Molecular testing stratifies the risk of structural recurrence in high risk differentiated thyroid cancer: a retrospective cohort study

BackgroundHigh-risk differentiated thyroid cancer in 2015 American Thyroid Association risk stratification system (ATA-RSS) exhibits a significantly increased probability of recurrence and poor outcomes. This study aimed to investigate the molecular profiles of high-risk differentiated thyroid cance...

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Main Authors: Jie Liu, Wensi Gao, Xiong Zheng, Shuping Wu, Yi Shi, Feng Wang, Yu Wu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2025-01-01
Series:Frontiers in Endocrinology
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Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fendo.2025.1508404/full
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author Jie Liu
Wensi Gao
Xiong Zheng
Shuping Wu
Yi Shi
Feng Wang
Yu Wu
author_facet Jie Liu
Wensi Gao
Xiong Zheng
Shuping Wu
Yi Shi
Feng Wang
Yu Wu
author_sort Jie Liu
collection DOAJ
description BackgroundHigh-risk differentiated thyroid cancer in 2015 American Thyroid Association risk stratification system (ATA-RSS) exhibits a significantly increased probability of recurrence and poor outcomes. This study aimed to investigate the molecular profiles of high-risk differentiated thyroid cancer and to assess the role of molecular testing in enhancing prognostic risk stratification.MethodsIn a single-center study conducted at Fujian Cancer Hospital, Fujian Province, China, a consecutive cohort of differentiated thyroid cancer patients identified as high-risk under 2015 ATA-RSS criteria were retrospectively assessed, spanning from November 1, 2019, to March 31, 2022. Molecular characterize groups were conducted using an 18-gene next-generation sequencing assay. Patients harboring mutations in the TERT promoter, TP53, or PIK3CA genes were categorized as the high molecular risk group, while all others were assigned to the non-high molecular risk group.ResultsAmong the 108 cases, 32 (29.6%) fell into the high molecular risk group, characterized by a significantly older mean age (57.8 vs. 42.6 years, p < 0.001), larger tumor size (3.1 cm vs. 2.0 cm, p = 0.003), a higher incidence of aggressive pathological subtypes (43.8% vs. 7.9%, p < 0.001), and an increased occurrence of distant metastasis (34.4% vs. 7.9%, p = 0.001). Over a median follow-up period of 32.5 months, this high-risk group demonstrated an elevated risk of local recurrence (32.1% vs. 9.5%, HR: 3.18, 95% CI: 1.15-8.78) and metachronous distant metastasis (38.1% vs. 2.9%, HR: 12.54, 95% CI: 2.60-60.41). Multivariate COX regression analysis confirmed that molecular characterize groups (HR: 5.77, 95% CI: 2.18-15.23, p < 0.001) and tumor size (HR: 1.32, 95% CI: 1.00-1.74, p = 0.047) independently predicted recurrence-free survival.ConclusionATA-RSS high-risk differentiated thyroid cancer often presents with late-hit genetic alterations, which are strongly associated with increased likelihood of structural recurrence. Molecular testing offers a precise approach to recurrence risk stratification in high-risk cases, enabling personalized follow-up and treatment strategies tailored to the specific prognostic profile.
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spelling doaj-art-88942c04a21642b5bef5dd2d23b224f52025-01-24T05:21:14ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Endocrinology1664-23922025-01-011610.3389/fendo.2025.15084041508404Molecular testing stratifies the risk of structural recurrence in high risk differentiated thyroid cancer: a retrospective cohort studyJie Liu0Wensi Gao1Xiong Zheng2Shuping Wu3Yi Shi4Feng Wang5Yu Wu6Department of Head and Neck Surgery, Clinical Oncology School of Fujian Medical University, Fujian Cancer Hospital, Fuzhou, ChinaDepartment of Breast Surgery, Clinical Oncology School of Fujian Medical University, Fujian Cancer Hospital, Fuzhou, ChinaDepartment of Head and Neck Surgery, Clinical Oncology School of Fujian Medical University, Fujian Cancer Hospital, Fuzhou, ChinaDepartment of Head and Neck Surgery, Clinical Oncology School of Fujian Medical University, Fujian Cancer Hospital, Fuzhou, ChinaDepartment of Molecular Pathology, Clinical Oncology School of Fujian Medical University, Fujian Cancer Hospital, Fuzhou, ChinaDepartment of Head and Neck Surgery, Clinical Oncology School of Fujian Medical University, Fujian Cancer Hospital, Fuzhou, ChinaDepartment of Head and Neck Surgery, Clinical Oncology School of Fujian Medical University, Fujian Cancer Hospital, Fuzhou, ChinaBackgroundHigh-risk differentiated thyroid cancer in 2015 American Thyroid Association risk stratification system (ATA-RSS) exhibits a significantly increased probability of recurrence and poor outcomes. This study aimed to investigate the molecular profiles of high-risk differentiated thyroid cancer and to assess the role of molecular testing in enhancing prognostic risk stratification.MethodsIn a single-center study conducted at Fujian Cancer Hospital, Fujian Province, China, a consecutive cohort of differentiated thyroid cancer patients identified as high-risk under 2015 ATA-RSS criteria were retrospectively assessed, spanning from November 1, 2019, to March 31, 2022. Molecular characterize groups were conducted using an 18-gene next-generation sequencing assay. Patients harboring mutations in the TERT promoter, TP53, or PIK3CA genes were categorized as the high molecular risk group, while all others were assigned to the non-high molecular risk group.ResultsAmong the 108 cases, 32 (29.6%) fell into the high molecular risk group, characterized by a significantly older mean age (57.8 vs. 42.6 years, p < 0.001), larger tumor size (3.1 cm vs. 2.0 cm, p = 0.003), a higher incidence of aggressive pathological subtypes (43.8% vs. 7.9%, p < 0.001), and an increased occurrence of distant metastasis (34.4% vs. 7.9%, p = 0.001). Over a median follow-up period of 32.5 months, this high-risk group demonstrated an elevated risk of local recurrence (32.1% vs. 9.5%, HR: 3.18, 95% CI: 1.15-8.78) and metachronous distant metastasis (38.1% vs. 2.9%, HR: 12.54, 95% CI: 2.60-60.41). Multivariate COX regression analysis confirmed that molecular characterize groups (HR: 5.77, 95% CI: 2.18-15.23, p < 0.001) and tumor size (HR: 1.32, 95% CI: 1.00-1.74, p = 0.047) independently predicted recurrence-free survival.ConclusionATA-RSS high-risk differentiated thyroid cancer often presents with late-hit genetic alterations, which are strongly associated with increased likelihood of structural recurrence. Molecular testing offers a precise approach to recurrence risk stratification in high-risk cases, enabling personalized follow-up and treatment strategies tailored to the specific prognostic profile.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fendo.2025.1508404/fullthyroid cancerrisk stratificationmolecular testingrecurrencemolecular profile
spellingShingle Jie Liu
Wensi Gao
Xiong Zheng
Shuping Wu
Yi Shi
Feng Wang
Yu Wu
Molecular testing stratifies the risk of structural recurrence in high risk differentiated thyroid cancer: a retrospective cohort study
Frontiers in Endocrinology
thyroid cancer
risk stratification
molecular testing
recurrence
molecular profile
title Molecular testing stratifies the risk of structural recurrence in high risk differentiated thyroid cancer: a retrospective cohort study
title_full Molecular testing stratifies the risk of structural recurrence in high risk differentiated thyroid cancer: a retrospective cohort study
title_fullStr Molecular testing stratifies the risk of structural recurrence in high risk differentiated thyroid cancer: a retrospective cohort study
title_full_unstemmed Molecular testing stratifies the risk of structural recurrence in high risk differentiated thyroid cancer: a retrospective cohort study
title_short Molecular testing stratifies the risk of structural recurrence in high risk differentiated thyroid cancer: a retrospective cohort study
title_sort molecular testing stratifies the risk of structural recurrence in high risk differentiated thyroid cancer a retrospective cohort study
topic thyroid cancer
risk stratification
molecular testing
recurrence
molecular profile
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fendo.2025.1508404/full
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