Forecasting investments in fixed assets
The article details the issues of forecasting investments in fixed assets. The theoretical aspects (foreign experience) of using various forms of predictive models based on the analysis of foreign scientific literature are considered. Two different forecasting methods have been practically implement...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Publishing House of the State University of Management
2022-09-01
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| Series: | Вестник университета |
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| Online Access: | https://vestnik.guu.ru/jour/article/view/3695 |
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| _version_ | 1832541621235744768 |
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| author | A. M. Terekhov |
| author_facet | A. M. Terekhov |
| author_sort | A. M. Terekhov |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The article details the issues of forecasting investments in fixed assets. The theoretical aspects (foreign experience) of using various forms of predictive models based on the analysis of foreign scientific literature are considered. Two different forecasting methods have been practically implemented using the example of building multiplicative and ARIMA models. Quarterly forecasts of the cost of investments in fixed assets for 2022–2023 in the Russian Federation are formulated. A comparison of the simulation results showed that the calculated values for both models describe the dynamics of the indicator well, the forecast values differ, and therefore an average (combined) forecast is built based on the prediction results for both implemented methods. The results of the study can be used in the practical activities of state and municipal bodies, enterprise management for quarterly forecasting of investments in fixed assets. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-8584f8a3e4954b468e82c58dcc666182 |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 1816-4277 2686-8415 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2022-09-01 |
| publisher | Publishing House of the State University of Management |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Вестник университета |
| spelling | doaj-art-8584f8a3e4954b468e82c58dcc6661822025-02-04T08:28:13ZengPublishing House of the State University of ManagementВестник университета1816-42772686-84152022-09-011714515410.26425/1816-4277-2022-7-145-1542524Forecasting investments in fixed assetsA. M. Terekhov0Russian State University of Justice (Volga Branch)The article details the issues of forecasting investments in fixed assets. The theoretical aspects (foreign experience) of using various forms of predictive models based on the analysis of foreign scientific literature are considered. Two different forecasting methods have been practically implemented using the example of building multiplicative and ARIMA models. Quarterly forecasts of the cost of investments in fixed assets for 2022–2023 in the Russian Federation are formulated. A comparison of the simulation results showed that the calculated values for both models describe the dynamics of the indicator well, the forecast values differ, and therefore an average (combined) forecast is built based on the prediction results for both implemented methods. The results of the study can be used in the practical activities of state and municipal bodies, enterprise management for quarterly forecasting of investments in fixed assets.https://vestnik.guu.ru/jour/article/view/3695investment forecastingfixed capitalmultiplicative modelarima modelcombined forecast |
| spellingShingle | A. M. Terekhov Forecasting investments in fixed assets Вестник университета investment forecasting fixed capital multiplicative model arima model combined forecast |
| title | Forecasting investments in fixed assets |
| title_full | Forecasting investments in fixed assets |
| title_fullStr | Forecasting investments in fixed assets |
| title_full_unstemmed | Forecasting investments in fixed assets |
| title_short | Forecasting investments in fixed assets |
| title_sort | forecasting investments in fixed assets |
| topic | investment forecasting fixed capital multiplicative model arima model combined forecast |
| url | https://vestnik.guu.ru/jour/article/view/3695 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT amterekhov forecastinginvestmentsinfixedassets |