Classification Based on the Support Vector Machine for Determining Operational Targets for Controlling Electricity Usage With Conventional Meters: A Case Study of Industrial and Business Tariff Customers From PT PLN (Persero) Indonesia

Electricity theft remains a significant challenge for PT PLN (Persero), Indonesia’s primary electricity provider, serving over 89 million customers as of 2023. The study focuses on industrial and business tariff customers, using a dataset from 2019 to 2023, which includes monthly consumpt...

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Main Authors: Galih Arisona, Alief Pascal Taruna, Dwi Irwanto, Arif Bijak Bestari, Wildan Juniawan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IEEE 2025-01-01
Series:IEEE Access
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Online Access:https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10840176/
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author Galih Arisona
Alief Pascal Taruna
Dwi Irwanto
Arif Bijak Bestari
Wildan Juniawan
author_facet Galih Arisona
Alief Pascal Taruna
Dwi Irwanto
Arif Bijak Bestari
Wildan Juniawan
author_sort Galih Arisona
collection DOAJ
description Electricity theft remains a significant challenge for PT PLN (Persero), Indonesia’s primary electricity provider, serving over 89 million customers as of 2023. The study focuses on industrial and business tariff customers, using a dataset from 2019 to 2023, which includes monthly consumption data from PLN’s postpaid customers across thirty operational units with the highest Electricity Use Control (P2TL) levels, covering customers with a maximum power of 6,600 VA. This approach differs from previous studies that rely on open or smart meter data, as this study uses conventional meters for data collection. In the dataset used for this research, losses from confirmed electricity theft amounted to approximately IDR 19 billion. This research aims to improve the detection of electricity theft through a machine learning-based model utilizing the Support Vector Machine (SVM) classification technique. The goal is to enhance the P2TL mechanism by accurately identifying potential targets for field verification. Various SVM kernels were tested, including Radial Basis Function (RBF), Linear, Polynomial (Poly), and Sigmoid, alongside classifiers such as SVM, Logistic Regression, Decision Tree, and Naïve Bayes. Results show that the SVM model, particularly with the RBF kernel, achieves optimal performance, with balanced precision and recall, especially with 30 months of historical data. This optimized model contributes to improving PLN’s operational efficiency, offering more accurate identification of electricity theft cases, leading to substantial financial savings by reducing losses from unpaid consumption. The findings offer practical benefits for reducing electricity theft and improving PLN’s monitoring system, especially in industrial and business sectors.
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issn 2169-3536
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spelling doaj-art-8612e60a8e5d4208ab05590bf94ea7df2025-01-24T00:02:01ZengIEEEIEEE Access2169-35362025-01-0113123881239810.1109/ACCESS.2025.352929510840176Classification Based on the Support Vector Machine for Determining Operational Targets for Controlling Electricity Usage With Conventional Meters: A Case Study of Industrial and Business Tariff Customers From PT PLN (Persero) IndonesiaGalih Arisona0https://orcid.org/0009-0004-9958-1323Alief Pascal Taruna1https://orcid.org/0009-0005-7510-8889Dwi Irwanto2https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6519-190XArif Bijak Bestari3Wildan Juniawan4Computational Science Study Program, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Bandung Institute of Technology, Bandung, IndonesiaComputational Science Study Program, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Bandung Institute of Technology, Bandung, IndonesiaComputational Science Study Program, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Bandung Institute of Technology, Bandung, IndonesiaApplication Services Division, PT PLN Icon Plus, a subsidiary of PT PLN (Persero), Jakarta, IndonesiaDivision of Systems and Information Technology, PT PLN (Persero), Head Office Jakarta, Jakarta, IndonesiaElectricity theft remains a significant challenge for PT PLN (Persero), Indonesia’s primary electricity provider, serving over 89 million customers as of 2023. The study focuses on industrial and business tariff customers, using a dataset from 2019 to 2023, which includes monthly consumption data from PLN’s postpaid customers across thirty operational units with the highest Electricity Use Control (P2TL) levels, covering customers with a maximum power of 6,600 VA. This approach differs from previous studies that rely on open or smart meter data, as this study uses conventional meters for data collection. In the dataset used for this research, losses from confirmed electricity theft amounted to approximately IDR 19 billion. This research aims to improve the detection of electricity theft through a machine learning-based model utilizing the Support Vector Machine (SVM) classification technique. The goal is to enhance the P2TL mechanism by accurately identifying potential targets for field verification. Various SVM kernels were tested, including Radial Basis Function (RBF), Linear, Polynomial (Poly), and Sigmoid, alongside classifiers such as SVM, Logistic Regression, Decision Tree, and Naïve Bayes. Results show that the SVM model, particularly with the RBF kernel, achieves optimal performance, with balanced precision and recall, especially with 30 months of historical data. This optimized model contributes to improving PLN’s operational efficiency, offering more accurate identification of electricity theft cases, leading to substantial financial savings by reducing losses from unpaid consumption. The findings offer practical benefits for reducing electricity theft and improving PLN’s monitoring system, especially in industrial and business sectors.https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10840176/Classificationconventional meterselectricity theftmachine learningsupport vector machine
spellingShingle Galih Arisona
Alief Pascal Taruna
Dwi Irwanto
Arif Bijak Bestari
Wildan Juniawan
Classification Based on the Support Vector Machine for Determining Operational Targets for Controlling Electricity Usage With Conventional Meters: A Case Study of Industrial and Business Tariff Customers From PT PLN (Persero) Indonesia
IEEE Access
Classification
conventional meters
electricity theft
machine learning
support vector machine
title Classification Based on the Support Vector Machine for Determining Operational Targets for Controlling Electricity Usage With Conventional Meters: A Case Study of Industrial and Business Tariff Customers From PT PLN (Persero) Indonesia
title_full Classification Based on the Support Vector Machine for Determining Operational Targets for Controlling Electricity Usage With Conventional Meters: A Case Study of Industrial and Business Tariff Customers From PT PLN (Persero) Indonesia
title_fullStr Classification Based on the Support Vector Machine for Determining Operational Targets for Controlling Electricity Usage With Conventional Meters: A Case Study of Industrial and Business Tariff Customers From PT PLN (Persero) Indonesia
title_full_unstemmed Classification Based on the Support Vector Machine for Determining Operational Targets for Controlling Electricity Usage With Conventional Meters: A Case Study of Industrial and Business Tariff Customers From PT PLN (Persero) Indonesia
title_short Classification Based on the Support Vector Machine for Determining Operational Targets for Controlling Electricity Usage With Conventional Meters: A Case Study of Industrial and Business Tariff Customers From PT PLN (Persero) Indonesia
title_sort classification based on the support vector machine for determining operational targets for controlling electricity usage with conventional meters a case study of industrial and business tariff customers from pt pln persero indonesia
topic Classification
conventional meters
electricity theft
machine learning
support vector machine
url https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10840176/
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