Macro Issues of Urban and Rural Development and Land Use Planning in the Horizon of Iran 1420 with Strategic Future Approach

Given the recent challenges faced by urban and rural areas in Iran, it is anticipated that these regions will encounter significant uncertainties and critical issues in the coming years. Addressing land use and mitigating the challenges associated with urban and rural development necessitates a thor...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Aliakbar Jafarloo, Monireh Ghofran, Sahar Nazari
Format: Article
Language:fas
Published: Kharazmi University 2025-06-01
Series:تحقیقات کاربردی علوم جغرافیایی
Subjects:
Online Access:http://jgs.khu.ac.ir/article-1-4138-en.pdf
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1832575665720786944
author Aliakbar Jafarloo
Monireh Ghofran
Sahar Nazari
author_facet Aliakbar Jafarloo
Monireh Ghofran
Sahar Nazari
author_sort Aliakbar Jafarloo
collection DOAJ
description Given the recent challenges faced by urban and rural areas in Iran, it is anticipated that these regions will encounter significant uncertainties and critical issues in the coming years. Addressing land use and mitigating the challenges associated with urban and rural development necessitates a thorough identification of these issues, followed by strategic planning aimed at alleviating their impact. This research adopts a futuristic perspective and employs a qualitative-descriptive methodology to investigate these matters. To achieve the research objectives, an extensive review of relevant literature and library studies was conducted, supplemented by consultations with 70 experts across various domains. This process facilitated the identification of the primary challenges related to urban and rural development and land use within the context of Iran in the year 1420 (Islamic calendar). Subsequently, qualitative analysis was utilized to develop strategic scenarios aimed at addressing the identified challenges in the country’s future trajectory. The findings reveal that Iran will likely experience sudden disruptions and heightened uncertainties, compounded by economic, social, political, environmental, demographic, geopolitical, and climate-related factors, as well as issues related to cyberspace and increasing inequalities. Furthermore, there are unanticipated and unaddressed threats on the horizon. In response to these challenges, twenty future scenarios were devised, designed to confront the macro-level issues highlighted in the research, while also challenging current assumptions and posing critical questions regarding the nation's future. These scenarios provide strategic insights into how Iran can prepare to meet the evolving needs of its urban and rural communities as the country approaches the year 1420, in light of a dynamic and uncertain future.
format Article
id doaj-art-83ecb56e7d824d3d8b81587343138da3
institution Kabale University
issn 2228-7736
2588-5138
language fas
publishDate 2025-06-01
publisher Kharazmi University
record_format Article
series تحقیقات کاربردی علوم جغرافیایی
spelling doaj-art-83ecb56e7d824d3d8b81587343138da32025-01-31T17:34:08ZfasKharazmi Universityتحقیقات کاربردی علوم جغرافیایی2228-77362588-51382025-06-012577266289Macro Issues of Urban and Rural Development and Land Use Planning in the Horizon of Iran 1420 with Strategic Future ApproachAliakbar Jafarloo0Monireh Ghofran1Sahar Nazari2 MSc in Geography and Urban Planning, Payame Noor University, Booin Zahra, Iran. MSc student of Geography and Rural Planning, Sistan and Baluchestan University, Zahedan, Iran MSc student of Architecture, Islamic Azad University, Ardestan, Isfahan, Iran Given the recent challenges faced by urban and rural areas in Iran, it is anticipated that these regions will encounter significant uncertainties and critical issues in the coming years. Addressing land use and mitigating the challenges associated with urban and rural development necessitates a thorough identification of these issues, followed by strategic planning aimed at alleviating their impact. This research adopts a futuristic perspective and employs a qualitative-descriptive methodology to investigate these matters. To achieve the research objectives, an extensive review of relevant literature and library studies was conducted, supplemented by consultations with 70 experts across various domains. This process facilitated the identification of the primary challenges related to urban and rural development and land use within the context of Iran in the year 1420 (Islamic calendar). Subsequently, qualitative analysis was utilized to develop strategic scenarios aimed at addressing the identified challenges in the country’s future trajectory. The findings reveal that Iran will likely experience sudden disruptions and heightened uncertainties, compounded by economic, social, political, environmental, demographic, geopolitical, and climate-related factors, as well as issues related to cyberspace and increasing inequalities. Furthermore, there are unanticipated and unaddressed threats on the horizon. In response to these challenges, twenty future scenarios were devised, designed to confront the macro-level issues highlighted in the research, while also challenging current assumptions and posing critical questions regarding the nation's future. These scenarios provide strategic insights into how Iran can prepare to meet the evolving needs of its urban and rural communities as the country approaches the year 1420, in light of a dynamic and uncertain future.http://jgs.khu.ac.ir/article-1-4138-en.pdfspatial planningregional planningurban and rural developmentstrategic research
spellingShingle Aliakbar Jafarloo
Monireh Ghofran
Sahar Nazari
Macro Issues of Urban and Rural Development and Land Use Planning in the Horizon of Iran 1420 with Strategic Future Approach
تحقیقات کاربردی علوم جغرافیایی
spatial planning
regional planning
urban and rural development
strategic research
title Macro Issues of Urban and Rural Development and Land Use Planning in the Horizon of Iran 1420 with Strategic Future Approach
title_full Macro Issues of Urban and Rural Development and Land Use Planning in the Horizon of Iran 1420 with Strategic Future Approach
title_fullStr Macro Issues of Urban and Rural Development and Land Use Planning in the Horizon of Iran 1420 with Strategic Future Approach
title_full_unstemmed Macro Issues of Urban and Rural Development and Land Use Planning in the Horizon of Iran 1420 with Strategic Future Approach
title_short Macro Issues of Urban and Rural Development and Land Use Planning in the Horizon of Iran 1420 with Strategic Future Approach
title_sort macro issues of urban and rural development and land use planning in the horizon of iran 1420 with strategic future approach
topic spatial planning
regional planning
urban and rural development
strategic research
url http://jgs.khu.ac.ir/article-1-4138-en.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT aliakbarjafarloo macroissuesofurbanandruraldevelopmentandlanduseplanninginthehorizonofiran1420withstrategicfutureapproach
AT monirehghofran macroissuesofurbanandruraldevelopmentandlanduseplanninginthehorizonofiran1420withstrategicfutureapproach
AT saharnazari macroissuesofurbanandruraldevelopmentandlanduseplanninginthehorizonofiran1420withstrategicfutureapproach