Trends in Extreme Precipitation Indices in Iran: 1951–2007

We investigate trends in extreme precipitation in Iran for 1951–2007 using the recently released APHRODITE daily rainfall time series. We find that seven different indices of extreme precipitation all show an upward trend through the study period. The seven different precipitation indices include an...

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Main Authors: Robert C. Balling, Mohammad Sadegh Keikhosravi Kiany, Shouraseni Sen Roy, Javad Khoshhal
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2016-01-01
Series:Advances in Meteorology
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2016/2456809
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author Robert C. Balling
Mohammad Sadegh Keikhosravi Kiany
Shouraseni Sen Roy
Javad Khoshhal
author_facet Robert C. Balling
Mohammad Sadegh Keikhosravi Kiany
Shouraseni Sen Roy
Javad Khoshhal
author_sort Robert C. Balling
collection DOAJ
description We investigate trends in extreme precipitation in Iran for 1951–2007 using the recently released APHRODITE daily rainfall time series. We find that seven different indices of extreme precipitation all show an upward trend through the study period. The seven different precipitation indices include annual precipitation total, number of days above a certain threshold, maximum precipitation received over a certain period of time, maximum one-day precipitation, and number of days with precipitation above the 90th percentile. A principal components analysis reveals one eigenvector explaining much of the variance in the seven indices and reveals that this component exhibits a strong upward trend for the whole of Iran. On a regional level, we find that the upward trend in extreme precipitation has a strong southwest-to-northeast gradient across the country for all the indices. We repeated all the analyses for 42 stations across the country to compare with the results from the gridded data; trends in extreme rainfall generated from the station data compare favorably with the results from the APHRODITE daily rainfall time series thereby reinforcing the robustness of our conclusions.
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spelling doaj-art-7fc1ae0af7154c2d8ccc4c488fc3df542025-02-03T01:11:28ZengWileyAdvances in Meteorology1687-93091687-93172016-01-01201610.1155/2016/24568092456809Trends in Extreme Precipitation Indices in Iran: 1951–2007Robert C. Balling0Mohammad Sadegh Keikhosravi Kiany1Shouraseni Sen Roy2Javad Khoshhal3School of Geographical Sciences and Urban Planning, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85287, USAFaculty of Geographical Sciences and Planning, University of Isfahan, Isfahan, IranDepartment of Geography and Regional Studies, University of Miami, Coral Gables, FL 33146, USAFaculty of Geographical Sciences and Planning, University of Isfahan, Isfahan, IranWe investigate trends in extreme precipitation in Iran for 1951–2007 using the recently released APHRODITE daily rainfall time series. We find that seven different indices of extreme precipitation all show an upward trend through the study period. The seven different precipitation indices include annual precipitation total, number of days above a certain threshold, maximum precipitation received over a certain period of time, maximum one-day precipitation, and number of days with precipitation above the 90th percentile. A principal components analysis reveals one eigenvector explaining much of the variance in the seven indices and reveals that this component exhibits a strong upward trend for the whole of Iran. On a regional level, we find that the upward trend in extreme precipitation has a strong southwest-to-northeast gradient across the country for all the indices. We repeated all the analyses for 42 stations across the country to compare with the results from the gridded data; trends in extreme rainfall generated from the station data compare favorably with the results from the APHRODITE daily rainfall time series thereby reinforcing the robustness of our conclusions.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2016/2456809
spellingShingle Robert C. Balling
Mohammad Sadegh Keikhosravi Kiany
Shouraseni Sen Roy
Javad Khoshhal
Trends in Extreme Precipitation Indices in Iran: 1951–2007
Advances in Meteorology
title Trends in Extreme Precipitation Indices in Iran: 1951–2007
title_full Trends in Extreme Precipitation Indices in Iran: 1951–2007
title_fullStr Trends in Extreme Precipitation Indices in Iran: 1951–2007
title_full_unstemmed Trends in Extreme Precipitation Indices in Iran: 1951–2007
title_short Trends in Extreme Precipitation Indices in Iran: 1951–2007
title_sort trends in extreme precipitation indices in iran 1951 2007
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2016/2456809
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AT mohammadsadeghkeikhosravikiany trendsinextremeprecipitationindicesiniran19512007
AT shourasenisenroy trendsinextremeprecipitationindicesiniran19512007
AT javadkhoshhal trendsinextremeprecipitationindicesiniran19512007