Dominant inflation of the Arctic Ocean’s Beaufort Gyre in a warming climate

Abstract The Arctic Ocean’s Beaufort Gyre, the largest Arctic freshwater reservoir, plays a crucial role for climate and marine ecosystems. Understanding how it changes in a warming climate is therefore essential. Here, using high-resolution simulations and Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phas...

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Main Authors: Qiang Wang, Qi Shu, Shizhu Wang, Xinyue Li, Sergey Danilov, Fangli Qiao, Zhenya Song, Fan Wang, Thomas Jung
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-01-01
Series:Communications Earth & Environment
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02028-3
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author Qiang Wang
Qi Shu
Shizhu Wang
Xinyue Li
Sergey Danilov
Fangli Qiao
Zhenya Song
Fan Wang
Thomas Jung
author_facet Qiang Wang
Qi Shu
Shizhu Wang
Xinyue Li
Sergey Danilov
Fangli Qiao
Zhenya Song
Fan Wang
Thomas Jung
author_sort Qiang Wang
collection DOAJ
description Abstract The Arctic Ocean’s Beaufort Gyre, the largest Arctic freshwater reservoir, plays a crucial role for climate and marine ecosystems. Understanding how it changes in a warming climate is therefore essential. Here, using high-resolution simulations and Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 data, we find that the Beaufort Gyre will increasingly accumulate freshwater, elevate sea level, and spin up its circulation as the climate warms. These changes, collectively referred to as inflation, are more pronounced in the Beaufort Gyre region than in other Arctic areas, amplifying the spatial asymmetry of the Arctic Ocean. The inflation is driven by increased surface freshwater fluxes and intensified surface stress from wind strengthening and sea ice decline. Current climate models tend to underestimate this inflation, which could be alleviated by high-resolution ocean models and improved atmospheric circulation simulations. The inflation of the Beaufort Gyre underscores its growing importance in a warming climate.
format Article
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institution Kabale University
issn 2662-4435
language English
publishDate 2025-01-01
publisher Nature Portfolio
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series Communications Earth & Environment
spelling doaj-art-7f347622335949efa328f14b19974d3a2025-01-26T12:54:02ZengNature PortfolioCommunications Earth & Environment2662-44352025-01-016111210.1038/s43247-025-02028-3Dominant inflation of the Arctic Ocean’s Beaufort Gyre in a warming climateQiang Wang0Qi Shu1Shizhu Wang2Xinyue Li3Sergey Danilov4Fangli Qiao5Zhenya Song6Fan Wang7Thomas Jung8Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research (AWI)First Institute of Oceanography and Key Laboratory of Marine Science and Numerical Modeling, Ministry of Natural ResourcesFirst Institute of Oceanography and Key Laboratory of Marine Science and Numerical Modeling, Ministry of Natural ResourcesAlfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research (AWI)Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research (AWI)First Institute of Oceanography and Key Laboratory of Marine Science and Numerical Modeling, Ministry of Natural ResourcesFirst Institute of Oceanography and Key Laboratory of Marine Science and Numerical Modeling, Ministry of Natural ResourcesKey Laboratory of Ocean Observation and Forecasting and Key Laboratory of Ocean Circulation and Waves, Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences (IOCAS)Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research (AWI)Abstract The Arctic Ocean’s Beaufort Gyre, the largest Arctic freshwater reservoir, plays a crucial role for climate and marine ecosystems. Understanding how it changes in a warming climate is therefore essential. Here, using high-resolution simulations and Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 data, we find that the Beaufort Gyre will increasingly accumulate freshwater, elevate sea level, and spin up its circulation as the climate warms. These changes, collectively referred to as inflation, are more pronounced in the Beaufort Gyre region than in other Arctic areas, amplifying the spatial asymmetry of the Arctic Ocean. The inflation is driven by increased surface freshwater fluxes and intensified surface stress from wind strengthening and sea ice decline. Current climate models tend to underestimate this inflation, which could be alleviated by high-resolution ocean models and improved atmospheric circulation simulations. The inflation of the Beaufort Gyre underscores its growing importance in a warming climate.https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02028-3
spellingShingle Qiang Wang
Qi Shu
Shizhu Wang
Xinyue Li
Sergey Danilov
Fangli Qiao
Zhenya Song
Fan Wang
Thomas Jung
Dominant inflation of the Arctic Ocean’s Beaufort Gyre in a warming climate
Communications Earth & Environment
title Dominant inflation of the Arctic Ocean’s Beaufort Gyre in a warming climate
title_full Dominant inflation of the Arctic Ocean’s Beaufort Gyre in a warming climate
title_fullStr Dominant inflation of the Arctic Ocean’s Beaufort Gyre in a warming climate
title_full_unstemmed Dominant inflation of the Arctic Ocean’s Beaufort Gyre in a warming climate
title_short Dominant inflation of the Arctic Ocean’s Beaufort Gyre in a warming climate
title_sort dominant inflation of the arctic ocean s beaufort gyre in a warming climate
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02028-3
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