Statistical assessment of interrelationship of marriage and divorces to fertility

The methodology for analyzing interrelationship of marriage and divorces to fertility has been proposed, approbation of which has been carried out on the basis of the modern system of statistical accounting, which allowed to form a unique system of statistical indicators of marriage and divorce. A n...

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Main Authors: A. B. Sinelnikov, O. A. Zolotareva, M. D. Khabib
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Publishing House of the State University of Management 2025-01-01
Series:Вестник университета
Subjects:
Online Access:https://vestnik.guu.ru/jour/article/view/5748
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author A. B. Sinelnikov
O. A. Zolotareva
M. D. Khabib
author_facet A. B. Sinelnikov
O. A. Zolotareva
M. D. Khabib
author_sort A. B. Sinelnikov
collection DOAJ
description The methodology for analyzing interrelationship of marriage and divorces to fertility has been proposed, approbation of which has been carried out on the basis of the modern system of statistical accounting, which allowed to form a unique system of statistical indicators of marriage and divorce. A number of indicators complement the traditional methodology of marriage and divorce tables calculation. The algorithms for obtaining the indicators proposed for implementation (in particular, the cumulative marriage rate of divorcees, the level of divorces compensation by legal remarriages, etc.) have been prescribed, and their estimations have been made, which substantiates the scientific significance of the study. The methodology makes it possible to assess the impact of marriage and divorce rates on fertility, to identify the impact of measures of state assistance to families on the change in the number of marriages, divorces, and births, and also makes it possible to justify new measures of demographic policy aimed at increasing the marriage rate and reducing the divorce rate. The author’s approach considers the current trends in the analyzed demographic processes characteristic of Russia, which determines its predictive capabilities. It indicates high practical significance of the research results in the context of the search for fertility growth reserves in the light of the implemented family and demographic policy and achieving Russia’s national development strategies.
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publishDate 2025-01-01
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spelling doaj-art-7cace97639d9493b98ab1a84b5b3b1ce2025-02-04T08:28:24ZengPublishing House of the State University of ManagementВестник университета1816-42772686-84152025-01-0101218019510.26425/1816-4277-2024-12-180-1953291Statistical assessment of interrelationship of marriage and divorces to fertilityA. B. Sinelnikov0O. A. Zolotareva1M. D. Khabib2Lomonosov Moscow State University; Scientific Research Institute on Problems of Socio-Economic Statistics of the Federal State Statistics ServiceScientific Research Institute on Problems of Socio-Economic Statistics of the Federal State Statistics Service; MIREA – Russian Technological UniversityScientific Research Institute on Problems of Socio-Economic Statistics of the Federal State Statistics Service; State University of ManagementThe methodology for analyzing interrelationship of marriage and divorces to fertility has been proposed, approbation of which has been carried out on the basis of the modern system of statistical accounting, which allowed to form a unique system of statistical indicators of marriage and divorce. A number of indicators complement the traditional methodology of marriage and divorce tables calculation. The algorithms for obtaining the indicators proposed for implementation (in particular, the cumulative marriage rate of divorcees, the level of divorces compensation by legal remarriages, etc.) have been prescribed, and their estimations have been made, which substantiates the scientific significance of the study. The methodology makes it possible to assess the impact of marriage and divorce rates on fertility, to identify the impact of measures of state assistance to families on the change in the number of marriages, divorces, and births, and also makes it possible to justify new measures of demographic policy aimed at increasing the marriage rate and reducing the divorce rate. The author’s approach considers the current trends in the analyzed demographic processes characteristic of Russia, which determines its predictive capabilities. It indicates high practical significance of the research results in the context of the search for fertility growth reserves in the light of the implemented family and demographic policy and achieving Russia’s national development strategies.https://vestnik.guu.ru/jour/article/view/5748marriage and divorce tablesage-specific marriage ratescumulative marriage rateage-specific divorce ratescumulative divorce ratedivorces compensation by remarriagesbirth rate
spellingShingle A. B. Sinelnikov
O. A. Zolotareva
M. D. Khabib
Statistical assessment of interrelationship of marriage and divorces to fertility
Вестник университета
marriage and divorce tables
age-specific marriage rates
cumulative marriage rate
age-specific divorce rates
cumulative divorce rate
divorces compensation by remarriages
birth rate
title Statistical assessment of interrelationship of marriage and divorces to fertility
title_full Statistical assessment of interrelationship of marriage and divorces to fertility
title_fullStr Statistical assessment of interrelationship of marriage and divorces to fertility
title_full_unstemmed Statistical assessment of interrelationship of marriage and divorces to fertility
title_short Statistical assessment of interrelationship of marriage and divorces to fertility
title_sort statistical assessment of interrelationship of marriage and divorces to fertility
topic marriage and divorce tables
age-specific marriage rates
cumulative marriage rate
age-specific divorce rates
cumulative divorce rate
divorces compensation by remarriages
birth rate
url https://vestnik.guu.ru/jour/article/view/5748
work_keys_str_mv AT absinelnikov statisticalassessmentofinterrelationshipofmarriageanddivorcestofertility
AT oazolotareva statisticalassessmentofinterrelationshipofmarriageanddivorcestofertility
AT mdkhabib statisticalassessmentofinterrelationshipofmarriageanddivorcestofertility