Startup Survival Forecasting: A Multivariate AI Approach Based on Empirical Knowledge

Predicting the survival of startups is a complex challenge due to the multifaceted nature of entrepreneurial ecosystems and the dynamic interplay of internal and external factors. Despite advances in empirical research, existing models often lack integration with robust conceptual frameworks. This s...

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Main Authors: Francesc Font-Cot, Pablo Lara-Navarra, Claudia Sánchez-Arnau, Enrique A. Sánchez-Pérez
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-01-01
Series:Information
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Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2078-2489/16/1/61
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author Francesc Font-Cot
Pablo Lara-Navarra
Claudia Sánchez-Arnau
Enrique A. Sánchez-Pérez
author_facet Francesc Font-Cot
Pablo Lara-Navarra
Claudia Sánchez-Arnau
Enrique A. Sánchez-Pérez
author_sort Francesc Font-Cot
collection DOAJ
description Predicting the survival of startups is a complex challenge due to the multifaceted nature of entrepreneurial ecosystems and the dynamic interplay of internal and external factors. Despite advances in empirical research, existing models often lack integration with robust conceptual frameworks. This study addresses these gaps by developing a multivariate AI-driven model for predicting startup survival, leveraging Lipschitz extensions, neural networks, and linear regression. Using a dataset of 20 startups, selected across diverse industries and evaluated on attributes such as team dynamics, market conditions, and financial metrics, the model demonstrated high accuracy and clustering capabilities. Key findings highlight the pivotal role of team dynamics and product differentiation in determining survival probabilities. By integrating conceptual insights with empirical data, the study bridges gaps in existing literature and offers a practical decision-making tool for entrepreneurs, investors, and policymakers. These findings underscore the importance of fostering collaborative, innovative ecosystems to enhance entrepreneurial success and societal well-being.
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spelling doaj-art-7d32daa0d3914bafa5d3d198039044ad2025-01-24T13:35:19ZengMDPI AGInformation2078-24892025-01-011616110.3390/info16010061Startup Survival Forecasting: A Multivariate AI Approach Based on Empirical KnowledgeFrancesc Font-Cot0Pablo Lara-Navarra1Claudia Sánchez-Arnau2Enrique A. Sánchez-Pérez3Information & Communication Faculty, Open University of Catalonia, Rambla Poblenou, 08018 Barcelona, SpainInformation & Communication Faculty, Open University of Catalonia, Rambla Poblenou, 08018 Barcelona, SpainSchool of Engineering, Universitat Valéncia, Avinguda de l’Universitat, 46100 Burjassot, SpainApplied Mathematics Department, Universitat Politècnica València, Camino de Vera, 46022 Valencia, SpainPredicting the survival of startups is a complex challenge due to the multifaceted nature of entrepreneurial ecosystems and the dynamic interplay of internal and external factors. Despite advances in empirical research, existing models often lack integration with robust conceptual frameworks. This study addresses these gaps by developing a multivariate AI-driven model for predicting startup survival, leveraging Lipschitz extensions, neural networks, and linear regression. Using a dataset of 20 startups, selected across diverse industries and evaluated on attributes such as team dynamics, market conditions, and financial metrics, the model demonstrated high accuracy and clustering capabilities. Key findings highlight the pivotal role of team dynamics and product differentiation in determining survival probabilities. By integrating conceptual insights with empirical data, the study bridges gaps in existing literature and offers a practical decision-making tool for entrepreneurs, investors, and policymakers. These findings underscore the importance of fostering collaborative, innovative ecosystems to enhance entrepreneurial success and societal well-being.https://www.mdpi.com/2078-2489/16/1/61startup survivalartificial intelligenceLipschitz extensionsneural networksentrepreneurial ecosystems
spellingShingle Francesc Font-Cot
Pablo Lara-Navarra
Claudia Sánchez-Arnau
Enrique A. Sánchez-Pérez
Startup Survival Forecasting: A Multivariate AI Approach Based on Empirical Knowledge
Information
startup survival
artificial intelligence
Lipschitz extensions
neural networks
entrepreneurial ecosystems
title Startup Survival Forecasting: A Multivariate AI Approach Based on Empirical Knowledge
title_full Startup Survival Forecasting: A Multivariate AI Approach Based on Empirical Knowledge
title_fullStr Startup Survival Forecasting: A Multivariate AI Approach Based on Empirical Knowledge
title_full_unstemmed Startup Survival Forecasting: A Multivariate AI Approach Based on Empirical Knowledge
title_short Startup Survival Forecasting: A Multivariate AI Approach Based on Empirical Knowledge
title_sort startup survival forecasting a multivariate ai approach based on empirical knowledge
topic startup survival
artificial intelligence
Lipschitz extensions
neural networks
entrepreneurial ecosystems
url https://www.mdpi.com/2078-2489/16/1/61
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AT claudiasanchezarnau startupsurvivalforecastingamultivariateaiapproachbasedonempiricalknowledge
AT enriqueasanchezperez startupsurvivalforecastingamultivariateaiapproachbasedonempiricalknowledge