Spatial distribution shifts of Batocera horsfieldi (Coleoptera: Cerambycidae) and its natural enemies in China under climate change: Implications for biological control

With the increasing impact of climate change on global ecosystems, the ranges of species are undergoing significant changes. The aim of this study was to assess the potential suitable areas for Batocera horsfieldi (Coleoptera: Cerambycidae) and its natural enemies, Dendrocopos major (Piciformes: Pic...

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Main Authors: Liang Zhang, Chaokun Yang, Ping Wang, Guanglin Xie, Wenkai Wang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-07-01
Series:Biological Control
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1049964425001070
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author Liang Zhang
Chaokun Yang
Ping Wang
Guanglin Xie
Wenkai Wang
author_facet Liang Zhang
Chaokun Yang
Ping Wang
Guanglin Xie
Wenkai Wang
author_sort Liang Zhang
collection DOAJ
description With the increasing impact of climate change on global ecosystems, the ranges of species are undergoing significant changes. The aim of this study was to assess the potential suitable areas for Batocera horsfieldi (Coleoptera: Cerambycidae) and its natural enemies, Dendrocopos major (Piciformes: Picidae) and Scleroderma guani (Hymenoptera: Bethylidae), in the context of climate change and to explore the feasibility of pre-emptive classical biological control strategies. Predictions by ecological niche modelling combined with current and future bioclimatic factors showed that under future climate scenarios, the suitable areas for B. horsfieldi showed a gradual contraction, while the suitable areas for D. major and S. guani were expanding. In addition, by analyzing the overlap of the suitable areas of the three species, we found that in the future, there is a significant spatial overlap in the suitable distribution areas of natural enemies and pests, which provides new possibilities for biological control. This study provides new perspectives for pre-emptive biological control in the future, emphasizes the importance of screening and obtaining approval for releasing natural enemies after the arrival of the pest, especially in the context of the uncertainty caused by climate change, and provides a scientific basis for the development of integrated prevention and management strategies to deal with the threats posed by B. horsfieldi in the future. The results of this study can help to reduce the agro-ecological risks and promote the development of sustainable agriculture.
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series Biological Control
spelling doaj-art-83257ada13de4ecebbac7e14e48e7f6d2025-08-20T02:05:07ZengElsevierBiological Control1049-96442025-07-0120610579710.1016/j.biocontrol.2025.105797Spatial distribution shifts of Batocera horsfieldi (Coleoptera: Cerambycidae) and its natural enemies in China under climate change: Implications for biological controlLiang Zhang0Chaokun Yang1Ping Wang2Guanglin Xie3Wenkai Wang4Institute of Entomology, College of Agriculture, Yangtze University, Jingzhou 434025, ChinaInstitute of Entomology, College of Agriculture, Yangtze University, Jingzhou 434025, ChinaInstitute of Entomology, College of Agriculture, Yangtze University, Jingzhou 434025, China; MARA Key Laboratory of Sustainable Crop Production in the Middle Reaches of the Yangtze River (Co-Construction by Ministry and Province), College of Agriculture, Yangtze University, Jingzhou 434025, ChinaInstitute of Entomology, College of Agriculture, Yangtze University, Jingzhou 434025, China; MARA Key Laboratory of Sustainable Crop Production in the Middle Reaches of the Yangtze River (Co-Construction by Ministry and Province), College of Agriculture, Yangtze University, Jingzhou 434025, China; Corresponding authors at: Institute of Entomology, College of Agriculture, Yangtze University, Jingzhou 434025, China.Institute of Entomology, College of Agriculture, Yangtze University, Jingzhou 434025, China; MARA Key Laboratory of Sustainable Crop Production in the Middle Reaches of the Yangtze River (Co-Construction by Ministry and Province), College of Agriculture, Yangtze University, Jingzhou 434025, China; Corresponding authors at: Institute of Entomology, College of Agriculture, Yangtze University, Jingzhou 434025, China.With the increasing impact of climate change on global ecosystems, the ranges of species are undergoing significant changes. The aim of this study was to assess the potential suitable areas for Batocera horsfieldi (Coleoptera: Cerambycidae) and its natural enemies, Dendrocopos major (Piciformes: Picidae) and Scleroderma guani (Hymenoptera: Bethylidae), in the context of climate change and to explore the feasibility of pre-emptive classical biological control strategies. Predictions by ecological niche modelling combined with current and future bioclimatic factors showed that under future climate scenarios, the suitable areas for B. horsfieldi showed a gradual contraction, while the suitable areas for D. major and S. guani were expanding. In addition, by analyzing the overlap of the suitable areas of the three species, we found that in the future, there is a significant spatial overlap in the suitable distribution areas of natural enemies and pests, which provides new possibilities for biological control. This study provides new perspectives for pre-emptive biological control in the future, emphasizes the importance of screening and obtaining approval for releasing natural enemies after the arrival of the pest, especially in the context of the uncertainty caused by climate change, and provides a scientific basis for the development of integrated prevention and management strategies to deal with the threats posed by B. horsfieldi in the future. The results of this study can help to reduce the agro-ecological risks and promote the development of sustainable agriculture.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1049964425001070Climate changeBatocera horsfieldiNatural enemysPre-emptive biocontrolEnsemble modelPotential distribution
spellingShingle Liang Zhang
Chaokun Yang
Ping Wang
Guanglin Xie
Wenkai Wang
Spatial distribution shifts of Batocera horsfieldi (Coleoptera: Cerambycidae) and its natural enemies in China under climate change: Implications for biological control
Biological Control
Climate change
Batocera horsfieldi
Natural enemys
Pre-emptive biocontrol
Ensemble model
Potential distribution
title Spatial distribution shifts of Batocera horsfieldi (Coleoptera: Cerambycidae) and its natural enemies in China under climate change: Implications for biological control
title_full Spatial distribution shifts of Batocera horsfieldi (Coleoptera: Cerambycidae) and its natural enemies in China under climate change: Implications for biological control
title_fullStr Spatial distribution shifts of Batocera horsfieldi (Coleoptera: Cerambycidae) and its natural enemies in China under climate change: Implications for biological control
title_full_unstemmed Spatial distribution shifts of Batocera horsfieldi (Coleoptera: Cerambycidae) and its natural enemies in China under climate change: Implications for biological control
title_short Spatial distribution shifts of Batocera horsfieldi (Coleoptera: Cerambycidae) and its natural enemies in China under climate change: Implications for biological control
title_sort spatial distribution shifts of batocera horsfieldi coleoptera cerambycidae and its natural enemies in china under climate change implications for biological control
topic Climate change
Batocera horsfieldi
Natural enemys
Pre-emptive biocontrol
Ensemble model
Potential distribution
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1049964425001070
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