Climate Change Impact on Photovoltaic Energy Output: The Case of Greece

Solar power is the third major renewable energy, constituting an increasingly important component of global future—low carbon—energy portfolio. Accurate climate information is essential for the conditions of solar energy production, maximization, and stable regulation and planning. Climate change im...

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Main Authors: Ioanna S. Panagea, Ioannis K. Tsanis, Aristeidis G. Koutroulis, Manolis G. Grillakis
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2014-01-01
Series:Advances in Meteorology
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/264506
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author Ioanna S. Panagea
Ioannis K. Tsanis
Aristeidis G. Koutroulis
Manolis G. Grillakis
author_facet Ioanna S. Panagea
Ioannis K. Tsanis
Aristeidis G. Koutroulis
Manolis G. Grillakis
author_sort Ioanna S. Panagea
collection DOAJ
description Solar power is the third major renewable energy, constituting an increasingly important component of global future—low carbon—energy portfolio. Accurate climate information is essential for the conditions of solar energy production, maximization, and stable regulation and planning. Climate change impacts on energy output projections are thus of crucial importance. In this study the effect of projected changes in irradiance and temperature on the performance of photovoltaic systems in Greece is examined. Climate projections were obtained from 5 regional climate models (RCMs) under the A1B emissions scenario, for two future periods. The RCM data present systematic errors against observed values, resulting in the need of bias adjustment. The projected change in photovoltaic energy output was then estimated, considering changes in temperature and insolation. The spatiotemporal analysis indicates significant increase in mean annual temperature (up to 3.5°C) and mean total radiation (up to 5 W/m2) by 2100. The performance of photovoltaic systems exhibits a negative linear dependence on the projected temperature increase which is outweighed by the expected increase of total radiation resulting in an up to 4% increase in energy output.
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spelling doaj-art-8441f5eddf824e85948be3b1e9fc2f572025-02-03T01:01:13ZengWileyAdvances in Meteorology1687-93091687-93172014-01-01201410.1155/2014/264506264506Climate Change Impact on Photovoltaic Energy Output: The Case of GreeceIoanna S. Panagea0Ioannis K. Tsanis1Aristeidis G. Koutroulis2Manolis G. Grillakis3Department of Environmental Engineering, Technical University of Crete, GR73100 Chania, GreeceDepartment of Environmental Engineering, Technical University of Crete, GR73100 Chania, GreeceDepartment of Environmental Engineering, Technical University of Crete, GR73100 Chania, GreeceDepartment of Environmental Engineering, Technical University of Crete, GR73100 Chania, GreeceSolar power is the third major renewable energy, constituting an increasingly important component of global future—low carbon—energy portfolio. Accurate climate information is essential for the conditions of solar energy production, maximization, and stable regulation and planning. Climate change impacts on energy output projections are thus of crucial importance. In this study the effect of projected changes in irradiance and temperature on the performance of photovoltaic systems in Greece is examined. Climate projections were obtained from 5 regional climate models (RCMs) under the A1B emissions scenario, for two future periods. The RCM data present systematic errors against observed values, resulting in the need of bias adjustment. The projected change in photovoltaic energy output was then estimated, considering changes in temperature and insolation. The spatiotemporal analysis indicates significant increase in mean annual temperature (up to 3.5°C) and mean total radiation (up to 5 W/m2) by 2100. The performance of photovoltaic systems exhibits a negative linear dependence on the projected temperature increase which is outweighed by the expected increase of total radiation resulting in an up to 4% increase in energy output.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/264506
spellingShingle Ioanna S. Panagea
Ioannis K. Tsanis
Aristeidis G. Koutroulis
Manolis G. Grillakis
Climate Change Impact on Photovoltaic Energy Output: The Case of Greece
Advances in Meteorology
title Climate Change Impact on Photovoltaic Energy Output: The Case of Greece
title_full Climate Change Impact on Photovoltaic Energy Output: The Case of Greece
title_fullStr Climate Change Impact on Photovoltaic Energy Output: The Case of Greece
title_full_unstemmed Climate Change Impact on Photovoltaic Energy Output: The Case of Greece
title_short Climate Change Impact on Photovoltaic Energy Output: The Case of Greece
title_sort climate change impact on photovoltaic energy output the case of greece
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/264506
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AT manolisggrillakis climatechangeimpactonphotovoltaicenergyoutputthecaseofgreece