Regression Analysis of Heat Release Rate for Box-Type Power Bank Based on Experimental and Machine Learning Methods

In recent years, new fire loads dominated by power banks have caused multiple fire incidents in transportation hubs, posing severe challenges to fire safety. This study uses experimental testing and machine learning regression analysis to explore the heat release rate (HRR) characteristics and influ...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Shihan Luo, Hua Chen, Xiaobing Mao, Wenbing Zhu, Yuanyi Xie, Wenbin Wei, Mengmeng Jiang, Chenyang Zhang, Chaozhe Jiang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-05-01
Series:Fire
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2571-6255/8/6/209
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1849472202095722496
author Shihan Luo
Hua Chen
Xiaobing Mao
Wenbing Zhu
Yuanyi Xie
Wenbin Wei
Mengmeng Jiang
Chenyang Zhang
Chaozhe Jiang
author_facet Shihan Luo
Hua Chen
Xiaobing Mao
Wenbing Zhu
Yuanyi Xie
Wenbin Wei
Mengmeng Jiang
Chenyang Zhang
Chaozhe Jiang
author_sort Shihan Luo
collection DOAJ
description In recent years, new fire loads dominated by power banks have caused multiple fire incidents in transportation hubs, posing severe challenges to fire safety. This study uses experimental testing and machine learning regression analysis to explore the heat release rate (HRR) characteristics and influencing factors of box-type power banks under fire conditions. A 1 MW calorimeter was used to conduct four sets of experiments involving a total of 15 box-type power banks, measuring the HRR and analyzing its correlation with oxygen consumption, carbon dioxide generation, smoke temperature, and the fire growth rate. Based on the experimental data, HRR prediction models were constructed using decision tree regression (DT), K-nearest neighbor regression (KNN), and linear regression (LR). The results indicate that the DT model performs best in HRR prediction (MAE = 0.4889, MSE = 0.7414, RMSE = 0.8571, R<sup>2</sup> = 0.9991), effectively capturing the nonlinear variation patterns in the HRR. The correlation analysis and regression analysis conducted in this study provide crucial data support for fire combustion characteristics research, fire risk assessment, and fire safety optimization. Furthermore, the findings provide crucial data support for research on fire combustion characteristics and data-driven fire risk assessment, which may serve as a foundation for future AI-based real-time fire detection applications.
format Article
id doaj-art-7cf2e9c9ef2c415da64b8efc5c2eb2e7
institution Kabale University
issn 2571-6255
language English
publishDate 2025-05-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series Fire
spelling doaj-art-7cf2e9c9ef2c415da64b8efc5c2eb2e72025-08-20T03:24:36ZengMDPI AGFire2571-62552025-05-018620910.3390/fire8060209Regression Analysis of Heat Release Rate for Box-Type Power Bank Based on Experimental and Machine Learning MethodsShihan Luo0Hua Chen1Xiaobing Mao2Wenbing Zhu3Yuanyi Xie4Wenbin Wei5Mengmeng Jiang6Chenyang Zhang7Chaozhe Jiang8School of Transportation and Logistics, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu 611756, ChinaSchool of Transportation and Logistics, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu 611756, ChinaChina Railway Eryuan Engineering Group Co., Ltd., Chengdu 610031, ChinaSchool of Transportation and Logistics, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu 611756, ChinaSichuan Fire Research Institute of MEM, Chengdu 610036, ChinaFire Institute, China Academy of Building Research, Beijing 100013, ChinaFire Institute, China Academy of Building Research, Beijing 100013, ChinaSchool of Transportation and Logistics, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu 611756, ChinaSchool of Transportation and Logistics, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu 611756, ChinaIn recent years, new fire loads dominated by power banks have caused multiple fire incidents in transportation hubs, posing severe challenges to fire safety. This study uses experimental testing and machine learning regression analysis to explore the heat release rate (HRR) characteristics and influencing factors of box-type power banks under fire conditions. A 1 MW calorimeter was used to conduct four sets of experiments involving a total of 15 box-type power banks, measuring the HRR and analyzing its correlation with oxygen consumption, carbon dioxide generation, smoke temperature, and the fire growth rate. Based on the experimental data, HRR prediction models were constructed using decision tree regression (DT), K-nearest neighbor regression (KNN), and linear regression (LR). The results indicate that the DT model performs best in HRR prediction (MAE = 0.4889, MSE = 0.7414, RMSE = 0.8571, R<sup>2</sup> = 0.9991), effectively capturing the nonlinear variation patterns in the HRR. The correlation analysis and regression analysis conducted in this study provide crucial data support for fire combustion characteristics research, fire risk assessment, and fire safety optimization. Furthermore, the findings provide crucial data support for research on fire combustion characteristics and data-driven fire risk assessment, which may serve as a foundation for future AI-based real-time fire detection applications.https://www.mdpi.com/2571-6255/8/6/209transportation safetyheat release ratebox-type power bankregression analysiscorrelation analysis
spellingShingle Shihan Luo
Hua Chen
Xiaobing Mao
Wenbing Zhu
Yuanyi Xie
Wenbin Wei
Mengmeng Jiang
Chenyang Zhang
Chaozhe Jiang
Regression Analysis of Heat Release Rate for Box-Type Power Bank Based on Experimental and Machine Learning Methods
Fire
transportation safety
heat release rate
box-type power bank
regression analysis
correlation analysis
title Regression Analysis of Heat Release Rate for Box-Type Power Bank Based on Experimental and Machine Learning Methods
title_full Regression Analysis of Heat Release Rate for Box-Type Power Bank Based on Experimental and Machine Learning Methods
title_fullStr Regression Analysis of Heat Release Rate for Box-Type Power Bank Based on Experimental and Machine Learning Methods
title_full_unstemmed Regression Analysis of Heat Release Rate for Box-Type Power Bank Based on Experimental and Machine Learning Methods
title_short Regression Analysis of Heat Release Rate for Box-Type Power Bank Based on Experimental and Machine Learning Methods
title_sort regression analysis of heat release rate for box type power bank based on experimental and machine learning methods
topic transportation safety
heat release rate
box-type power bank
regression analysis
correlation analysis
url https://www.mdpi.com/2571-6255/8/6/209
work_keys_str_mv AT shihanluo regressionanalysisofheatreleaserateforboxtypepowerbankbasedonexperimentalandmachinelearningmethods
AT huachen regressionanalysisofheatreleaserateforboxtypepowerbankbasedonexperimentalandmachinelearningmethods
AT xiaobingmao regressionanalysisofheatreleaserateforboxtypepowerbankbasedonexperimentalandmachinelearningmethods
AT wenbingzhu regressionanalysisofheatreleaserateforboxtypepowerbankbasedonexperimentalandmachinelearningmethods
AT yuanyixie regressionanalysisofheatreleaserateforboxtypepowerbankbasedonexperimentalandmachinelearningmethods
AT wenbinwei regressionanalysisofheatreleaserateforboxtypepowerbankbasedonexperimentalandmachinelearningmethods
AT mengmengjiang regressionanalysisofheatreleaserateforboxtypepowerbankbasedonexperimentalandmachinelearningmethods
AT chenyangzhang regressionanalysisofheatreleaserateforboxtypepowerbankbasedonexperimentalandmachinelearningmethods
AT chaozhejiang regressionanalysisofheatreleaserateforboxtypepowerbankbasedonexperimentalandmachinelearningmethods