The Energy Crisis and Gas Supply Stop: Consequences for Businesses in Germany

Abstract Based on data from a representative German establishment survey, we assess the ramifications of potentially cutting off the gas supply from Russia. Moreover, we analyse how rising energy costs and supply chain disruptions are so far related to the probability of firms adjusting prices, outp...

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Main Authors: Christian Kagerl, Michael Moritz, Duncan Roth, Jens Stegmaier, Ignat Stepanok, Enzo Weber
Format: Article
Language:deu
Published: Sciendo 2022-06-01
Series:Wirtschaftsdienst
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1007/s10273-022-3211-7
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author Christian Kagerl
Michael Moritz
Duncan Roth
Jens Stegmaier
Ignat Stepanok
Enzo Weber
author_facet Christian Kagerl
Michael Moritz
Duncan Roth
Jens Stegmaier
Ignat Stepanok
Enzo Weber
author_sort Christian Kagerl
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Based on data from a representative German establishment survey, we assess the ramifications of potentially cutting off the gas supply from Russia. Moreover, we analyse how rising energy costs and supply chain disruptions are so far related to the probability of firms adjusting prices, output and employment. A large share of businesses, especially energy-intensive ones, expect a partial or full reduction in output levels should they no longer be supplied with gas. Fourteen percent of businesses report that their production already decreased due to the Russia-Ukraine war and even more expect such a decrease in the future. Similarly, many businesses report price increases. Output and price adjustments are more likely to occur among businesses reporting rising energy costs or supply chain bottlenecks. Some have taken personnel measures, but overall, employment has remained robust so far.
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publishDate 2022-06-01
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series Wirtschaftsdienst
spelling doaj-art-819ef371d0c84695aa21e5147d21d00b2025-02-02T03:58:43ZdeuSciendoWirtschaftsdienst1613-978X2022-06-01102648649110.1007/s10273-022-3211-7The Energy Crisis and Gas Supply Stop: Consequences for Businesses in GermanyChristian Kagerl0Michael Moritz1Duncan Roth2Jens Stegmaier3Ignat Stepanok4Enzo Weber5Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB)Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB)Regionales Forschungsnetz, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB)Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB)Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB)Forschungsbereich A1, Inst. f. Arbeitsmarkt- und BerufsforschungAbstract Based on data from a representative German establishment survey, we assess the ramifications of potentially cutting off the gas supply from Russia. Moreover, we analyse how rising energy costs and supply chain disruptions are so far related to the probability of firms adjusting prices, output and employment. A large share of businesses, especially energy-intensive ones, expect a partial or full reduction in output levels should they no longer be supplied with gas. Fourteen percent of businesses report that their production already decreased due to the Russia-Ukraine war and even more expect such a decrease in the future. Similarly, many businesses report price increases. Output and price adjustments are more likely to occur among businesses reporting rising energy costs or supply chain bottlenecks. Some have taken personnel measures, but overall, employment has remained robust so far.https://doi.org/10.1007/s10273-022-3211-7
spellingShingle Christian Kagerl
Michael Moritz
Duncan Roth
Jens Stegmaier
Ignat Stepanok
Enzo Weber
The Energy Crisis and Gas Supply Stop: Consequences for Businesses in Germany
Wirtschaftsdienst
title The Energy Crisis and Gas Supply Stop: Consequences for Businesses in Germany
title_full The Energy Crisis and Gas Supply Stop: Consequences for Businesses in Germany
title_fullStr The Energy Crisis and Gas Supply Stop: Consequences for Businesses in Germany
title_full_unstemmed The Energy Crisis and Gas Supply Stop: Consequences for Businesses in Germany
title_short The Energy Crisis and Gas Supply Stop: Consequences for Businesses in Germany
title_sort energy crisis and gas supply stop consequences for businesses in germany
url https://doi.org/10.1007/s10273-022-3211-7
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