Assessing patient risk, benefit and outcomes in drug development: an observational study of regorafenib clinical trials

Objective Our objective of this study was to analyse all oncological clinical trials using regorafenib to create a complete risk/benefit profile for the drug.Background Creating a novel chemotherapy is costly both in time and capital spent for drug manufacturers. To regenerate what they’ve spent, dr...

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Main Authors: Matt Vassar, Vinay Prasad, Ryan McIntire, Alyson Haslam, Brody Dennis, Chance Bratten, Griffin K Hughes, Andriana M Peña, Chase Ladd, Brooke Gardner, William Nowlin, Reagan Livingston, Jordan Tuia
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMJ Publishing Group 2024-07-01
Series:BMJ Oncology
Online Access:https://bmjoncology.bmj.com/content/3/1/e000229.full
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author Matt Vassar
Vinay Prasad
Ryan McIntire
Alyson Haslam
Brody Dennis
Chance Bratten
Griffin K Hughes
Andriana M Peña
Chase Ladd
Brooke Gardner
William Nowlin
Reagan Livingston
Jordan Tuia
author_facet Matt Vassar
Vinay Prasad
Ryan McIntire
Alyson Haslam
Brody Dennis
Chance Bratten
Griffin K Hughes
Andriana M Peña
Chase Ladd
Brooke Gardner
William Nowlin
Reagan Livingston
Jordan Tuia
author_sort Matt Vassar
collection DOAJ
description Objective Our objective of this study was to analyse all oncological clinical trials using regorafenib to create a complete risk/benefit profile for the drug.Background Creating a novel chemotherapy is costly both in time and capital spent for drug manufacturers. To regenerate what they’ve spent, drug manufacturers may attempt to repurpose their medications for new indications via clinical trials. To fully understand the risk/benefits in comparison to a drug’s efficacy, a pooled analysis must be completed.Methods We screened PubMed, Embase, Cochrane (CENTRAL) and ClinicalTrials.gov for trials of regorafenib used to treat solid cancers. Next, we extracted median progression-free survival and overall survival in months, adverse event rates and objective response rate (ORR). Studies were deemed positive, negative or indeterminate based on their pre-specified endpoints and tolerability.Results 56 clinical trials were included in our final sample, with 4960 total participants across 13 indications. Most studies (44 of 56; 78.75%) were non-blinded, and a majority were non-randomised (41 of 56; 73.21%). Trials for colorectal cancer started out as positive but became more negative over time. Cumulative risk to patients increased over time while ORR stayed consistently low.Conclusions Our findings suggest that since regorafenib’s original Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approval, the risk profile for its original indication increased. The amount of non-randomised, single-arm trials in our sample size was concerning, indicating that higher quality research must be conducted. Our results propose that regorafenib’s efficacy and safety may be more impactful in cancers other than its FDA approvals.
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spelling doaj-art-7ca47621bd2a46d6b44ec10b8d27ec8d2025-01-30T07:10:14ZengBMJ Publishing GroupBMJ Oncology2752-79482024-07-013110.1136/bmjonc-2023-000229Assessing patient risk, benefit and outcomes in drug development: an observational study of regorafenib clinical trialsMatt Vassar0Vinay Prasad1Ryan McIntire2Alyson Haslam3Brody Dennis4Chance Bratten5Griffin K Hughes6Andriana M Peña7Chase Ladd8Brooke Gardner9William Nowlin10Reagan Livingston11Jordan Tuia12Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Oklahoma State University Center for Health Sciences, Tulsa, Oklahoma, USA3 Department of Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, California, USAOklahoma State University Center for Health Sciences, Tulsa, Oklahoma, USA2 Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco, California, USAOklahoma State University Center for Health Sciences, Tulsa, Oklahoma, USAOklahoma State University Center for Health Sciences, Tulsa, Oklahoma, USAOklahoma State University Center for Health Sciences, Tulsa, Oklahoma, USAOklahoma State University Center for Health Sciences, Tulsa, Oklahoma, USAOklahoma State University Center for Health Sciences, Tulsa, Oklahoma, USAOklahoma State University Center for Health Sciences, Tulsa, Oklahoma, USAInternal Medicine, University of Oklahoma School of Community Medicine Departments & Residency Programs, Tulsa, Oklahoma, USADepartment of Internal Medicine, Oklahoma State University, Stillwater, Oklahoma, USADepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USAObjective Our objective of this study was to analyse all oncological clinical trials using regorafenib to create a complete risk/benefit profile for the drug.Background Creating a novel chemotherapy is costly both in time and capital spent for drug manufacturers. To regenerate what they’ve spent, drug manufacturers may attempt to repurpose their medications for new indications via clinical trials. To fully understand the risk/benefits in comparison to a drug’s efficacy, a pooled analysis must be completed.Methods We screened PubMed, Embase, Cochrane (CENTRAL) and ClinicalTrials.gov for trials of regorafenib used to treat solid cancers. Next, we extracted median progression-free survival and overall survival in months, adverse event rates and objective response rate (ORR). Studies were deemed positive, negative or indeterminate based on their pre-specified endpoints and tolerability.Results 56 clinical trials were included in our final sample, with 4960 total participants across 13 indications. Most studies (44 of 56; 78.75%) were non-blinded, and a majority were non-randomised (41 of 56; 73.21%). Trials for colorectal cancer started out as positive but became more negative over time. Cumulative risk to patients increased over time while ORR stayed consistently low.Conclusions Our findings suggest that since regorafenib’s original Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approval, the risk profile for its original indication increased. The amount of non-randomised, single-arm trials in our sample size was concerning, indicating that higher quality research must be conducted. Our results propose that regorafenib’s efficacy and safety may be more impactful in cancers other than its FDA approvals.https://bmjoncology.bmj.com/content/3/1/e000229.full
spellingShingle Matt Vassar
Vinay Prasad
Ryan McIntire
Alyson Haslam
Brody Dennis
Chance Bratten
Griffin K Hughes
Andriana M Peña
Chase Ladd
Brooke Gardner
William Nowlin
Reagan Livingston
Jordan Tuia
Assessing patient risk, benefit and outcomes in drug development: an observational study of regorafenib clinical trials
BMJ Oncology
title Assessing patient risk, benefit and outcomes in drug development: an observational study of regorafenib clinical trials
title_full Assessing patient risk, benefit and outcomes in drug development: an observational study of regorafenib clinical trials
title_fullStr Assessing patient risk, benefit and outcomes in drug development: an observational study of regorafenib clinical trials
title_full_unstemmed Assessing patient risk, benefit and outcomes in drug development: an observational study of regorafenib clinical trials
title_short Assessing patient risk, benefit and outcomes in drug development: an observational study of regorafenib clinical trials
title_sort assessing patient risk benefit and outcomes in drug development an observational study of regorafenib clinical trials
url https://bmjoncology.bmj.com/content/3/1/e000229.full
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