An enhanced system resilience assessment method during seismic hazards: Incorporating the iteration algorithm and impact increment state enumeration

In recent years, seismic hazards have become increasingly frequent and severe, presenting significant threats to the resilience of large-scale power systems. It is unclear when seismic hazard will occur, and this complicates the quantification of transmission line failure probability, while the unce...

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Main Authors: Changle Liu, Baohong Li, Qin Jiang, Yingmin Zhang, Tianqi Liu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-03-01
Series:International Journal of Electrical Power & Energy Systems
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0142061524006409
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author Changle Liu
Baohong Li
Qin Jiang
Yingmin Zhang
Tianqi Liu
author_facet Changle Liu
Baohong Li
Qin Jiang
Yingmin Zhang
Tianqi Liu
author_sort Changle Liu
collection DOAJ
description In recent years, seismic hazards have become increasingly frequent and severe, presenting significant threats to the resilience of large-scale power systems. It is unclear when seismic hazard will occur, and this complicates the quantification of transmission line failure probability, while the uncertainty inherent in the cascading failure process poses challenges for calculating resilience metrics. Meanwhile, the exponentially increasing number of enumerations associated with a rise in failure order introduces computational challenges when we seek to assess system resilience. To address these critical challenges, this paper presents a resilience assessment framework for accurately evaluating power system resilience during seismic hazards. The proposed framework includes a transmission line failure probability model, an interval estimation method for handling uncertainties in cascading failures, and an improved enumeration algorithm. This improved algorithm, Upper-Lower- Bound Iteration Impact Increment State Enumeration, integrates the Impact Increment State Enumeration (IISE) with an upper- and lower-bound iteration to enhance computational efficiency.The interval estimation method allows for resilience estimation by evaluating both the best and worst system performance cases in uncertain cascading failures. Additionally, the failure probability of transmission lines is quantified by decomposing the influencing factors. The effectiveness of the proposed method is validated using the IEEE 118-bus system, with further validation conducted on a practical 500 kV system, and the results are presented herein.
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series International Journal of Electrical Power & Energy Systems
spelling doaj-art-7be550da8fdb4e6ca08087edf4cf75892025-01-19T06:23:58ZengElsevierInternational Journal of Electrical Power & Energy Systems0142-06152025-03-01164110417An enhanced system resilience assessment method during seismic hazards: Incorporating the iteration algorithm and impact increment state enumerationChangle Liu0Baohong Li1Qin Jiang2Yingmin Zhang3Tianqi Liu4College of Electrical Engineering and Information Technology, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610065, ChinaCorresponding author.; College of Electrical Engineering and Information Technology, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610065, ChinaCollege of Electrical Engineering and Information Technology, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610065, ChinaCollege of Electrical Engineering and Information Technology, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610065, ChinaCollege of Electrical Engineering and Information Technology, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610065, ChinaIn recent years, seismic hazards have become increasingly frequent and severe, presenting significant threats to the resilience of large-scale power systems. It is unclear when seismic hazard will occur, and this complicates the quantification of transmission line failure probability, while the uncertainty inherent in the cascading failure process poses challenges for calculating resilience metrics. Meanwhile, the exponentially increasing number of enumerations associated with a rise in failure order introduces computational challenges when we seek to assess system resilience. To address these critical challenges, this paper presents a resilience assessment framework for accurately evaluating power system resilience during seismic hazards. The proposed framework includes a transmission line failure probability model, an interval estimation method for handling uncertainties in cascading failures, and an improved enumeration algorithm. This improved algorithm, Upper-Lower- Bound Iteration Impact Increment State Enumeration, integrates the Impact Increment State Enumeration (IISE) with an upper- and lower-bound iteration to enhance computational efficiency.The interval estimation method allows for resilience estimation by evaluating both the best and worst system performance cases in uncertain cascading failures. Additionally, the failure probability of transmission lines is quantified by decomposing the influencing factors. The effectiveness of the proposed method is validated using the IEEE 118-bus system, with further validation conducted on a practical 500 kV system, and the results are presented herein.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0142061524006409Resilience assessmentUpper-Lower-Bound Iteration Impact Increment State EnumerationProbability model for transmission line failure during seismic hazardsInterval estimation
spellingShingle Changle Liu
Baohong Li
Qin Jiang
Yingmin Zhang
Tianqi Liu
An enhanced system resilience assessment method during seismic hazards: Incorporating the iteration algorithm and impact increment state enumeration
International Journal of Electrical Power & Energy Systems
Resilience assessment
Upper-Lower-Bound Iteration Impact Increment State Enumeration
Probability model for transmission line failure during seismic hazards
Interval estimation
title An enhanced system resilience assessment method during seismic hazards: Incorporating the iteration algorithm and impact increment state enumeration
title_full An enhanced system resilience assessment method during seismic hazards: Incorporating the iteration algorithm and impact increment state enumeration
title_fullStr An enhanced system resilience assessment method during seismic hazards: Incorporating the iteration algorithm and impact increment state enumeration
title_full_unstemmed An enhanced system resilience assessment method during seismic hazards: Incorporating the iteration algorithm and impact increment state enumeration
title_short An enhanced system resilience assessment method during seismic hazards: Incorporating the iteration algorithm and impact increment state enumeration
title_sort enhanced system resilience assessment method during seismic hazards incorporating the iteration algorithm and impact increment state enumeration
topic Resilience assessment
Upper-Lower-Bound Iteration Impact Increment State Enumeration
Probability model for transmission line failure during seismic hazards
Interval estimation
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0142061524006409
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