improvement in patient care. Methods. Kaplan–Meier with log-rank test as well as univariat...

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Main Authors: Stephanie Keeling, Malcolm F. McDonald, Adrish Anand, Jordan Dunson, Elizabeth Williams, Theodore Zhang, Brian Hickner, Nhu Thao Nguyen Galván, Christine O’ Mahony, John A Goss, Abbas Rana
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2022-01-01
Series:Canadian Journal of Gastroenterology and Hepatology
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/1466602
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author Stephanie Keeling
Malcolm F. McDonald
Adrish Anand
Jordan Dunson
Elizabeth Williams
Theodore Zhang
Brian Hickner
Nhu Thao Nguyen Galván
Christine O’ Mahony
John A Goss
Abbas Rana
author_facet Stephanie Keeling
Malcolm F. McDonald
Adrish Anand
Jordan Dunson
Elizabeth Williams
Theodore Zhang
Brian Hickner
Nhu Thao Nguyen Galván
Christine O’ Mahony
John A Goss
Abbas Rana
author_sort Stephanie Keeling
collection DOAJ
description Introduction. Pediatric liver transplant recipients have demonstrated excellent long-term survival. The purpose of this analysis is to investigate factors associated with 20-year survival to identify areas for improvement in patient care. Methods. Kaplan–Meier with log-rank test as well as univariate and multivariate logistic regression methods were used to retrospectively analyze 4,312 liver transplant recipients under the age of 18 between September 30, 1987 and March 9, 1998. Our primary endpoint was 20-year survival among one-year survival. Results. Logistic regression analysis identified recipient age as a significant risk factor, with recipients below 5 years old having a higher 20-year survival rate (p<0.001). A preoperative primary diagnosis of a metabolic dysfunction was found to be protective compared to other diagnoses (OR 1.64, CI 1.20–2.25). African-American ethnicity (OR 0.71, CI 0.58–0.87) was also found to be a risk factor for mortality. Technical variant allografts (neither living donor nor cadaveric) were not associated with increased or decreased rates of 20-year survival. Conclusions. Our analysis suggests that long-term survival is inversely correlated with recipient age following pediatric liver transplant. If validated with further studies, this conclusion may have profound implications on the timing of pediatric liver transplantation.
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spelling doaj-art-89105a641579475e9cd19341dd85e1282025-02-03T01:19:58ZengWileyCanadian Journal of Gastroenterology and Hepatology2291-27972022-01-01202210.1155/2022/1466602Recipient Age Predicts 20-Year Survival in Pediatric Liver TransplantStephanie Keeling0Malcolm F. McDonald1Adrish Anand2Jordan Dunson3Elizabeth Williams4Theodore Zhang5Brian Hickner6Nhu Thao Nguyen Galván7Christine O’ Mahony8John A Goss9Abbas Rana10Department of Student AffairsDepartment of Student AffairsDepartment of Student AffairsDepartment of Student AffairsDepartment of Student AffairsDepartment of Student AffairsDepartment of Student AffairsDivision of Abdominal TransplantDivision of Abdominal TransplantDivision of Abdominal TransplantDivision of Abdominal TransplantIntroduction. Pediatric liver transplant recipients have demonstrated excellent long-term survival. The purpose of this analysis is to investigate factors associated with 20-year survival to identify areas for improvement in patient care. Methods. Kaplan–Meier with log-rank test as well as univariate and multivariate logistic regression methods were used to retrospectively analyze 4,312 liver transplant recipients under the age of 18 between September 30, 1987 and March 9, 1998. Our primary endpoint was 20-year survival among one-year survival. Results. Logistic regression analysis identified recipient age as a significant risk factor, with recipients below 5 years old having a higher 20-year survival rate (p<0.001). A preoperative primary diagnosis of a metabolic dysfunction was found to be protective compared to other diagnoses (OR 1.64, CI 1.20–2.25). African-American ethnicity (OR 0.71, CI 0.58–0.87) was also found to be a risk factor for mortality. Technical variant allografts (neither living donor nor cadaveric) were not associated with increased or decreased rates of 20-year survival. Conclusions. Our analysis suggests that long-term survival is inversely correlated with recipient age following pediatric liver transplant. If validated with further studies, this conclusion may have profound implications on the timing of pediatric liver transplantation.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/1466602
spellingShingle Stephanie Keeling
Malcolm F. McDonald
Adrish Anand
Jordan Dunson
Elizabeth Williams
Theodore Zhang
Brian Hickner
Nhu Thao Nguyen Galván
Christine O’ Mahony
John A Goss
Abbas Rana
Recipient Age Predicts 20-Year Survival in Pediatric Liver Transplant
Canadian Journal of Gastroenterology and Hepatology
title Recipient Age Predicts 20-Year Survival in Pediatric Liver Transplant
title_full Recipient Age Predicts 20-Year Survival in Pediatric Liver Transplant
title_fullStr Recipient Age Predicts 20-Year Survival in Pediatric Liver Transplant
title_full_unstemmed Recipient Age Predicts 20-Year Survival in Pediatric Liver Transplant
title_short Recipient Age Predicts 20-Year Survival in Pediatric Liver Transplant
title_sort recipient age predicts 20 year survival in pediatric liver transplant
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/1466602
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