Prediction of Photovoltaic Power by ANN Based on Various Environmental Factors in India

Extreme weather conditions, which affect photovoltaic output power, can have a major impact on electricity generated by PV systems. In India, an annual PV power density of 2000kWh/m-2 may be used. Renewable energy (RE) is expected to play a rising part in the nations in coming years. The sun’s radia...

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Main Authors: B. Suresh Kumar, Jenifer Mahilraj, R. K. Chaurasia, Chitaranjan Dalai, A. H. Seikh, S. M. A. K. Mohammed, Ram Subbiah, Abdi Diriba
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2022-01-01
Series:International Journal of Photoenergy
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/4905980
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author B. Suresh Kumar
Jenifer Mahilraj
R. K. Chaurasia
Chitaranjan Dalai
A. H. Seikh
S. M. A. K. Mohammed
Ram Subbiah
Abdi Diriba
author_facet B. Suresh Kumar
Jenifer Mahilraj
R. K. Chaurasia
Chitaranjan Dalai
A. H. Seikh
S. M. A. K. Mohammed
Ram Subbiah
Abdi Diriba
author_sort B. Suresh Kumar
collection DOAJ
description Extreme weather conditions, which affect photovoltaic output power, can have a major impact on electricity generated by PV systems. In India, an annual PV power density of 2000kWh/m-2 may be used. Renewable energy (RE) is expected to play a rising part in the nations in coming years. The sun’s radiation is the primary source of renewable energy (RE). With the objective of predicting PV output power with the least amount of error in mind, it is vital to analyse the impact of major environmental parameters on it. The researchers looked at a variety of environmental factors in this study, including irradiance, humidity levels, meteorological conditions, wind velocity, PV global temperature and dust deposition. Countries such as India would gain immensely from this since it will increase the quantity of PV power generated in their national networks. ANN-based prediction models and multiple regression models were used to predict PV system hourly power output. There were three ANN models that predicted PV output power with RMSEs of 2.1436, 6.1555, and 5.3551, respectively, utilising all features using the correlation feature selection (CFS) or relief feature selection (ReliefF) approaches. It is possible to reduce bias to enhance accuracy by employing two distinct bias calculation methodologies, which were applied in this study. For example, the ANN model outperforms linear regression, M5P decision trees and GAUSSIAN process regression (GPR) models in terms of performance.
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institution Kabale University
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publishDate 2022-01-01
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series International Journal of Photoenergy
spelling doaj-art-86f870d0b72c4a38a68f678b6ba119bb2025-02-03T07:24:27ZengWileyInternational Journal of Photoenergy1687-529X2022-01-01202210.1155/2022/4905980Prediction of Photovoltaic Power by ANN Based on Various Environmental Factors in IndiaB. Suresh Kumar0Jenifer Mahilraj1R. K. Chaurasia2Chitaranjan Dalai3A. H. Seikh4S. M. A. K. Mohammed5Ram Subbiah6Abdi Diriba7Department of Electrical and Electronics EngineeringDepartment of CSE & ITDepartment of Electronic and Communication EngineeringDepartment of Civil EngineeringMechanical Engineering DepartmentDepartment of Mechanical and Industrial EngineeringDepartment of Mechanical EngineeringDepartment of Mechanical EngineeringExtreme weather conditions, which affect photovoltaic output power, can have a major impact on electricity generated by PV systems. In India, an annual PV power density of 2000kWh/m-2 may be used. Renewable energy (RE) is expected to play a rising part in the nations in coming years. The sun’s radiation is the primary source of renewable energy (RE). With the objective of predicting PV output power with the least amount of error in mind, it is vital to analyse the impact of major environmental parameters on it. The researchers looked at a variety of environmental factors in this study, including irradiance, humidity levels, meteorological conditions, wind velocity, PV global temperature and dust deposition. Countries such as India would gain immensely from this since it will increase the quantity of PV power generated in their national networks. ANN-based prediction models and multiple regression models were used to predict PV system hourly power output. There were three ANN models that predicted PV output power with RMSEs of 2.1436, 6.1555, and 5.3551, respectively, utilising all features using the correlation feature selection (CFS) or relief feature selection (ReliefF) approaches. It is possible to reduce bias to enhance accuracy by employing two distinct bias calculation methodologies, which were applied in this study. For example, the ANN model outperforms linear regression, M5P decision trees and GAUSSIAN process regression (GPR) models in terms of performance.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/4905980
spellingShingle B. Suresh Kumar
Jenifer Mahilraj
R. K. Chaurasia
Chitaranjan Dalai
A. H. Seikh
S. M. A. K. Mohammed
Ram Subbiah
Abdi Diriba
Prediction of Photovoltaic Power by ANN Based on Various Environmental Factors in India
International Journal of Photoenergy
title Prediction of Photovoltaic Power by ANN Based on Various Environmental Factors in India
title_full Prediction of Photovoltaic Power by ANN Based on Various Environmental Factors in India
title_fullStr Prediction of Photovoltaic Power by ANN Based on Various Environmental Factors in India
title_full_unstemmed Prediction of Photovoltaic Power by ANN Based on Various Environmental Factors in India
title_short Prediction of Photovoltaic Power by ANN Based on Various Environmental Factors in India
title_sort prediction of photovoltaic power by ann based on various environmental factors in india
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/4905980
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