Bayesian Inference of Ammunition Consumption Based on Normal-Inverse Gamma Distribution
To address the problems of high cost of new ammunition experiment, few data of field test and low accuracy of consumption prediction, this article proposes a Bayesian estimation method of ammunition consumption based on normal-inverse gamma distribution, and estimates the hyperparameters in the prio...
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Main Authors: | , , , , , |
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
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Wiley
2022-01-01
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Series: | Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society |
Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/6365712 |
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author | Haobang Liu Xianming Shi Xiaojuan Chen Yuan Li Mei Zhao Yongchao Jiang |
author_facet | Haobang Liu Xianming Shi Xiaojuan Chen Yuan Li Mei Zhao Yongchao Jiang |
author_sort | Haobang Liu |
collection | DOAJ |
description | To address the problems of high cost of new ammunition experiment, few data of field test and low accuracy of consumption prediction, this article proposes a Bayesian estimation method of ammunition consumption based on normal-inverse gamma distribution, and estimates the hyperparameters in the prior distribution through the prior information from the consumption of ammunition under different damage degrees of point targets, based on the normal distribution phenomenon of ammunition consumption at each damage degree. It is to establish a Bayesian estimation model for ammunition consumption under different damage degrees according to field test data based on Bayesian formula and solve for its posterior distribution. The example proves that the estimation results of ammunition consumption for point target with different damage degrees based on this method is more scientific and reasonable according to various prior information. |
format | Article |
id | doaj-art-82d4f4b99c0243968bb26b0226183c1d |
institution | Kabale University |
issn | 1607-887X |
language | English |
publishDate | 2022-01-01 |
publisher | Wiley |
record_format | Article |
series | Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society |
spelling | doaj-art-82d4f4b99c0243968bb26b0226183c1d2025-02-03T06:05:51ZengWileyDiscrete Dynamics in Nature and Society1607-887X2022-01-01202210.1155/2022/6365712Bayesian Inference of Ammunition Consumption Based on Normal-Inverse Gamma DistributionHaobang Liu0Xianming Shi1Xiaojuan Chen2Yuan Li3Mei Zhao4Yongchao Jiang5Shijiazhuang CampusShijiazhuang CampusShijiazhuang CampusShijiazhuang CampusShijiazhuang CampusShijiazhuang CampusTo address the problems of high cost of new ammunition experiment, few data of field test and low accuracy of consumption prediction, this article proposes a Bayesian estimation method of ammunition consumption based on normal-inverse gamma distribution, and estimates the hyperparameters in the prior distribution through the prior information from the consumption of ammunition under different damage degrees of point targets, based on the normal distribution phenomenon of ammunition consumption at each damage degree. It is to establish a Bayesian estimation model for ammunition consumption under different damage degrees according to field test data based on Bayesian formula and solve for its posterior distribution. The example proves that the estimation results of ammunition consumption for point target with different damage degrees based on this method is more scientific and reasonable according to various prior information.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/6365712 |
spellingShingle | Haobang Liu Xianming Shi Xiaojuan Chen Yuan Li Mei Zhao Yongchao Jiang Bayesian Inference of Ammunition Consumption Based on Normal-Inverse Gamma Distribution Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society |
title | Bayesian Inference of Ammunition Consumption Based on Normal-Inverse Gamma Distribution |
title_full | Bayesian Inference of Ammunition Consumption Based on Normal-Inverse Gamma Distribution |
title_fullStr | Bayesian Inference of Ammunition Consumption Based on Normal-Inverse Gamma Distribution |
title_full_unstemmed | Bayesian Inference of Ammunition Consumption Based on Normal-Inverse Gamma Distribution |
title_short | Bayesian Inference of Ammunition Consumption Based on Normal-Inverse Gamma Distribution |
title_sort | bayesian inference of ammunition consumption based on normal inverse gamma distribution |
url | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/6365712 |
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