Analysis of the COVID-19 pandemic and prediction with numerical methods

Coronavirus spreads worldwide with various symptoms and strains such as COVID-19, SARS, MERS. Outbreak and prevention of the coronavirus can be studied by many mathematical models like SIR, SEIR and SEIQDR. In this paper, we employed Euler’s method based on the SEIQDR mathematical model of COVID-19....

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Main Authors: M. M. Singh, D. L. Suthar, G. Agarwal, S. D. Purohit
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: World Scientific Publishing 2024-12-01
Series:International Journal of Mathematics for Industry
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Online Access:https://www.worldscientific.com/doi/10.1142/S2661335224500187
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author M. M. Singh
D. L. Suthar
G. Agarwal
S. D. Purohit
author_facet M. M. Singh
D. L. Suthar
G. Agarwal
S. D. Purohit
author_sort M. M. Singh
collection DOAJ
description Coronavirus spreads worldwide with various symptoms and strains such as COVID-19, SARS, MERS. Outbreak and prevention of the coronavirus can be studied by many mathematical models like SIR, SEIR and SEIQDR. In this paper, we employed Euler’s method based on the SEIQDR mathematical model of COVID-19. Also, after certain iterations of the population categories, we obtained the solution range of the SEIQDR model. In the end, we studied the impact of [Formula: see text] for integer 1 and fractional order 0.9 and 0.85 on the obtained numerical solutions. The graphical solutions are also analyzed for integer and fractional values of [Formula: see text]. The advantage of this proposed method is that it reduces the mathematical and numerical computations significantly and the proposed method is effective and efficient in extracting the approximate solution of various population categories for COVID-19 mathematical model.
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spelling doaj-art-7f32d6db9d5c4cd8ae3d20dc1c5250b92025-08-20T01:57:20ZengWorld Scientific PublishingInternational Journal of Mathematics for Industry2661-33522661-33442024-12-0116Supp0110.1142/S2661335224500187Analysis of the COVID-19 pandemic and prediction with numerical methodsM. M. Singh0D. L. Suthar1G. Agarwal2S. D. Purohit3Department of Mathematics and Statistics, School of Basic Sciences, Manipal University Jaipur, Jaipur 303007, IndiaDepartment of Mathematics, Wollo University, P. O. Box 1145, Dessie, EthiopiaDepartment of Mathematics and Statistics, School of Basic Sciences, Manipal University Jaipur, Jaipur 303007, IndiaDepartment of HEAS (Mathematics), Rajasthan Technical University, Kota 324010, IndiaCoronavirus spreads worldwide with various symptoms and strains such as COVID-19, SARS, MERS. Outbreak and prevention of the coronavirus can be studied by many mathematical models like SIR, SEIR and SEIQDR. In this paper, we employed Euler’s method based on the SEIQDR mathematical model of COVID-19. Also, after certain iterations of the population categories, we obtained the solution range of the SEIQDR model. In the end, we studied the impact of [Formula: see text] for integer 1 and fractional order 0.9 and 0.85 on the obtained numerical solutions. The graphical solutions are also analyzed for integer and fractional values of [Formula: see text]. The advantage of this proposed method is that it reduces the mathematical and numerical computations significantly and the proposed method is effective and efficient in extracting the approximate solution of various population categories for COVID-19 mathematical model.https://www.worldscientific.com/doi/10.1142/S2661335224500187Homotopy decomposition methodordinary differential equationCOVID-19mathematical modeling
spellingShingle M. M. Singh
D. L. Suthar
G. Agarwal
S. D. Purohit
Analysis of the COVID-19 pandemic and prediction with numerical methods
International Journal of Mathematics for Industry
Homotopy decomposition method
ordinary differential equation
COVID-19
mathematical modeling
title Analysis of the COVID-19 pandemic and prediction with numerical methods
title_full Analysis of the COVID-19 pandemic and prediction with numerical methods
title_fullStr Analysis of the COVID-19 pandemic and prediction with numerical methods
title_full_unstemmed Analysis of the COVID-19 pandemic and prediction with numerical methods
title_short Analysis of the COVID-19 pandemic and prediction with numerical methods
title_sort analysis of the covid 19 pandemic and prediction with numerical methods
topic Homotopy decomposition method
ordinary differential equation
COVID-19
mathematical modeling
url https://www.worldscientific.com/doi/10.1142/S2661335224500187
work_keys_str_mv AT mmsingh analysisofthecovid19pandemicandpredictionwithnumericalmethods
AT dlsuthar analysisofthecovid19pandemicandpredictionwithnumericalmethods
AT gagarwal analysisofthecovid19pandemicandpredictionwithnumericalmethods
AT sdpurohit analysisofthecovid19pandemicandpredictionwithnumericalmethods