The preference for surprise in reinforcement learning underlies the differences in developmental changes in risk preference between autistic and neurotypical youth

Abstract Background Risk preference changes nonlinearly across development. Although extensive developmental research on the neurotypical (NTP) population has shown that risk preference is highest during adolescence, developmental changes in risk preference in autistic (AUT) people, who tend to pref...

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Main Authors: Motofumi Sumiya, Kentaro Katahira, Hironori Akechi, Atsushi Senju
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2025-01-01
Series:Molecular Autism
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s13229-025-00637-5
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author Motofumi Sumiya
Kentaro Katahira
Hironori Akechi
Atsushi Senju
author_facet Motofumi Sumiya
Kentaro Katahira
Hironori Akechi
Atsushi Senju
author_sort Motofumi Sumiya
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background Risk preference changes nonlinearly across development. Although extensive developmental research on the neurotypical (NTP) population has shown that risk preference is highest during adolescence, developmental changes in risk preference in autistic (AUT) people, who tend to prefer predictable behaviors, have not been investigated. Here, we aimed to investigate these changes and underlying computational mechanisms. Method We ran a game-like risk-sensitive reinforcement learning task on 75 participants aged 6–30 years (AUT group, n = 31; NTP group, n = 44). Focusing on choices between alternatives with the same objective value but different risks, we calculated the risk preference and stay probability of a risky choice after a rewarding or non-rewarding outcome. Analyses using t-tests and multiple regression analyses were conducted. Using the choice-related data of each participant, we fit four reinforcement learning models and compared the fit of each model to the data. Furthermore, we validated the results of model fitting with multiple methods, model recovery, parameter recovery, and posterior predictive check. Results We found a significant difference in nonlinear developmental changes in risk preference between the AUT and NTP groups. The computational modeling approach with reinforcement learning models revealed that individual preferences for surprise modulated such preferences. Conclusions These findings indicate that for NTP people, adolescence is a developmental period involving risk preference, possibly due to lower surprise aversion. Conversely, for AUT people, who show opposite developmental change of risk preference, adolescence could be a developmental period involving risk avoidance because of low surprise preference.
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spelling doaj-art-85d1e42e26c4487a92f680c3855277c72025-01-19T12:25:52ZengBMCMolecular Autism2040-23922025-01-0116111310.1186/s13229-025-00637-5The preference for surprise in reinforcement learning underlies the differences in developmental changes in risk preference between autistic and neurotypical youthMotofumi Sumiya0Kentaro Katahira1Hironori Akechi2Atsushi Senju3Research Center for Child Mental Development, Hamamatsu University School of MedicineHuman Informatics and Interaction Research Institute, National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology (AIST)Graduate School of Education, Kyoto UniversityResearch Center for Child Mental Development, Hamamatsu University School of MedicineAbstract Background Risk preference changes nonlinearly across development. Although extensive developmental research on the neurotypical (NTP) population has shown that risk preference is highest during adolescence, developmental changes in risk preference in autistic (AUT) people, who tend to prefer predictable behaviors, have not been investigated. Here, we aimed to investigate these changes and underlying computational mechanisms. Method We ran a game-like risk-sensitive reinforcement learning task on 75 participants aged 6–30 years (AUT group, n = 31; NTP group, n = 44). Focusing on choices between alternatives with the same objective value but different risks, we calculated the risk preference and stay probability of a risky choice after a rewarding or non-rewarding outcome. Analyses using t-tests and multiple regression analyses were conducted. Using the choice-related data of each participant, we fit four reinforcement learning models and compared the fit of each model to the data. Furthermore, we validated the results of model fitting with multiple methods, model recovery, parameter recovery, and posterior predictive check. Results We found a significant difference in nonlinear developmental changes in risk preference between the AUT and NTP groups. The computational modeling approach with reinforcement learning models revealed that individual preferences for surprise modulated such preferences. Conclusions These findings indicate that for NTP people, adolescence is a developmental period involving risk preference, possibly due to lower surprise aversion. Conversely, for AUT people, who show opposite developmental change of risk preference, adolescence could be a developmental period involving risk avoidance because of low surprise preference.https://doi.org/10.1186/s13229-025-00637-5Risk preferenceDevelopmental changesAutismReinforcement learningSurprise
spellingShingle Motofumi Sumiya
Kentaro Katahira
Hironori Akechi
Atsushi Senju
The preference for surprise in reinforcement learning underlies the differences in developmental changes in risk preference between autistic and neurotypical youth
Molecular Autism
Risk preference
Developmental changes
Autism
Reinforcement learning
Surprise
title The preference for surprise in reinforcement learning underlies the differences in developmental changes in risk preference between autistic and neurotypical youth
title_full The preference for surprise in reinforcement learning underlies the differences in developmental changes in risk preference between autistic and neurotypical youth
title_fullStr The preference for surprise in reinforcement learning underlies the differences in developmental changes in risk preference between autistic and neurotypical youth
title_full_unstemmed The preference for surprise in reinforcement learning underlies the differences in developmental changes in risk preference between autistic and neurotypical youth
title_short The preference for surprise in reinforcement learning underlies the differences in developmental changes in risk preference between autistic and neurotypical youth
title_sort preference for surprise in reinforcement learning underlies the differences in developmental changes in risk preference between autistic and neurotypical youth
topic Risk preference
Developmental changes
Autism
Reinforcement learning
Surprise
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s13229-025-00637-5
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